Mithrandir Metrics
Player Houston Astros Refreshed Sep 1 06:00 AM ET
Player profile / Houston Astros

Carlos Correa

SS · Bats/Throws R/R · 6' 3", 220 lb · Age 31

Cards
0
Modules
0
Live Δ
yes
Club Houston Astros Position SS Roster Current MLB team Status IL-60
Traditional line

Season by season

PARHHRSBAVGOBPSLGOPS
20243675599140.310.388.517.905
202558463148130.276.332.402.734
2026141223431.279.369.418.787
12 Seasons5485708133220334.275.352.463.815
At a glance

Season percentile report

The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.

2026-09-01
77
Offense
percentile
Offense9 metrics
79
Defense4 metrics
63
Speed1 metrics
45
Plate skills10 metrics
33
Rolling projection

Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update

Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.

Pending

Rolling player projection appears after current-season Statcast and projection joins refresh.

Live percentile strip

Current traits vs projection tick

100th = best in MLB.

2026-09-01
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%6.7%
77
Exit velocity89.1
63
Hard-hit%40.2%
58
xBA0.367
92
xSLG0.583
75
xwOBA0.364
95
BB%13.4%
93
Bat speed71.9
78
K%18.1%
75
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Runs-0.0 · SS
35
Arm Strength91.8 · SS
82
Outs Above Avg1.0 · SS
72
Range Runs0.8 · SS
62
Baserunning · percentile strip
Sprint Speed27.2 · SS
45
SB Success Rate100.0% · SS
Small sample
Mithrandir+

Plate skills: swing decisions and pitch-type resistance

Our research metrics for how this hitter controls the strike zone and handles each pitch family.

2026-09-01
Avoids Bad ChasesST 64.1% · rebadged research
44
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 27.5% · rebadged research
29
Correct Decisions62.5% · rebadged research
20
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.306 · borderline
21
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.298 · insufficient sample
10
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.277 · validated thin sample
50
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.332 · insufficient sample
38
Resists FastballwOBA 0.341 · validated
43
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.358 · validated
42
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline97
33
Rolling form chart

xwOBA snapshot line

Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs

12 snapshots
Mithrandir Metrics ROLLING XWOBA LINE Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Rolling xwOBA Correa, Carlos · Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs LG AVG 0.303 0.364 2026-08-21: 0.3642026-08-22: 0.3642026-08-23: 0.3642026-08-24: 0.3642026-08-25: 0.3642026-08-26: 0.3642026-08-27: 0.3642026-08-28: 0.3642026-08-29: 0.3642026-08-30: 0.3642026-08-31: 0.3642026-09-01: 0.364 2026-08-21 2026-09-01 xwOBA MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Spray profile

Field-coordinate spray profile

102 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.

Mithrandir Metrics SPRAY CHART Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Spray Chart Correa, Carlos · Statcast batted-ball landing coordinates Left field third: 18% of plotted batted ballsPull 18%Center field third: 70% of plotted batted ballsCenter 70%Right field third: 13% of plotted batted ballsOppo 13% LF 315 CF 409 RF 326 2026-03-18 · single · SI · fly_ball · EV 70.4 / LA 38.02026-03-19 · field out · FC · ground_ball · EV 77.9 / LA -16.02026-03-19 · field out · FO · fly_ball · EV 90.5 / LA 34.02026-03-20 · single · FF · line_drive · EV 107.1 / LA 12.02026-03-20 · field out · SL · ground_ball · EV 87.7 / LA 4.02026-03-26 · field out · SI · line_drive · EV 88.3 / LA 26.02026-03-26 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 91.0 / LA -21.02026-03-26 · field out · KC · ground_ball · EV 64.2 / LA -47.02026-03-27 · single · FC · ground_ball · EV 103.8 / LA -2.02026-03-27 · field out · ST · line_drive · EV 86.8 / LA 24.02026-03-27 · single · FC · ground_ball · EV 107.6 / LA -1.02026-03-28 · single · SI · line_drive · EV 81.8 / LA 17.02026-03-28 · field out · CU · popup · EV 82.5 / LA 84.02026-03-28 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 71.5 / LA -4.02026-03-28 · single · SI · ground_ball · EV 68.5 / LA -69.02026-03-29 · field out · SI · line_drive · EV 96.7 / LA 23.02026-03-29 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 106.1 / LA -8.02026-03-29 · field out · FS · line_drive · EV 90.6 / LA 9.02026-03-29 · field out · SL · ground_ball · EV 98.9 / LA -12.02026-03-30 · grounded into double play · FC · ground_ball · EV 79.7 / LA -1.02026-03-30 · field out · SI · line_drive · EV 103.6 / LA 14.02026-03-30 · force out · SL · ground_ball · EV 72.5 / LA 8.02026-03-30 · single · FF · ground_ball · EV 104.7 / LA -3.02026-03-31 · single · SI · line_drive · EV 93.7 / LA 14.02026-03-31 · double · SI · fly_ball · EV 99.6 / LA 24.02026-04-01 · field error · ST · ground_ball · EV 68.6 / LA -28.02026-04-01 · grounded into double play · FC · ground_ball · EV 104.7 / LA 3.02026-04-01 · home run · ST · line_drive · EV 106.7 / LA 25.02026-04-01 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 70.0 / LA 4.02026-04-03 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 87.6 / LA -21.02026-04-04 · force out · FF · ground_ball · EV 89.1 / LA -32.02026-04-04 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 89.9 / LA 26.02026-04-04 · field out · SL · fly_ball · EV 88.9 / LA 57.02026-04-04 · grounded into double play · SI · ground_ball · EV 87.2 / LA -7.02026-04-05 · single · SI · line_drive · EV 109.7 / LA 6.02026-04-05 · field out · SI · line_drive · EV 82.7 / LA 21.02026-04-05 · single · CU · ground_ball · EV 83.0 / LA 13.02026-04-06 · double · FF · line_drive · EV 104.7 / LA 21.02026-04-06 · field out · CU · fly_ball · EV 103.5 / LA 27.02026-04-06 · field out · SL · fly_ball · EV 83.2 / LA 56.02026-04-06 · field out · ST · fly_ball · EV 79.9 / LA 60.02026-04-10 · single · SI · line_drive · EV 113.1 / LA 10.02026-04-10 · field out · ST · fly_ball · EV 88.8 / LA 48.02026-04-10 · field out · SI · line_drive · EV 97.3 / LA 19.02026-04-11 · double · SI · line_drive · EV 105.1 / LA 14.02026-04-11 · single · FF · ground_ball · EV 109.3 / LA -15.02026-04-11 · field out · SL · popup · EV 76.0 / LA 60.02026-04-11 · force out · SI · ground_ball · EV 111.3 / LA -16.02026-04-11 · single · SL · line_drive · EV 70.3 / LA 18.02026-04-13 · single · ST · ground_ball · EV 66.9 / LA 3.02026-04-13 · field out · SI · fly_ball · EV 99.9 / LA 26.02026-04-14 · single · ST · line_drive · EV 86.7 / LA 13.02026-04-14 · force out · SI · ground_ball · EV 104.3 / LA 1.02026-04-14 · field out · CU · ground_ball · EV 95.3 / LA -33.02026-04-14 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 102.8 / LA -17.02026-04-15 · field out · FF · popup · EV 91.3 / LA 83.02026-04-15 · field out · FF · line_drive · EV 81.3 / LA 26.02026-04-16 · field out · FF · line_drive · EV 82.4 / LA 8.02026-04-16 · double · CH · ground_ball · EV 103.3 / LA 5.02026-04-17 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 85.2 / LA 38.02026-04-17 · double · SL · line_drive · EV 112.8 / LA 16.02026-04-17 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 52.4 / LA -33.02026-04-17 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 68.6 / LA -43.02026-04-18 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 72.8 / LA -21.02026-04-19 · sac fly · SL · fly_ball · EV 87.5 / LA 48.02026-04-19 · field out · ST · line_drive · EV 106.6 / LA 16.02026-04-19 · fielders choice out · FF · ground_ball · EV 63.5 / LA -67.02026-04-19 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 60.2 / LA -1.02026-04-20 · single · FF · line_drive · EV 101.6 / LA 15.02026-04-20 · single · CU · line_drive · EV 76.9 / LA 23.02026-04-20 · single · FF · ground_ball · EV 91.9 / LA 8.02026-04-21 · grounded into double play · FF · ground_ball · EV 64.4 / LA -12.02026-04-21 · single · CU · line_drive · EV 94.3 / LA 15.02026-04-21 · single · CU · popup · EV 65.0 / LA 48.02026-04-22 · double · SI · line_drive · EV 108.0 / LA 9.02026-04-22 · grounded into double play · CH · ground_ball · EV 75.7 / LA -7.02026-04-22 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 102.1 / LA -19.02026-04-24 · field out · ST · ground_ball · EV 65.1 / LA -37.02026-04-24 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 80.9 / LA -27.02026-04-25 · double · SL · line_drive · EV 106.9 / LA 17.02026-04-25 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 102.1 / LA 3.02026-04-25 · home run · ST · fly_ball · EV 104.4 / LA 35.02026-04-26 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 79.5 / LA -17.02026-04-26 · field out · SL · ground_ball · EV 103.9 / LA 5.02026-04-28 · field out · FF · line_drive · EV 95.9 / LA 22.02026-04-28 · single · KC · line_drive · EV 109.9 / LA 9.02026-04-28 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 87.1 / LA -27.02026-04-30 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 83.6 / LA -46.02026-04-30 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 98.9 / LA -26.02026-04-30 · force out · SL · ground_ball · EV 77.7 / LA 8.02026-04-30 · single · SL · line_drive · EV 102.1 / LA 8.02026-05-01 · single · FF · fly_ball · EV 69.6 / LA 30.02026-05-01 · field out · SI · fly_ball · EV 97.8 / LA 37.02026-05-01 · double · SI · fly_ball · EV 108.0 / LA 20.02026-05-01 · home run · FF · fly_ball · EV 109.0 / LA 40.02026-05-01 · field out · SI · line_drive · EV 75.4 / LA 25.02026-05-02 · single · SI · line_drive · EV 80.8 / LA 21.02026-05-02 · field out · CH · fly_ball · EV 85.3 / LA 33.02026-05-02 · single · SI · ground_ball · EV 80.4 / LA 3.02026-05-03 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 52.0 / LA -29.02026-05-03 · field out · CH · line_drive · EV 92.2 / LA 22.02026-05-04 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 95.4 / LA -21.0 1B2B3BHROut Zone shading = batted-ball density by field third · hover dots for date, pitch, EV, and LA. MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Zone profile

Aggregate zone heatmap

Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.

Mithrandir Metrics ZONE HEATMAP Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Swing Zone Profile Correa, Carlos · Aggregate zone metrics; not pitch-by-pitch locations Zone: 44%44%Chase: 31%31%Whiff: 21%21%Zone contact: 85%85%Contact: 79%79%Hard hit: 40%40% Dashed border = aggregate mixed-batter zone proxy MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Bat tracking

Swing path, attack angle, bat speed

Aggregate Savant bat-tracking metrics; not per-swing motion capture. The full swing, with the recommended path overlaid, lives in the 3D Swing Simulator.

Watch the swing in 3D →

2026
Mithrandir Metrics BAT SPEED DISTRIBUTION Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Bat Speed Correa, Carlos · aggregate bat speed marker 60 mph 85 mph Avg bat speed 73.8 mph Hard swing rate 40% Whiff / swing 21% MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Reference layer

Current snapshot

Age31
Height6' 3"
Weight220 lb
Debut2015-06-08
Live layer

Delta / regression

xwOBA Δ--
wOBA Δ--

negative regression

Regression watch

Running hot. Expect some cooling.

-0.4σ gap
wOBA (actual)0.379
xwOBA (deserved)0.364

Correa’s wOBA sits at 0.379, but the quality of contact underneath says it should be 0.364 — a gap of 0.015, -0.4 standard deviations from the MLB norm over 149 PA. The results have outrun the underlying process; as the sample grows, expect the numbers to drift back toward the deserved level.

Mithrandir coverage

Module shelf

ModuleCardsLatestSignal
No Mithrandir card history is available for this player yet.
Projection links / recent games

Available detail

2026-04-20 @ CLE0 HR | 2 RBI / 4 Ch | 0 E3-5 | 2 K, 2 RBI, R
2026-04-17 vs STL0 HR | 0 RBI / 2 Ch | 0 E1-5 | 2B, K, R
2026-04-15 vs COL0 HR | 0 RBI / 2 Ch | 0 E0-2 | 2 BB, R
2026-04-14 vs COL0 HR | 0 RBI / 4 Ch | 0 E1-4 | R
2026-04-13 @ SEA0 HR | 0 RBI / 4 Ch | 0 E1-4 | 2 K