Mithrandir Metrics
Player Houston Astros Refreshed Jun 2 06:00 AM ET
Player profile / Houston Astros

Lance McCullers Jr.

P profile with live context, projection links, and Mithrandir card history when available.

Cards
11
Modules
1
Live Δ
yes
Club Houston Astros Position P Roster Injured 15-Day Status IL-15
Rolling projection

Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update

Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.

2026-06-02
ERA preseason4.81
ERA current pace6.86
ERA rolling p505.71
Observed weight44%
ERA
4.47 5.06 5.71 6.37 6.96
FIP
3.80 4.21 4.68 5.14 5.56
K%
17.5% 19.2% 21.1% 23.0% 24.7%
BB%
8.9% 9.9% 11.0% 12.1% 13.1%
Live percentile strip

Current traits vs projection tick

100th = best in MLB.

2026-06-02
Pitching · percentile strip
BB%13.2%
9 -27 vs proj
Barrel allowed8.6%
39
Fastball velo91.5
12
Hard-hit allowed49.1%
5
K%23.3%
55 +33 vs proj
Whiff%24.1%
59 +33 vs proj
xwOBA allowed0.330
37
Mithrandir+

Stuff+ and arsenal context

Stuff+ appears when the current pitch-event scoring artifact includes this pitcher; missing coverage is shown explicitly.

2026-06-02
Mithrandir Stuff+99
29
Rolling form chart

xwOBA allowed snapshot line

Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs

12 snapshots
Mithrandir Metrics ROLLING XWOBA LINE Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Rolling xwOBA allowed McCullers Jr.., Lance · Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs LG AVG 0.313 2026-05-19: 0.3302026-05-21: 0.3302026-05-23: 0.3302026-05-24: 0.3302026-05-25: 0.3302026-05-26: 0.3302026-05-28: 0.3302026-05-29: 0.3302026-05-30: 0.3302026-05-31: 0.3302026-06-01: 0.3302026-06-02: 0.330 2026-05-19 2026-06-02 xwOBA allowed MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Optimization map

Arsenal optimization map

Pitch-shape context from this pitcher’s current arsenal snapshot. Hover a pitch to inspect usage, movement, and bat-missing context.

6Pitches 2026Season 27%Top usage
ride armside gloveside +Arsenal gap +Shape contrast
Zone profile

Aggregate zone heatmap

Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.

Mithrandir Metrics ZONE HEATMAP Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Pitch Zone Profile McCullers Jr.., Lance · Aggregate zone metrics; not pitch-by-pitch locations Edge: 36%36%Zone: 44%44%Whiff: 24%24%Called strike: 17%17%First pitch strike: 41%41%Hard hit allowed: 49%49% Dashed border = aggregate mixed-batter zone proxy MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Pitch arsenal

Usage mix, movement map, and Stuff+ composition

2026 pitch-level arsenal aggregates; current season takes over after 100 tracked pitches across at least 2 pitch types. Descriptive pitch-type Stuff+ composition. Not a promoted predictive metric.

2026
Mithrandir Metrics PITCH ARSENAL DONUT Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Pitch Arsenal McCullers Jr.., Lance · 2026 arsenal snapshot Cutter: 27.2%Sinker: 22.5%Sweeper: 16.2%Knuckle Curve: 14.9%Changeup: 14.5%4-Seam Fastball: 4.8% MIX FC 27%SI 23%ST 16%KC 15%CH 14%FF 5% MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Mithrandir Metrics PITCH MOVEMENT Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Pitch Arsenal McCullers Jr.., Lance · 2026 arsenal snapshot FC: HB 0.1, IVB 2.2FCSI: HB 0.5, IVB 2.3SIST: HB -0.3, IVB 2.9STKC: HB 0.8, IVB 4.2KCCH: HB -0.5, IVB 3.0CHFF: HB -0.4, IVB 1.5FF horizontal break IVB MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
PitchUsagePitchesStuff+Status
FC 27.1% 188 100 limited sample
SI 22.7% 158 104 limited sample
SL 16.7% 116 99 limited sample
CB 15.5% 108 99 limited sample
CH 13.7% 95 100 limited sample
FB 4.3% 30 89 limited sample
Method note

Renamed from the attempted Kirby Index after audit; true Kirby requires release-angle trajectory data.

Reference layer

Current snapshot

Age32
Height6' 1"
Weight200 lb
Debut2015-05-18
Live layer

Delta / regression

ERA Δ+2.09
K% Δ+0.050

positive regression

Mithrandir coverage

Module shelf

ModuleCardsLatestSignal
Pitching112026-05-06Knuckle Curve played up through KC/FC tunnel quality
Projection links / recent games

Available detail

Pitcher Projections 202618.3% K | 4.77 ERAProjection
2026-04-11 @ SEA6 ER / 4 K4.1 IP
2026-04-05 @ ATH3 ER / 4 K4.0 IP
2026-03-30 vs BOS1 ER / 9 K7.0 IP