Mithrandir Metrics
Player Detroit Tigers Refreshed Jul 18 06:00 AM ET
Player profile / Detroit Tigers

Justin Verlander

P · Bats/Throws R/R · 6' 5", 240 lb · Age 43

Cards
5
Modules
1
Live Δ
--
Club Detroit Tigers Position P Roster Injured 60-Day Status Out / inactive
Traditional line

Season by season

3D Pitch Lab Projections
WLERAGGSSVIPSOWHIP
2024565.481717090.1741.38
20254113.8529290152.01371.36
20260112.271103.212.18
21 Seasons2661593.3355655603571.135541.14
At a glance

Season percentile report

The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.

2026-07-18
23
Pitching
percentile
Arsenal4 metrics
23
Rolling projection

Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update

Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.

2026-07-18
ERA preseason4.92
ERA current pace12.27
ERA rolling p506.39
Observed weight20%
ERA
4.89 5.60 6.39 7.18 7.90
FIP
3.98 4.41 4.89 5.38 5.81
K%
14.0% 16.3% 18.8% 21.4% 23.6%
BB%
5.7% 6.7% 7.7% 8.8% 9.7%
Live percentile strip

Current traits vs projection tick

100th = best in MLB.

2026-07-18
Mithrandir+

Stuff+ and arsenal context

How nasty this pitcher's stuff grades in our pitch-level model. Missing coverage is shown explicitly.

2026-07-18
Curveball Stuff+100
24
Fastball Stuff+102
46
Mithrandir Stuff+98
20
Slider Stuff+89
3
Rolling form chart

xwOBA allowed snapshot line

Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs

0 snapshots
No chart yet

No Live State xwOBA snapshots are available for this player.

Optimization map

Arsenal optimization map

Pitch-shape context from this pitcher’s current arsenal snapshot. Hover a pitch to inspect usage, movement, and bat-missing context.

6Pitches 2026Season 51%Top usage
ride armside gloveside +Arsenal gap +Shape contrast
Zone profile

Aggregate zone heatmap

Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.

Mithrandir Metrics ZONE HEATMAP Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Pitch Zone Profile Verlander, Justin · Aggregate zone metrics; not pitch-by-pitch locations Edge: 42%42%Zone: 48%48%Whiff: 21%21%Called strike: 15%15%First pitch strike: 43%43%Hard hit allowed: 53%53% Dashed border = aggregate mixed-batter zone proxy MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Pitch arsenal

Usage mix, movement map, and Stuff+ composition

2026 pitch-level arsenal aggregates; current season takes over after 100 tracked pitches across at least 2 pitch types. Descriptive pitch-type Stuff+ composition. Not a promoted predictive metric.

Watch the pitches in 3D →

2026
Mithrandir Metrics PITCH ARSENAL DONUT Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Pitch Arsenal Verlander, Justin · 2026 arsenal snapshot 4-Seam Fastball: 50.9%Slider: 20.4%Curveball: 13.7%Changeup: 9.3%Sweeper: 4.9%Sinker: 0.9% FF51% · 93 mphprimary pitch FF 51%SL 20%CU 14%CH 9%ST 5%SI 1% MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Mithrandir Metrics PITCH MOVEMENT Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Pitch Arsenal Verlander, Justin · 2026 arsenal snapshot 15″30″45″60″ 4-Seam Fastball: 51% usage, 1″ horizontal break, 14″ drop, 93.3 mphFF93 mphSlider: 20% usage, 1″ horizontal break, 31″ drop, 87.4 mphSL87 mphCurveball: 14% usage, 0″ horizontal break, 56″ drop, 78.2 mphCU78 mphChangeup: 9% usage, 6″ horizontal break, 32″ drop, 83.2 mphCH83 mphSweeper: 5% usage, 8″ horizontal break, 45″ drop, 80.8 mphST81 mphSinker: 1% usage, 11″ horizontal break, 19″ drop, 91.9 mphSI92 mph less drop ↑ more drop ↓ · horizontal break ↔ · dot size = usage · break incl. gravity MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
PitchUsagePitchesStuff+Status
FB 42.5% 34 102 limited sample
SL 30.0% 24 89 limited sample
CB 17.5% 14 100 limited sample
CH 10.0% 8 113 limited sample
Method note

Renamed from the attempted Kirby Index after audit; true Kirby requires release-angle trajectory data.

Reference layer

Current snapshot

Age43
Height6' 5"
Weight240 lb
Debut2005-07-04
Live layer

Delta / regression

No Live State delta is available for this profile yet.

Mithrandir coverage

Module shelf

ModuleCardsLatestSignal
Pitching52026-03-304-Seam Fastball played up through SL/CU tunnel quality
Projection links / recent games

Available detail

2026-03-30 @ AZ5 ER / 1 K3.2 IP