Mithrandir Metrics
Player Los Angeles Dodgers Refreshed Oct 21 06:00 AM ET
Player profile / Los Angeles Dodgers

Blake Snell

P · Bats/Throws L/L · 6' 4", 225 lb · Age 33

Cards
15
Modules
1
Live Δ
yes
Club Los Angeles Dodgers Position P Roster Current MLB team Status Healthy / active roster
Traditional line

Season by season

3D Pitch Lab Projections
WLERAGGSSVIPSOWHIP
2024533.1220200104.01451.05
2025542.351111061.1721.26
2026411.9099042.2551.10
11 Seasons85633.1023123101200.214951.22
At a glance

Season percentile report

The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.

2026-10-21
79
Pitching
percentile
Pitching9 metrics
85
Arsenal5 metrics
75
Rolling projection

Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update

Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.

Pending

Rolling player projection appears after current-season Statcast and projection joins refresh.

Live percentile strip

Current traits vs projection tick

100th = best in MLB.

2026-10-21
Pitching · percentile strip
WHIP1.19
74
ERA1.90
97
BB%10.6%
30
K%31.7%
96
xwOBA allowed0.245
98
Barrel allowed4.0%
94
Fastball velo96.2
77
Hard-hit allowed21.0%
100
Whiff%32.7%
98
Mithrandir+

Stuff+ and arsenal context

How nasty this pitcher's stuff grades in our pitch-level model. Missing coverage is shown explicitly.

2026-10-21
Fastball Stuff+108
91
Mithrandir Stuff+106
87
Changeup Stuff+110
96
Curveball Stuff+103
60
Slider Stuff+101
39
Rolling form chart

xwOBA allowed snapshot line

Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs

12 snapshots
Mithrandir Metrics ROLLING XWOBA LINE Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Rolling xwOBA allowed Snell, Blake · Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs LG AVG 0.314 0.245 2026-10-10: 0.2332026-10-11: 0.2332026-10-12: 0.2332026-10-13: 0.2332026-10-14: 0.2332026-10-15: 0.2452026-10-16: 0.2452026-10-17: 0.2452026-10-18: 0.2452026-10-19: 0.2452026-10-20: 0.2452026-10-21: 0.245 2026-10-10 2026-10-21 xwOBA allowed MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Optimization map

Arsenal optimization map

Pitch-shape context from this pitcher’s current arsenal snapshot. Hover a pitch to inspect usage, movement, and bat-missing context.

4Pitches 2026Season 48%Top usage
ride armside gloveside +Arsenal gap +Shape contrast
Zone profile

Aggregate zone heatmap

Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.

Mithrandir Metrics ZONE HEATMAP Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Pitch Zone Profile Snell, Blake · Aggregate zone metrics; not pitch-by-pitch locations Edge: 41%41%Zone: 40%40%Whiff: 33%33%Called strike: 15%15%First pitch strike: 58%58%Hard hit allowed: 21%21% Dashed border = aggregate mixed-batter zone proxy MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Pitch arsenal

Usage mix, movement map, and Stuff+ composition

2026 pitch-level arsenal aggregates; current season takes over after 100 tracked pitches across at least 2 pitch types. Descriptive pitch-type Stuff+ composition. Not a promoted predictive metric.

Watch the pitches in 3D →

2026
Mithrandir Metrics PITCH ARSENAL DONUT Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Pitch Arsenal Snell, Blake · 2026 arsenal snapshot 4-Seam Fastball: 48.3%Curveball: 23.0%Changeup: 17.6%Slider: 11.2% FF48% · 96 mphprimary pitch FF 48%CU 23%CH 18%SL 11% MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Mithrandir Metrics PITCH MOVEMENT Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Pitch Arsenal Snell, Blake · 2026 arsenal snapshot 15″30″45″60″ 4-Seam Fastball: 48% usage, 2″ horizontal break, 11″ drop, 96.2 mphFF96 mphCurveball: 23% usage, 6″ horizontal break, 51″ drop, 80.3 mphCU80 mphChangeup: 18% usage, 11″ horizontal break, 30″ drop, 85.0 mphCH85 mphSlider: 11% usage, 1″ horizontal break, 27″ drop, 89.0 mphSL89 mph less drop ↑ more drop ↓ · horizontal break ↔ · dot size = usage · break incl. gravity MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
PitchUsagePitchesStuff+Status
FB 49.7% 359 108 qualified
CB 21.6% 156 103 limited sample
CH 17.7% 128 110 limited sample
SL 10.9% 79 101 limited sample
Method note

Renamed from the attempted Kirby Index after audit; true Kirby requires release-angle trajectory data.

Reference layer

Current snapshot

Age33
Height6' 4"
Weight225 lb
Debut2016-04-23
Live layer

Delta / regression

ERA Δ--
K% Δ--

positive regression

Regression watch

Unlucky so far. Better days ahead.

0.9σ gap
wOBA-against (actual)0.272
xwOBA-against (deserved)0.245

Snell’s wOBA-against sits at 0.272, but the quality of contact underneath says it should be 0.245 — a gap of 0.027, 0.9 standard deviations from the MLB norm over 51 IP. The results have been worse than the process deserves; as the sample grows, expect the numbers to climb back toward the underlying level.

Mithrandir coverage

Module shelf

ModuleCardsLatestSignal
Pitching152026-10-14Four-Seam Fastball played up through CU/SL tunnel quality
Projection links / recent games

Available detail

No projection links or recent game log rows are available yet.