Reference layer
Current snapshot
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Player profile / CWS
Randal Grichuk
Player · Bats/Throws R/R · 6' 0", 210 lb · Age 34
Club CWS
Position --
Roster Active
Status Healthy / active roster
Traditional line
Season by season
| PA | R | H | HR | SB | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 279 | 40 | 74 | 12 | 0 | .291 | .348 | .528 | .876 |
| 2025 | 293 | 35 | 62 | 9 | 0 | .228 | .273 | .401 | .674 |
| 2026 | 147 | 22 | 34 | 9 | 0 | .245 | .279 | .511 | .790 |
| 13 Seasons | 4980 | 633 | 1160 | 221 | 27 | .250 | .297 | .466 | .763 |
At a glance
Season percentile report
The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.
88
Offense
percentile
percentile
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.311 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.361 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.332 |
| Observed weight | 43% |
xwOBA
0.300
0.315
0.332
0.349
0.364
wOBA
0.316
0.339
0.365
0.390
0.413
ISO
0.159
0.180
0.203
0.226
0.247
K%
17.6%
19.5%
21.6%
23.7%
25.6%
Live percentile strip
Current traits vs projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%9.1%
92
+28 vs proj
Exit velocity90.5
80
Hard-hit%46.2%
81
xBA0.382
93
xSLG0.692
93
xwOBA0.361
90
+35 vs proj
BB%4.3%
9
Bat speed72.3
81
K%22.0%
52
Defense · percentile strip
Outs Above Avg0.0 · LF
46
Arm Runs-0.5 · LF
Small sample
Range Runs-1.6 · LF
Small sample
Baserunning · percentile strip
Sprint Speed27.3 · DH
48
Mithrandir+
Plate skills: swing decisions and pitch-type resistance
Our research metrics for how this hitter controls the strike zone and handles each pitch family.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 63.4% · rebadged research
39
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 26.1% · rebadged research
40
Correct Decisions64.8% · rebadged research
36
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.340 · borderline
1
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.286 · insufficient sample
28
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.285 · validated thin sample
36
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.329 · insufficient sample
59
Resists FastballwOBA 0.322 · validated
80
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.373 · validated
18
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline98
35
Rolling form chart
xwOBA snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
75 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Live layer
Delta / regression
| xwOBA Δ | +0.049 |
| wOBA Δ | +0.053 |
negative regression
Regression watch
Running hot. Expect some cooling.
Grichuk’s wOBA sits at 0.365, but the quality of contact underneath says it should be 0.361 — a gap of 0.004, -0.1 standard deviations from the MLB norm over 164 PA. The results have outrun the underlying process; as the sample grows, expect the numbers to drift back toward the deserved level.
Mithrandir coverage
Module shelf
| Module | Cards | Latest | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hitting | 2 | 2026-04-22 | Impact contact was the main driver |
Projection links / recent games
Available detail
| Hitter Projections 20260.311 xwOBA | 13 HR | Projection |
| 2026-05-20 @ SEA1 HR | 1 RBI / 0 Ch | 0 E | 1-1 | HR, RBI, R |
| 2026-04-15 vs LAA0 HR | 0 RBI / 0 Ch | 0 E | 0-0 |
| 2026-04-14 vs LAA0 HR | 0 RBI / 1 Ch | 0 E | 1-3 | 2B, K, R |
| 2026-04-13 vs LAA0 HR | 0 RBI / 1 Ch | 0 E | 0-1 | BB, R |
| 2026-04-12 @ TB0 HR | 0 RBI / 2 Ch | 0 E | 0-2 | K |