Mithrandir Metrics
Diagnostic NYY Refreshed Sep 3 06:00 AM ET
Optimization diagnostic / NYY

Austin Wells

Austin Wells's tools (80) outpace production (74) by 7 points. Primary finding: elite raw contact quality undermined by swing decisions — the bat is dangerous when it connects. Also flagged: Chase Rate Problem.

Score
16
Tools
80
Gap
+6.9
Data window 2026-08-19 / 2026-09-02Confidence MEDIUM
Hitter optimization

Swing path and decision map

Austin Wells's tools (80) outpace production (74) by 7 points. Primary finding: elite raw contact quality undermined by swing decisions — the bat is dangerous when it connects. Also flagged: Chase Rate Problem.

See the swing in 3D →

Chase Rate Problem
Hold Hold Hold Hold Attack Hold Hold Hold Hold

Pitch recognition training and two-strike approach adjustment

Protected takes / Chase risk
Contact-Discipline Mismatch
Hold Hold Hold Hold Attack Hold Hold Hold Hold

Shorten swing against breaking balls while maintaining bat speed on fastballs

Protected takes / Chase risk
Diagnosis

Fixable gaps

SignalCauseFixConfidence
Chase Rate Problem0.62Expanding the zone too aggressively — generating weak contact and whiffs on pitcher's pitchesPitch recognition training and two-strike approach adjustmentEach 3pp chase rate reduction projects to ~0.010 wOBA improvementMEDIUM
Contact-Discipline Mismatch0.65Elite raw contact quality undermined by swing decisions — the bat is dangerous when it connectsShorten swing against breaking balls while maintaining bat speed on fastballsMarginal discipline improvement with this power profile has huge upsideMEDIUM
Arsenal / metrics

Underlying components

ComponentUsageVeloWhiff
No component rows are available for this report.