Mithrandir Metrics
A directory for experiments and player diagnostics. The index stays navigational; deep strike-zone and percentile work belongs on the player profiles.
Shota Imanaga shows a -6-point gap between tools (55) and production (61), but no specific root cause was isolated with sufficient confidence.
Heliot Ramos's tools (84) outpace production (79) by 5 points. Primary finding: excellent plate discipline but too passive on hittable pitches — letting strikes go by.
Increase in-zone swing rate, especially on fastballs in favorable counts
Hittable takes / Expansion guardrail
MIL · Stuff-to-Whiff Gap (Command)
Dustin May's tools grade (44) outpaces production (18) by 26 points. Primary diagnosis: elite stuff tunnels well but pitches land in hittable zones. Secondary signals: Arsenal Shape: Gloveside Drop; Usage Underuse: Curveball. High-fixability path: increase curveball usage to at least league-average for that pitch type.
TOR · Arsenal Shape: Armside Drop
Mason Fluharty's tools grade (53) outpaces production (28) by 25 points. Primary diagnosis: existing changeup is present, but its movement shape does not currently cover the desired armside-drop window.. Secondary signals: Arsenal Gap: Gloveside Drop. High-fixability path: reshape existing changeup to add armside drop rather than developing a new pitch from scratch..
ATH · Stuff-to-Whiff Gap (Command)
Mason Barnett's tools grade (51) outpaces production (32) by 19 points. Primary diagnosis: changeup grades as the best pitch (whiff 50.0%, csw 16.7%) but is only thrown 14.5% of the time. Secondary signals: Arsenal Shape: Gloveside Drop; Usage Overuse: 4-Seam Fastball. High-fixability path: increase changeup usage to at least league-average for that pitch type.
HOU · Arsenal Shape: Armside Drop
Cristian Javier's tools grade (66) outpaces production (62) by 4 points. Primary diagnosis: existing changeup is present, but its movement shape does not currently cover the desired armside-drop window.. Secondary signals: Arsenal Shape: Gloveside Sweep; Arsenal Gap: Gloveside Drop. High-fixability path: reshape existing changeup to add armside drop rather than developing a new pitch from scratch..
MIL · Launch Angle Too Low
Garrett Mitchell's tools (87) outpace production (62) by 26 points. Primary finding: groundball-heavy approach with the raw power to drive the ball — leaving fly-ball damage on the table. Also flagged: Contact-Discipline Mismatch. Most actionable fix: elevate bat path to increase average launch angle toward 12-18° range.
BOS · Power Efficiency Gap
Wilyer Abreu's tools (73) outpace production (68) by 5 points. Primary finding: groundball-heavy approach with the raw power to drive the ball — leaving fly-ball damage on the table. Also flagged: Power Efficiency Gap; Contact-Discipline Mismatch. Most actionable fix: elevate bat path to increase average launch angle toward 12-18° range.
BAL · Launch Angle Too High
Coby Mayo's tools (98) outpace production (78) by 20 points. Primary finding: excessive fly-ball angle — producing popups instead of line drives.
TEX · Launch Angle Too Low
Brandon Nimmo's tools (73) outpace production (68) by 5 points. Primary finding: groundball-heavy approach with the raw power to drive the ball — leaving fly-ball damage on the table. Also flagged: Chase Rate Problem; Contact-Discipline Mismatch. Most actionable fix: elevate bat path to increase average launch angle toward 12-18° range.
| Pitcher | Pitch mix | Primary diagnosis | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| Shota ImanagaCHC | FF 45% FS 33% ST 14% SI 7% | No primary gap | 0 |
| Chase BurnsCIN | FF 50% SL 41% CH 7% SI 9% | Arsenal Shape: Gloveside Sweep | 44 |
| Yusei KikuchiLAA | FF 53% SL 21% CU 16% FS 13% | Stuff-to-Whiff Gap (Command) | 64 |
| Zack WheelerPHI | FF 41% SI 18% ST 16% FS 12% | Arsenal Shape: Gloveside Drop | 40 |
| Jeffrey SpringsATH | FF 41% CH 31% SL 16% FC 12% | Arsenal Shape: Arsenal Shape: Armside Drop | 36 |
| Chris BassittBAL | SI 41% CU 20% FC 15% FF 15% | Arsenal Shape: Gloveside Drop | 11 |
| Zac ThorntonNYM | FC 30% FF 25% ST 21% SI 10% | Arsenal Shape: Arsenal Shape: Armside Drop | 26 |
| Ethan PeckoHOU | SI 28% FF 24% ST 28% FC 18% | Arsenal Shape: Gloveside Drop | 11 |
These are saved diagnostic shapes from the current artifact. Slider-based what-if simulation remains parked until a real server-side simulator is wired.