Mithrandir Metrics
Player New York Yankees Refreshed Jul 18 06:00 AM ET
Player profile / New York Yankees

Gerrit Cole

P · Bats/Throws R/R · 6' 4", 220 lb · Age 35

Cards
10
Modules
1
Live Δ
yes
Club New York Yankees Position P Roster Active Status Healthy / active roster
Traditional line

Season by season

3D Pitch Lab Projections
WLERAGGSSVIPSOWHIP
20231542.6333330209.02220.98
2024853.411717095.0991.13
2026353.931010055.0551.16
13 Seasons156853.2032732702009.023061.09
At a glance

Season percentile report

The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.

2026-07-18
68
Pitching
percentile
Pitching9 metrics
53
Arsenal6 metrics
74
Rolling projection

Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update

Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.

2026-07-18
ERA preseason3.83
ERA current pace4.04
ERA rolling p503.93
Observed weight47%
ERA
2.97 3.42 3.93 4.44 4.89
FIP
2.80 3.37 4.00 4.64 5.21
K%
18.7% 20.4% 22.3% 24.1% 25.8%
BB%
3.9% 4.5% 5.3% 6.0% 6.6%
Live percentile strip

Current traits vs projection tick

100th = best in MLB.

2026-07-18
Pitching · percentile strip
WHIP1.22
67
ERA4.04
49
BB%5.1%
95
K%23.0%
55 +18 vs proj
xwOBA allowed0.289
73 +24 vs proj
Barrel allowed10.3%
18 -16 vs proj
Fastball velo96.7
82
Hard-hit allowed41.1%
36
Whiff%16.2%
5 -16 vs proj
Mithrandir+

Stuff+ and arsenal context

How nasty this pitcher's stuff grades in our pitch-level model. Missing coverage is shown explicitly.

2026-07-18
Changeup Stuff+99
28
Curveball Stuff+108
100
Fastball Stuff+110
94
Mithrandir Stuff+108
94
Sinker Stuff+103
57
Slider Stuff+105
70
Rolling form chart

xwOBA allowed snapshot line

Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs

12 snapshots
Mithrandir Metrics ROLLING XWOBA LINE Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Rolling xwOBA allowed Cole, Gerrit · Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs LG AVG 0.314 0.289 2026-07-07: 0.2852026-07-08: 0.2852026-07-09: 0.2852026-07-10: 0.2892026-07-11: 0.2892026-07-12: 0.2892026-07-13: 0.2892026-07-14: 0.2892026-07-15: 0.2892026-07-16: 0.2892026-07-17: 0.2892026-07-18: 0.289 2026-07-07 2026-07-18 xwOBA allowed MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Optimization map

Arsenal optimization map

Pitch-shape context from this pitcher’s current arsenal snapshot. Hover a pitch to inspect usage, movement, and bat-missing context.

5Pitches 2026Season 46%Top usage
ride armside gloveside +Arsenal gap +Shape contrast
Zone profile

Aggregate zone heatmap

Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.

Mithrandir Metrics ZONE HEATMAP Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Pitch Zone Profile Cole, Gerrit · Aggregate zone metrics; not pitch-by-pitch locations Edge: 38%38%Zone: 51%51%Whiff: 16%16%Called strike: 20%20%First pitch strike: 59%59%Hard hit allowed: 41%41% Dashed border = aggregate mixed-batter zone proxy MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Pitch arsenal

Usage mix, movement map, and Stuff+ composition

2026 pitch-level arsenal aggregates; current season takes over after 100 tracked pitches across at least 2 pitch types. Descriptive pitch-type Stuff+ composition. Not a promoted predictive metric.

Watch the pitches in 3D →

2026
Mithrandir Metrics PITCH ARSENAL DONUT Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Pitch Arsenal Cole, Gerrit · 2026 arsenal snapshot 4-Seam Fastball: 45.6%Slider: 18.9%Changeup: 14.5%Knuckle Curve: 13.5%Sinker: 7.5% FF46% · 97 mphprimary pitch FF 46%SL 19%CH 15%KC 13%SI 7% MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Mithrandir Metrics PITCH MOVEMENT Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Pitch Arsenal Cole, Gerrit · 2026 arsenal snapshot 15″30″45″60″ 4-Seam Fastball: 46% usage, 3″ horizontal break, 12″ drop, 96.8 mphFF97 mphSlider: 19% usage, 0″ horizontal break, 31″ drop, 89.3 mphSL89 mphChangeup: 15% usage, 13″ horizontal break, 28″ drop, 86.2 mphCH86 mphKnuckle Curve: 13% usage, 5″ horizontal break, 54″ drop, 82.9 mphKC83 mphSinker: 7% usage, 2″ horizontal break, 19″ drop, 96.1 mphSI96 mph less drop ↑ more drop ↓ · horizontal break ↔ · dot size = usage · break incl. gravity MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
PitchUsagePitchesStuff+Status
FB 45.0% 108 110 limited sample
SL 20.4% 49 105 limited sample
CH 14.2% 34 99 limited sample
CB 13.8% 33 108 limited sample
SI 6.7% 16 103 limited sample
Method note

Renamed from the attempted Kirby Index after audit; true Kirby requires release-angle trajectory data.

Reference layer

Current snapshot

Age35
Height6' 4"
Weight220 lb
Debut2013-06-11
Live layer

Delta / regression

ERA Δ+0.04
K% Δ+0.024

positive regression

Regression watch

Unlucky so far. Better days ahead.

2.0σ gap
wOBA-against (actual)0.352
xwOBA-against (deserved)0.289

Cole’s wOBA-against sits at 0.352, but the quality of contact underneath says it should be 0.289 — a gap of 0.063, 2.0 standard deviations from the MLB norm over 51 IP. The results have been worse than the process deserves; as the sample grows, expect the numbers to climb back toward the underlying level.

Mithrandir coverage

Module shelf

ModuleCardsLatestSignal
Pitching102026-07-17Four-Seam Fastball played up through FF/SL tunnel quality
Projection links / recent games

Available detail

Pitcher Projections 202620.6% K | 4.00 ERAProjection
2026-03-24 @ CHC1 ER / 3 K1.2 IP
2026-03-18 vs BOS0 ER / 0 K1.0 IP