Mithrandir Metrics
Player San Diego Padres Refreshed Jun 1 06:00 AM ET
Player profile / San Diego Padres

Nick Castellanos

RF profile with live context, projection links, and Mithrandir card history when available.

Cards
2
Modules
1
Live Δ
yes
Club San Diego Padres Position RF Roster Active Status Healthy / active roster
Rolling projection

Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update

Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.

2026-06-01
xwOBA preseason0.315
xwOBA current pace0.285
xwOBA rolling p500.304
Observed weight38%
xwOBA
0.273 0.288 0.304 0.320 0.334
wOBA
0.229 0.252 0.278 0.304 0.327
ISO
0.114 0.135 0.158 0.182 0.203
K%
21.2% 22.9% 24.7% 26.5% 28.1%
Live percentile strip

Current traits vs projection tick

100th = best in MLB.

2026-06-01
Hitting · percentile strip
BB%3.6%
7
Barrel%5.1%
51
Bat speed68.0
27
Exit velocity88.2
46
Hard-hit%36.6%
36
K%27.0%
26
xBA0.346
71
xSLG0.568
66
xwOBA0.285
27 -23 vs proj
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Strength82.1 · RF
1
Outs Above Avg-1.0 · RF
20
Arm Runs-0.5 · RF
Limited
Range Runs-3.1 · RF
Limited
Baserunning · percentile strip
Sprint Speed27.2 · RF
47
Mithrandir+

Stuff+ and arsenal context

Stuff+ appears when the current pitch-event scoring artifact includes this pitcher; missing coverage is shown explicitly.

2026-06-01
Avoids Bad ChasesST 54.0% · rebadged research
8
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 21.0% · rebadged research
83
Correct Decisions62.1% · rebadged research
15
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.286 · borderline
44
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.260 · insufficient sample
92
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.266 · validated thin sample
79
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.326 · insufficient sample
67
Resists FastballwOBA 0.313 · validated
92
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.358 · validated
45
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline95
17
Rolling form chart

xwOBA snapshot line

Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs

12 snapshots
Mithrandir Metrics ROLLING XWOBA LINE Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Rolling xwOBA Castellanos, Nick · Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs LG AVG 0.313 2026-05-17: 0.3012026-05-19: 0.3012026-05-21: 0.2832026-05-23: 0.2952026-05-24: 0.2932026-05-25: 0.2912026-05-26: 0.2882026-05-28: 0.2882026-05-29: 0.2862026-05-30: 0.2862026-05-31: 0.2862026-06-01: 0.285 2026-05-17 2026-06-01 xwOBA MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Zone profile

Aggregate zone heatmap

Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.

Mithrandir Metrics ZONE HEATMAP Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Swing Zone Profile Castellanos, Nick · Aggregate zone metrics; not pitch-by-pitch locations Zone: 45%45%Chase: 40%40%Whiff: 31%31%Zone contact: 80%80%Contact: 69%69%Hard hit: 37%37% Dashed border = aggregate mixed-batter zone proxy MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Reference layer

Current snapshot

Age34
Height6' 3"
Weight203 lb
Debut2013-09-01
Live layer

Delta / regression

xwOBA Δ-0.024
wOBA Δ-0.031

positive regression

Mithrandir coverage

Module shelf

ModuleCardsLatestSignal
Hitting22026-05-22Impact contact was the main driver
Projection links / recent games

Available detail

Hitter Projections 20260.309 xwOBA | 20 HRProjection
2026-05-20 vs LAD0 HR | 0 RBI / 3 Ch | 0 E1-3
2026-04-17 @ LAA0 HR | 0 RBI / 0 Ch | 0 E0-4 | 4 K
2026-04-15 vs SEA0 HR | 0 RBI / 1 Ch | 0 E0-4 | 2 K
2026-04-12 vs COL0 HR | 0 RBI / 0 Ch | 0 E0-4
2026-04-11 vs COL0 HR | 0 RBI / 1 Ch | 0 E1-3 | BB