Mithrandir Metrics
Player Baltimore Orioles Refreshed Jul 18 06:00 AM ET
Player profile / Baltimore Orioles

Zach Eflin

P · Bats/Throws R/R · 6' 6", 230 lb · Age 32

Cards
3
Modules
1
Live Δ
--
Club Baltimore Orioles Position P Roster Injured 60-Day Status Healthy / active roster
Traditional line

Season by season

WLERAGGSSVIPSOWHIP
20241093.5928280165.11341.15
2025655.931414071.1501.42
2026002.451103.271.64
11 Seasons68674.2820118911077.19291.24
At a glance

Season percentile report

The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.

2026-07-18
36
Pitching
percentile
Arsenal5 metrics
36
Rolling projection

Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update

Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.

2026-07-18
ERA preseason4.03
ERA current pace2.46
ERA rolling p503.83
Observed weight13%
ERA
2.66 3.21 3.83 4.44 4.99
FIP
3.17 3.60 4.09 4.58 5.02
K%
17.5% 19.4% 21.5% 23.7% 25.6%
BB%
3.1% 4.0% 4.9% 5.8% 6.6%
Live percentile strip

Current traits vs projection tick

100th = best in MLB.

2026-07-18
Mithrandir+

Stuff+ and arsenal context

How nasty this pitcher's stuff grades in our pitch-level model. Missing coverage is shown explicitly.

2026-07-18
Changeup Stuff+104
61
Curveball Stuff+99
15
Cutter Stuff+97
11
Mithrandir Stuff+99
24
Sinker Stuff+105
70
Rolling form chart

xwOBA allowed snapshot line

Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs

0 snapshots
No chart yet

No Live State xwOBA snapshots are available for this player.

Optimization map

Arsenal optimization map

Pitch-shape context from this pitcher’s current arsenal snapshot. Hover a pitch to inspect usage, movement, and bat-missing context.

6Pitches 2026Season 24%Top usage
ride armside gloveside +Arsenal gap +Shape contrast
Zone profile

Aggregate zone heatmap

Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.

Mithrandir Metrics ZONE HEATMAP Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Pitch Zone Profile Eflin, Zach · Aggregate zone metrics; not pitch-by-pitch locations Edge: 40%40%Zone: 44%44%Whiff: 33%33%Called strike: 15%15%First pitch strike: 57%57%Hard hit allowed: 44%44% Dashed border = aggregate mixed-batter zone proxy MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Pitch arsenal

Usage mix, movement map, and Stuff+ composition

2026 pitch-level arsenal aggregates; current season takes over after 100 tracked pitches across at least 2 pitch types. Descriptive pitch-type Stuff+ composition. Not a promoted predictive metric.

Watch the pitches in 3D →

2026
Mithrandir Metrics PITCH ARSENAL DONUT Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Pitch Arsenal Eflin, Zach · 2026 arsenal snapshot Cutter: 23.6%Curveball: 20.8%Sinker: 19.4%Changeup: 18.1%4-Seam Fastball: 10.4%Sweeper: 7.6% FC24% · 89 mphprimary pitch FC 24%CU 21%SI 19%CH 18%FF 10%ST 8% MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Mithrandir Metrics PITCH MOVEMENT Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Pitch Arsenal Eflin, Zach · 2026 arsenal snapshot 15″30″45″60″ Cutter: 24% usage, 0″ horizontal break, 27″ drop, 88.5 mphFC89 mphCurveball: 21% usage, 3″ horizontal break, 52″ drop, 78.6 mphCU79 mphSinker: 19% usage, 4″ horizontal break, 30″ drop, 92.0 mphSI92 mphChangeup: 18% usage, 8″ horizontal break, 36″ drop, 87.7 mphCH88 mph4-Seam Fastball: 10% usage, 5″ horizontal break, 20″ drop, 92.4 mphFF92 mphSweeper: 8% usage, 9″ horizontal break, 43″ drop, 79.1 mphST79 mph less drop ↑ more drop ↓ · horizontal break ↔ · dot size = usage · break incl. gravity MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
PitchUsagePitchesStuff+Status
CH 25.7% 19 104 limited sample
CB 21.6% 16 99 limited sample
SI 18.9% 14 105 limited sample
FC 14.9% 11 97 limited sample
SL 9.5% 7 99 limited sample
FB 9.5% 7 94 limited sample
Method note

Renamed from the attempted Kirby Index after audit; true Kirby requires release-angle trajectory data.

Reference layer

Current snapshot

Age32
Height6' 6"
Weight230 lb
Debut2016-06-14
Live layer

Delta / regression

No Live State delta is available for this profile yet.

Mithrandir coverage

Module shelf

ModuleCardsLatestSignal
Pitching32026-03-31Changeup played up through CH/CU tunnel quality
Projection links / recent games

Available detail

Pitcher Projections 202618.2% K | 4.35 ERAProjection
2026-03-31 vs TEX1 ER / 7 K3.2 IP