Mithrandir Metrics
Player HOU Refreshed Jul 17 06:00 AM ET
Player profile / HOU

Steven Okert

Player · Bats/Throws L/L · 6' 2", 202 lb · Age 35

Cards
1
Modules
1
Live Δ
yes
Club HOU Position -- Roster Active Status Healthy / active roster
Traditional line

Season by season

3D Pitch Lab Projections
WLERAGGSSVIPSOWHIP
2024325.09441135.1331.50
2025323.01681171.2840.89
2026212.27471047.2490.82
9 Seasons20143.5138752349.03861.10
At a glance

Season percentile report

The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.

2026-07-17
83
Pitching
percentile
Pitching9 metrics
76
Arsenal4 metrics
42
Rolling projection

Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update

Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.

2026-07-17
ERA preseason4.13
ERA current pace2.31
ERA rolling p503.32
Observed weight45%
ERA
2.25 2.76 3.32 3.88 4.39
FIP
2.68 3.07 3.51 3.95 4.34
K%
22.6% 24.3% 26.3% 28.2% 29.9%
BB%
6.0% 7.0% 8.0% 9.1% 10.1%
Live percentile strip

Current traits vs projection tick

100th = best in MLB.

2026-07-17
Pitching · percentile strip
WHIP0.92
95
ERA2.31
91
BB%8.2%
57
K%26.3%
75
xwOBA allowed0.251
96 +30 vs proj
Barrel allowed4.9%
86 +46 vs proj
Fastball velo91.1
7
Hard-hit allowed29.5%
95
Whiff%27.9%
83
Mithrandir+

Stuff+ and arsenal context

How nasty this pitcher's stuff grades in our pitch-level model. Missing coverage is shown explicitly.

2026-07-17
Slider Stuff+105
73
Fastball Stuff+99
29
Mithrandir Stuff+103
59
Sinker Stuff+91
6
Rolling form chart

xwOBA allowed snapshot line

Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs

12 snapshots
Mithrandir Metrics ROLLING XWOBA LINE Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Rolling xwOBA allowed Okert, Steven · Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs LG AVG 0.314 0.251 2026-07-06: 0.2632026-07-07: 0.2582026-07-08: 0.2582026-07-09: 0.2582026-07-10: 0.2582026-07-11: 0.2582026-07-12: 0.2532026-07-13: 0.2532026-07-14: 0.2512026-07-15: 0.2512026-07-16: 0.2512026-07-17: 0.251 2026-07-06 2026-07-17 xwOBA allowed MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Optimization map

Arsenal optimization map

Pitch-shape context from this pitcher’s current arsenal snapshot. Hover a pitch to inspect usage, movement, and bat-missing context.

4Pitches 2026Season 67%Top usage
ride armside gloveside +Arsenal gap +Shape contrast
Zone profile

Aggregate zone heatmap

Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.

Mithrandir Metrics ZONE HEATMAP Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Pitch Zone Profile Okert, Steven · Aggregate zone metrics; not pitch-by-pitch locations Edge: 38%38%Zone: 51%51%Whiff: 28%28%Called strike: 16%16%First pitch strike: 49%49%Hard hit allowed: 30%30% Dashed border = aggregate mixed-batter zone proxy MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Pitch arsenal

Usage mix, movement map, and Stuff+ composition

2026 pitch-level arsenal aggregates; current season takes over after 100 tracked pitches across at least 2 pitch types. Descriptive pitch-type Stuff+ composition. Not a promoted predictive metric.

Watch the pitches in 3D →

2026
Mithrandir Metrics PITCH ARSENAL DONUT Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Pitch Arsenal Okert, Steven · 2026 arsenal snapshot Slider: 67.3%4-Seam Fastball: 28.3%Sinker: 4.3%Changeup: 0.1% SL67% · 81 mphprimary pitch SL 67%FF 28%SI 4%CH 0% MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Mithrandir Metrics PITCH MOVEMENT Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Pitch Arsenal Okert, Steven · 2026 arsenal snapshot 9″18″27″36″ Slider: 67% usage, 1″ horizontal break, 34″ drop, 80.8 mphSL81 mph4-Seam Fastball: 28% usage, 3″ horizontal break, 17″ drop, 91.2 mphFF91 mphSinker: 4% usage, 14″ horizontal break, 23″ drop, 90.8 mphSI91 mphChangeup: 0% usage, 11″ horizontal break, 23″ drop, 86.1 mphCH86 mph less drop ↑ more drop ↓ · horizontal break ↔ · dot size = usage · break incl. gravity MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
PitchUsagePitchesStuff+Status
SL 68.8% 308 105 qualified
FB 28.8% 129 99 limited sample
SI 2.5% 11 91 limited sample
Method note

Renamed from the attempted Kirby Index after audit; true Kirby requires release-angle trajectory data.

Reference layer

Current snapshot

MLB bio context is unavailable.
Live layer

Delta / regression

ERA Δ-1.47
K% Δ+0.001

positive regression

Regression watch

Unlucky so far. Better days ahead.

0.7σ gap
wOBA-against (actual)0.274
xwOBA-against (deserved)0.251

Okert’s wOBA-against sits at 0.274, but the quality of contact underneath says it should be 0.251 — a gap of 0.023, 0.7 standard deviations from the MLB norm over 49 IP. The results have been worse than the process deserves; as the sample grows, expect the numbers to climb back toward the underlying level.

Mithrandir coverage

Module shelf

ModuleCardsLatestSignal
Pitching12026-05-04Stuff and strike quality carried the outing
Projection links / recent games

Available detail

Pitcher Projections 202626.2% K | 3.78 ERAProjection
2026-04-20 @ CLE0 HR | 0 RBI / 0 Ch | 0 E0 H in 0 AB
2026-04-17 vs STL0 HR | 0 RBI / 0 Ch | 0 E0 H in 0 AB
2026-04-15 vs COL0 HR | 0 RBI / 0 Ch | 0 E0 H in 0 AB
2026-04-14 vs COL0 HR | 0 RBI / 0 Ch | 0 E0 H in 0 AB
2026-04-11 @ SEA0 HR | 0 RBI / 0 Ch | 0 E0 H in 0 AB