Mithrandir Metrics
Diagnostic BOS Refreshed Jun 1 06:00 AM ET
Optimization diagnostic / BOS

Jarren Duran

Jarren Duran's tools (83) outpace production (76) by 7 points. Primary finding: high exit velocity but low barrel rate — bat-to-ball efficiency is leaving power on the table. Also flagged: Launch Angle Too High; Passive In-Zone Approach.

Score
25
Tools
83
Gap
+7.2
Data window 2026-05-17 / 2026-05-31Confidence LOW
Hitter optimization

Swing path and decision map

Jarren Duran's tools (83) outpace production (76) by 7 points. Primary finding: high exit velocity but low barrel rate — bat-to-ball efficiency is leaving power on the table. Also flagged: Launch Angle Too High; Passive In-Zone Approach.

Launch Angle Too High
-8.5° Current 28° → Target 20°

Flatten swing plane to bring average LA into the 15-22° window

Solid = current angle. Dotted = recommended window.
Passive In-Zone Approach
Pass Attack Pass Attack Attack Attack Pass Attack Pass

Increase in-zone swing rate, especially on fastballs in favorable counts

Hittable takes / Expansion guardrail
Diagnosis

Fixable gaps

SignalCauseFixConfidence
Power Efficiency Gap0.75High exit velocity but low barrel rate — bat-to-ball efficiency is leaving power on the tableOptimize swing path to increase squared-up rate at productive launch anglesEach 2pp barrel rate increase projects to ~0.015 xwOBA improvementLOW
Launch Angle Too High0.55Excessive fly-ball angle — producing popups instead of line drivesFlatten swing plane to bring average LA into the 15-22° windowTurning popups into line drives has outsized wOBA impactLOW
Passive In-Zone Approach0.50Excellent plate discipline but too passive on hittable pitches — letting strikes go byIncrease in-zone swing rate, especially on fastballs in favorable countsEach 5pp zone swing increase with maintained contact quality adds ~0.012 wOBAMEDIUM
Arsenal / metrics

Underlying components

ComponentUsageVeloWhiff
No component rows are available for this report.