Mithrandir Metrics
Player Lakeland Flying Tigers Refreshed Jul 18 06:00 AM ET
Player profile / Lakeland Flying Tigers

Burch Smith

P · Bats/Throws R/R · 6' 4", 225 lb · Age 36

Cards
2
Modules
1
Live Δ
--
Club Lakeland Flying Tigers Position P Roster Injured 60-Day Status Healthy / active roster
Traditional line

Season by season

3D Pitch Lab Projections
WLERAGGSSVIPSOWHIP
2021115.40310043.1281.38
2024414.95500056.1461.35
2026023.18131017.0201.47
7 Seasons9145.62165141264.12501.51
At a glance

Season percentile report

The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.

2026-07-18
33
Pitching
percentile
Arsenal5 metrics
33
Rolling projection

Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update

Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.

2026-07-18
ERA preseason3.87
ERA current pace3.18
ERA rolling p503.69
Observed weight25%
ERA
1.75 2.67 3.69 4.72 5.64
FIP
3.18 3.35 3.54 3.73 3.90
K%
14.0% 17.1% 20.4% 23.8% 26.9%
BB%
4.3% 5.7% 7.3% 8.9% 10.3%
Live percentile strip

Current traits vs projection tick

100th = best in MLB.

2026-07-18
Mithrandir+

Stuff+ and arsenal context

How nasty this pitcher's stuff grades in our pitch-level model. Missing coverage is shown explicitly.

2026-07-18
Changeup Stuff+92
7
Curveball Stuff+102
46
Cutter Stuff+100
36
Fastball Stuff+102
46
Mithrandir Stuff+100
31
Rolling form chart

xwOBA allowed snapshot line

Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs

0 snapshots
No chart yet

No Live State xwOBA snapshots are available for this player.

Optimization map

Arsenal optimization map

Pitch-shape context from this pitcher’s current arsenal snapshot. Hover a pitch to inspect usage, movement, and bat-missing context.

5Pitches 2026Season 43%Top usage
ride armside gloveside +Arsenal gap +Shape contrast
Zone profile

Aggregate zone heatmap

Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.

Mithrandir Metrics ZONE HEATMAP Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Pitch Zone Profile Smith, Burch · Aggregate zone metrics; not pitch-by-pitch locations Edge: 37%37%Zone: 51%51%Whiff: 21%21%Called strike: 18%18%First pitch strike: 45%45%Hard hit allowed: 48%48% Dashed border = aggregate mixed-batter zone proxy MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Pitch arsenal

Usage mix, movement map, and Stuff+ composition

2026 pitch-level arsenal aggregates; current season takes over after 100 tracked pitches across at least 2 pitch types. Descriptive pitch-type Stuff+ composition. Not a promoted predictive metric.

Watch the pitches in 3D →

2026
Mithrandir Metrics PITCH ARSENAL DONUT Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Pitch Arsenal Smith, Burch · 2026 arsenal snapshot 4-Seam Fastball: 42.9%Curveball: 24.0%Cutter: 21.8%Changeup: 9.9%Sinker: 1.3% FF43% · 94 mphprimary pitch FF 43%CU 24%FC 22%CH 10%SI 1% MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Mithrandir Metrics PITCH MOVEMENT Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Pitch Arsenal Smith, Burch · 2026 arsenal snapshot 15″30″45″60″ 4-Seam Fastball: 43% usage, 2″ horizontal break, 14″ drop, 93.9 mphFF94 mphCurveball: 24% usage, 1″ horizontal break, 54″ drop, 82.2 mphCU82 mphCutter: 22% usage, 0″ horizontal break, 31″ drop, 87.9 mphFC88 mphChangeup: 10% usage, 8″ horizontal break, 35″ drop, 84.5 mphCH85 mphSinker: 1% usage, 11″ horizontal break, 25″ drop, 92.5 mphSI92 mph less drop ↑ more drop ↓ · horizontal break ↔ · dot size = usage · break incl. gravity MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
PitchUsagePitchesStuff+Status
FB 43.6% 125 102 limited sample
CB 25.4% 73 102 limited sample
FC 20.9% 60 100 limited sample
CH 9.4% 27 92 limited sample
SI 0.7% 2 54 limited sample
Method note

Renamed from the attempted Kirby Index after audit; true Kirby requires release-angle trajectory data.

Reference layer

Current snapshot

Age36
Height6' 4"
Weight225 lb
Debut2013-05-11
Live layer

Delta / regression

No Live State delta is available for this profile yet.

Mithrandir coverage

Module shelf

ModuleCardsLatestSignal
Pitching22026-05-09Stuff and strike quality carried the outing
Projection links / recent games

Available detail

2026-03-20 @ PHI0 ER / 0 K0.2 IP