Mithrandir Metrics
Player New York Yankees Refreshed Sep 2 06:00 AM ET
Player profile / New York Yankees

Gerrit Cole

P · Bats/Throws R/R · 6' 4", 220 lb · Age 35

Cards
18
Modules
1
Live Δ
yes
Club New York Yankees Position P Roster Current MLB team Status Healthy / active roster
Traditional line

Season by season

3D Pitch Lab Projections
WLERAGGSSVIPSOWHIP
20231542.6333330209.02220.98
2024853.411717095.0991.13
2026873.2918180104.01101.11
13 Seasons161873.1833533502058.023611.09
At a glance

Season percentile report

The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.

2026-09-02
83
Pitching
percentile
Pitching9 metrics
65
Arsenal6 metrics
74
Rolling projection

Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update

Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.

Pending

Rolling player projection appears after current-season Statcast and projection joins refresh.

Live percentile strip

Current traits vs projection tick

100th = best in MLB.

2026-09-02
Pitching · percentile strip
WHIP1.12
82
ERA3.11
78
BB%5.0%
96
K%25.9%
77
xwOBA allowed0.285
80
Barrel allowed7.9%
43
Fastball velo96.8
84
Hard-hit allowed44.2%
13
Whiff%20.6%
31
Mithrandir+

Stuff+ and arsenal context

How nasty this pitcher's stuff grades in our pitch-level model. Missing coverage is shown explicitly.

2026-09-02
Fastball Stuff+106
76
Mithrandir Stuff+106
87
Changeup Stuff+101
42
Curveball Stuff+108
99
Sinker Stuff+102
50
Slider Stuff+108
91
Rolling form chart

xwOBA allowed snapshot line

Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs

12 snapshots
Mithrandir Metrics ROLLING XWOBA LINE Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Rolling xwOBA allowed Cole, Gerrit · Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs LG AVG 0.313 0.285 2026-08-22: 0.2852026-08-23: 0.2852026-08-24: 0.2852026-08-25: 0.2822026-08-26: 0.2822026-08-27: 0.2822026-08-28: 0.2812026-08-29: 0.2812026-08-30: 0.2812026-08-31: 0.2812026-09-01: 0.2812026-09-02: 0.285 2026-08-22 2026-09-02 xwOBA allowed MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Optimization map

Arsenal optimization map

Pitch-shape context from this pitcher’s current arsenal snapshot. Hover a pitch to inspect usage, movement, and bat-missing context.

5Pitches 2026Season 49%Top usage
ride armside gloveside +Arsenal gap +Shape contrast
Zone profile

Aggregate zone heatmap

Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.

Mithrandir Metrics ZONE HEATMAP Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Pitch Zone Profile Cole, Gerrit · Aggregate zone metrics; not pitch-by-pitch locations Edge: 37%37%Zone: 53%53%Whiff: 21%21%Called strike: 19%19%First pitch strike: 57%57%Hard hit allowed: 44%44% Dashed border = aggregate mixed-batter zone proxy MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Pitch arsenal

Usage mix, movement map, and Stuff+ composition

2026 pitch-level arsenal aggregates; current season takes over after 100 tracked pitches across at least 2 pitch types. Descriptive pitch-type Stuff+ composition. Not a promoted predictive metric.

Watch the pitches in 3D →

2026
Mithrandir Metrics PITCH ARSENAL DONUT Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Pitch Arsenal Cole, Gerrit · 2026 arsenal snapshot 4-Seam Fastball: 49.5%Slider: 19.2%Knuckle Curve: 14.1%Changeup: 13.6%Sinker: 3.7% FF49% · 97 mphprimary pitch FF 49%SL 19%KC 14%CH 14%SI 4% MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Mithrandir Metrics PITCH MOVEMENT Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Pitch Arsenal Cole, Gerrit · 2026 arsenal snapshot 15″30″45″60″ 4-Seam Fastball: 49% usage, 2″ horizontal break, 13″ drop, 96.8 mphFF97 mphSlider: 19% usage, 0″ horizontal break, 31″ drop, 89.7 mphSL90 mphKnuckle Curve: 14% usage, 3″ horizontal break, 54″ drop, 83.3 mphKC83 mphChangeup: 14% usage, 12″ horizontal break, 28″ drop, 86.1 mphCH86 mphSinker: 4% usage, 2″ horizontal break, 19″ drop, 96.1 mphSI96 mph less drop ↑ more drop ↓ · horizontal break ↔ · dot size = usage · break incl. gravity MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
PitchUsagePitchesStuff+Status
FB 52.8% 310 106 qualified
SL 18.4% 108 108 limited sample
CB 14.0% 82 108 limited sample
CH 12.1% 71 101 limited sample
SI 2.7% 16 102 limited sample
Method note

Renamed from the attempted Kirby Index after audit; true Kirby requires release-angle trajectory data.

Reference layer

Current snapshot

Age35
Height6' 4"
Weight220 lb
Debut2013-06-11
Live layer

Delta / regression

ERA Δ--
K% Δ--

positive regression

Regression watch

Unlucky so far. Better days ahead.

0.7σ gap
wOBA-against (actual)0.305
xwOBA-against (deserved)0.285

Cole’s wOBA-against sits at 0.305, but the quality of contact underneath says it should be 0.285 — a gap of 0.020, 0.7 standard deviations from the MLB norm over 105 IP. The results have been worse than the process deserves; as the sample grows, expect the numbers to climb back toward the underlying level.

Mithrandir coverage

Module shelf

ModuleCardsLatestSignal
Pitching182026-09-01Four-Seam Fastball played up through KC/SL tunnel quality
Projection links / recent games

Available detail

Pitcher Projections 202620.6% K | 4.00 ERAProjection
2026-03-24 @ CHC1 ER / 3 K1.2 IP
2026-03-18 vs BOS0 ER / 0 K1.0 IP