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Jon Duplantier

Weak Skill AAA performance with meaningful runway, but the overall shape reads more like a possible AAAA hold than a clean MLB push.

2021 Arizona Diamondbacks #23 AAA Pitcher

Developmental (Raw) Backtest-ready row Fringe / Shuttle Arm

Archive Context

ARI 2021

Arizona Diamondbacks 2021 Top 30

Low read | AAAA / Upper-Minors Depth Risk Model stayed cautious and it was right.

Archive Projection

Developmental (Raw)

Fan-facing translation of the archived read.

Archive Outlook

The arm talent is still early enough that this reads more like a raw developmental pitcher than a firm role call.

Missing-bat test

The profile still needs a firmer bat-missing foundation to move into a stronger rotation lane.

Command pressure

Command has to tighten for the current starter-level projection to stick.

Role clarity

A cleaner starter-versus-reliever shape would make the projection much more stable.

Outcome Truth

Fringe / Shuttle Arm

Light career result context, not a full validation dashboard.

Career Outcome

Fringe / Shuttle Arm

Starter Track Without Quality Hold

Archive Context

Original Cohort Placement

The original year/team prospect context first.

Year 2021

Organization Arizona Diamondbacks

Original Rank #23

Primary Level AAA

Archive Read

Short Historical Read

Light interpretation built from existing archive data.

Summary

The upper-minors performance is still informative, but the right frame is narrow-path depth rather than open-ended prospect projection. `Depth Arm` is better read as an upper bound on role usefulness than as a clean growth-path forecast, especially with AAAA-style risk present.