Mithrandir Metrics
Player Toronto Blue Jays Refreshed Sep 1 06:00 AM ET
Player profile / Toronto Blue Jays

Paul Sewald

P · Bats/Throws R/R · 6' 3", 219 lb · Age 36

Cards
0
Modules
0
Live Δ
yes
Club Toronto Blue Jays Position P Roster Current MLB team Status Healthy / active roster
Traditional line

Season by season

3D Pitch Lab Projections
WLERAGGSSVIPSOWHIP
2024124.314201639.2431.13
2025114.58220219.2201.22
2026255.445102444.2481.10
10 Seasons23314.254320110440.25181.14
At a glance

Season percentile report

The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.

2026-09-01
58
Pitching
percentile
Pitching9 metrics
44
Arsenal3 metrics
78
Rolling projection

Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update

Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.

Pending

Rolling player projection appears after current-season Statcast and projection joins refresh.

Live percentile strip

Current traits vs projection tick

100th = best in MLB.

2026-09-01
Pitching · percentile strip
WHIP1.08
87
ERA5.79
15
BB%6.4%
85
K%24.8%
69
xwOBA allowed0.324
37
Barrel allowed14.1%
1
Fastball velo91.4
9
Hard-hit allowed39.3%
43
Whiff%23.0%
52
Mithrandir+

Stuff+ and arsenal context

How nasty this pitcher's stuff grades in our pitch-level model. Missing coverage is shown explicitly.

2026-09-01
Fastball Stuff+108
88
Mithrandir Stuff+106
88
Slider Stuff+103
57
Rolling form chart

xwOBA allowed snapshot line

Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs

12 snapshots
Mithrandir Metrics ROLLING XWOBA LINE Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Rolling xwOBA allowed Sewald, Paul · Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs LG AVG 0.313 0.324 2026-08-21: 0.3222026-08-22: 0.3222026-08-23: 0.3222026-08-24: 0.3222026-08-25: 0.3192026-08-26: 0.3192026-08-27: 0.3212026-08-28: 0.3212026-08-29: 0.3212026-08-30: 0.3242026-08-31: 0.3242026-09-01: 0.324 2026-08-21 2026-09-01 xwOBA allowed MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Optimization map

Arsenal optimization map

Pitch-shape context from this pitcher’s current arsenal snapshot. Hover a pitch to inspect usage, movement, and bat-missing context.

3Pitches 2026Season 57%Top usage
ride armside gloveside +Arsenal gap +Shape contrast
Zone profile

Aggregate zone heatmap

Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.

Mithrandir Metrics ZONE HEATMAP Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Pitch Zone Profile Sewald, Paul · Aggregate zone metrics; not pitch-by-pitch locations Edge: 35%35%Zone: 52%52%Whiff: 23%23%Called strike: 16%16%First pitch strike: 50%50%Hard hit allowed: 39%39% Dashed border = aggregate mixed-batter zone proxy MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Pitch arsenal

Usage mix, movement map, and Stuff+ composition

2026 pitch-level arsenal aggregates; current season takes over after 100 tracked pitches across at least 2 pitch types. Descriptive pitch-type Stuff+ composition. Not a promoted predictive metric.

Watch the pitches in 3D →

2026
Mithrandir Metrics PITCH ARSENAL DONUT Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Pitch Arsenal Sewald, Paul · 2026 arsenal snapshot 4-Seam Fastball: 57.4%Sweeper: 41.4%Cutter: 1.1% FF57% · 91 mphprimary pitch FF 57%ST 41%FC 1% MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Mithrandir Metrics PITCH MOVEMENT Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Pitch Arsenal Sewald, Paul · 2026 arsenal snapshot 9″18″27″36″ 4-Seam Fastball: 57% usage, 1″ horizontal break, 21″ drop, 91.4 mphFF91 mphSweeper: 41% usage, 1″ horizontal break, 34″ drop, 82.9 mphST83 mphCutter: 1% usage, 3″ horizontal break, 27″ drop, 89.0 mphFC89 mph less drop ↑ more drop ↓ · horizontal break ↔ · dot size = usage · break incl. gravity MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
PitchUsagePitchesStuff+Status
FB 56.5% 247 108 qualified
SL 42.3% 185 103 limited sample
FC 1.1% 5 82 limited sample
Method note

Renamed from the attempted Kirby Index after audit; true Kirby requires release-angle trajectory data.

Reference layer

Current snapshot

Age36
Height6' 3"
Weight219 lb
Debut2017-04-08
Live layer

Delta / regression

ERA Δ--
K% Δ--

positive regression

Regression watch

Unlucky so far. Better days ahead.

0.8σ gap
wOBA-against (actual)0.348
xwOBA-against (deserved)0.324

Sewald’s wOBA-against sits at 0.348, but the quality of contact underneath says it should be 0.324 — a gap of 0.025, 0.8 standard deviations from the MLB norm over 48 IP. The results have been worse than the process deserves; as the sample grows, expect the numbers to climb back toward the underlying level.

Mithrandir coverage

Module shelf

ModuleCardsLatestSignal
No Mithrandir card history is available for this player yet.
Projection links / recent games

Available detail

Pitcher Projections 202623.9% K | 3.91 ERAProjection
2026-05-20 vs SF0 ER / 1 K1.0 IP
2026-04-17 vs TOR0 ER / 1 K1.0 IP
2026-04-14 @ BAL0 ER / 1 K1.0 IP
2026-04-12 @ PHI0 ER / 2 K1.0 IP
2026-04-07 @ NYM0 ER / 0 K0.1 IP