Mithrandir Metrics
Diagnostic SD Refreshed Oct 15 06:00 AM ET
Optimization diagnostic / SD

Robbie Ray

Robbie Ray's production (38) outpaces the tools grade (29) by 9 points. Primary finding: elite raw stuff but poor pitch tunneling — hitters read pitches early. Also flagged: Arsenal Shape: Arsenal Shape: Armside Drop; Arsenal Shape: Gloveside Sweep. Most actionable fix: pair pitches with tighter release-point similarity and greater late movement divergence.

Score
60
Tools
29
Gap
-9.2
Data window 2026-10-01 / 2026-10-15Confidence HIGH
Optimization map

Arsenal shape map

Hover each pitch to inspect current usage, movement shape, and whiff context beside the written diagnosis.

View arsenal in 3D →
ride armside gloveside
Movement reshape

Pitch movement dual-view

Current shape against the recommended movement window. Animation starts when this section scrolls into view.

SliderArsenal Shape: Gloveside Sweep
Δ HB -9.1in · Δ VB -2.7in
Top-down · horizontal break Side view · vertical break
Current: HB 0.1in / VB +4.7in Recommended: HB -9.0in / VB +2.0in
Diagnosis

Fixable gaps

SignalCauseFixConfidence
Stuff-to-Whiff Gap (Tunneling)0.93Elite raw stuff but poor pitch tunneling — hitters read pitches earlyPair pitches with tighter release-point similarity and greater late movement divergenceClosing tunnel gap could add 14.0pp to whiff rateMEDIUM
Arsenal Shape: Arsenal Shape: Armside Drop0.85Existing Changeup is present, but its movement shape does not currently cover the desired arsenal-shape:-armside-drop window.Reshape existing Changeup to add arsenal shape: armside drop rather than developing a new pitch from scratch.Shape refinement would improve platoon coverage while preserving the existing usage signal.HIGH
Arsenal Shape: Gloveside Sweep0.70Existing Slider is present, but its movement shape does not currently cover the desired gloveside-sweep window.Reshape existing Slider to add gloveside sweep rather than developing a new pitch from scratch.Shape refinement would improve platoon coverage while preserving the existing usage signal.HIGH
Arsenal Gap: Gloveside Drop0.60No vertical drop pitch (Curveball/Knuckle Curve) — hitters can ignore low zoneDevelop a Curveball to cover the gloveside-drop regionFilling this gap would improve platoon coverage and arsenal depthHIGH
Arsenal / metrics

Underlying components

ComponentUsageVeloWhiff
SinkerSI64%94.17.7%
SliderSL16%87.00.0%
ChangeupCH11%87.70.0%
Four-Seam FastballFF9%94.650.0%