Mithrandir Metrics

Hitter optimization

Swing path and decision map

Iván Herrera's tools (80) outpace production (69) by 11 points. Primary finding: elite raw contact quality undermined by swing decisions — the bat is dangerous when it connects.

Chase Rate Problem

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Pitch recognition training and two-strike approach adjustment

Protected takes / Chase risk

Contact-Discipline Mismatch

Hold Hold Hold Hold Attack Hold Hold Hold Hold

Shorten swing against breaking balls while maintaining bat speed on fastballs

Protected takes / Chase risk

Diagnosis

Fixable gaps

Signal	Cause	Fix	Confidence
Chase Rate Problem0.31	Expanding the zone too aggressively — generating weak contact and whiffs on pitcher's pitches	Pitch recognition training and two-strike approach adjustmentEach 3pp chase rate reduction projects to ~0.010 wOBA improvement	MEDIUM
Contact-Discipline Mismatch0.65	Elite raw contact quality undermined by swing decisions — the bat is dangerous when it connects	Shorten swing against breaking balls while maintaining bat speed on fastballsMarginal discipline improvement with this power profile has huge upside	MEDIUM

Arsenal / metrics

Underlying components

Component	Usage	Velo	Whiff
No component rows are available for this report.