Wiemer, Joey: wOBA 0.508 vs xwOBA 0.315
15 games on the slate / 4 live / TB +23.5 vs projection / Wiemer, Joey regression watch
Volume IV · 2026-07-17 · Baseball intelligence almanac
Mithrandir Metrics
- Slate
- 15 MLB games indexed
- Pace
- +23.5 TB
- Regression
- -0.193 Wiemer, Joey
Live state 2026-07-17
Last refreshed Jul 17 06:00 AM ET
Scheduler Morning Core · success
Projection season 2026
Prospect dossiers 93
Rows indexed 1242
Interactive 3D →
Featured · 3D Pitch Lab
Explore the 3D Pitch Lab →
Ryan Helsley tunnels the 4-seam fastball and slider.
Two pitches that leave the hand on the same line and split late. From the hitter's eye they are nearly one pitch at the commit point, then break 18.3″ apart by the plate.
0.3″
apart at commit
→
18.3″
apart at plate
69.5×
divergence
Play now →
New · Perfect Season
Play Perfect Season →
Draft an all-time roster. Can you go 162-0?
Our take on the viral 82-0 game, built for baseball and backed by a real engine. Spin a random franchise and era, draft a full roster across 150 years of players, and we run your team through an era-adjusted simulation into a record, with a full analytical breakdown of the season.
1876+
every era
17
picks
162-0
the dream
Interactive 3D →
New · 3D Swing Simulator
Open the 3D Swing Simulator →
Bo Bichette swings at -2°. We’d move it to 12°.
Real bat tracking, rebuilt as a full 3D swing: an animated batter sweeping his true swing plane, every angle annotated against the MLB average. When our optimization model sees a flat path, the recommended swing overlays as a dashed target. Search any hitter in the league.
-2°
his attack angle
→
12°
our target
3D
full swing sim
New · The Mirror
Open The Mirror →
We simulate every game pitch by pitch, 8,000 times.
The Mirror is our PA-by-PA Monte Carlo engine: real lineups, arsenals, bullpen logic, park and weather, run thousands of times into win probabilities, projected totals and starter strikeouts, then re-simulated live from the actual game state inning by inning. Every call is graded against what really happened on the Sim Record.
8,000
sims / game
live
in-game re-sim
graded
vs reality
New in the Lab / pitcher-vs-hitter scouting
The Matchup Dissector
Any pitcher vs any hitter, pitch by pitch in 3D. The arsenal flies to the plate, the hitter's holes light up red, and the out pitch surfaces itself.
Open the Matchup Dissector →The Comp Constellation
Who is this hitter built like? A star map of profile-shape comps over six feature groups, with the why behind every match and an honest sparse sky when no true twin exists.
Open the Comp Constellation →Pregame Scouting Report
A starter against a full lineup: the top threats, the easiest outs, the pitch to attack each hitter, and the sleeper the box score hides.
Open the Scouting Report →
Standings delta
+23.5
TB is +23.5 wins from preseason pace.
American League East
Actual pace 96.5 wins against 73.0 projected over 94 games.
Pitcher delta
+5.90
Scherzer, Max is +5.90 on ERA versus projection.
TOR / ERA
26.7 IP sample; current-season indicators are driving the delta.
Regression watch
-0.193
Wiemer, Joey has a -0.193 wOBA vs xwOBA gap.
WSH / wOBA vs xwOBA
Large band; direction negative.
Top performers · Total bases
Leaderboard snapshot 2026-07-17. The category rotates daily; repeated names mean the same players still lead the selected metric.
01
Yordan AlvarezHouston Astros / 420 PA
221
02
James WoodWashington Nationals / 454 PA
212
03
Ben RiceNew York Yankees / 390 PA
202
04
Matt OlsonAtlanta Braves / 416 PA
198
05
Kyle SchwarberPhiladelphia Phillies / 418 PA
198
View complete leaderboard 2026-07-17
Trending players · latest live snapshot vs prior available snapshot
Trending up
2026-07-17
Trending down
2026-07-17
Projection movers · rolling minus preseason
Rolling risers
2026-07-17
Rolling fallers
2026-07-17
Marquee
Live hitter
Otto Lopez
0.873
410 PA / current season
Live hitter
Luis Arraez
0.829
402 PA / current season
Live pitcher
Jacob Misiorowski
1.62
111.0 IP / current season
Live pitcher
Cam Schlittler
2.05
118.2 IP / current season
Pitcher delta
Scherzer, Max
+5.90
ERA vs projection
Otto Lopez
Luis Arraez
Jacob Misiorowski
Cam SchlittlerRecent dispatches
Apr 22, 2026
Projection
Standings projection table refreshed
Apr 20, 2026
Projection
Projected leaders board refreshed
Apr 20, 2026
Projection
Awards projection table refreshed
2026-05-28
Prospects
Current prospect universe refreshed
2026-07-17
Live state
Daily current-state story feed refreshed
2026-07-17
Leaderboards
Leaderboards cache refreshed