Mithrandir Metrics
Player Chicago Cubs Refreshed Jul 18 06:00 AM ET
Player profile / Chicago Cubs

Michael Conforto

DH · Bats/Throws L/R · 5' 11", 215 lb · Age 33

Cards
3
Modules
1
Live Δ
yes
Club Chicago Cubs Position DH Roster Active Status Healthy / active roster
Traditional line

Season by season

PARHHRSBAVGOBPSLGOPS
202448856104200.237.309.450.759
20254865483121.199.305.333.638
2026164203581.243.329.479.808
11 Seasons458858896918724.245.342.444.786
At a glance

Season percentile report

The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.

2026-07-18
86
Offense
percentile
Offense9 metrics
75
Defense2 metrics
18
Speed1 metrics
20
Plate skills10 metrics
61
Rolling projection

Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update

Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.

2026-07-18
xwOBA preseason0.324
xwOBA current pace0.335
xwOBA rolling p500.329
Observed weight45%
xwOBA
0.299 0.313 0.329 0.345 0.360
wOBA
0.369 0.391 0.416 0.441 0.463
ISO
0.160 0.178 0.198 0.218 0.236
K%
22.5% 24.0% 25.6% 27.3% 28.8%
Live percentile strip

Current traits vs projection tick

100th = best in MLB.

2026-07-18
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%7.2%
80 +25 vs proj
Exit velocity93.0
96
Hard-hit%49.5%
90 +25 vs proj
xBA0.361
84
xSLG0.673
90
xwOBA0.335
75
BB%10.6%
73
Bat speed70.6
65
K%27.2%
25
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Strength88.2 · RF
14
Outs Above Avg-1.0 · RF
22
Arm Runs-0.8 · RF
Small sample
Range Runs-1.0 · RF
Small sample
Baserunning · percentile strip
Sprint Speed26.1 · RF
20
SB Success Rate100.0% · RF
Small sample
Mithrandir+

Plate skills: swing decisions and pitch-type resistance

Our research metrics for how this hitter controls the strike zone and handles each pitch family.

2026-07-18
Avoids Bad ChasesST 74.7% · rebadged research
92
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 22.0% · rebadged research
78
Correct Decisions72.4% · rebadged research
92
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.321 · borderline
6
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.276 · insufficient sample
60
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.270 · validated thin sample
80
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.312 · insufficient sample
93
Resists FastballwOBA 0.362 · validated
14
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.420 · validated
1
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline112
93
Rolling form chart

xwOBA snapshot line

Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs

12 snapshots
Mithrandir Metrics ROLLING XWOBA LINE Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Rolling xwOBA Conforto, Michael · Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs LG AVG 0.308 0.335 2026-07-07: 0.3462026-07-08: 0.3462026-07-09: 0.3412026-07-10: 0.3402026-07-11: 0.3422026-07-12: 0.3352026-07-13: 0.3352026-07-14: 0.3352026-07-15: 0.3352026-07-16: 0.3352026-07-17: 0.3352026-07-18: 0.335 2026-07-07 2026-07-18 xwOBA MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Spray profile

Field-coordinate spray profile

81 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.

Mithrandir Metrics SPRAY CHART Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Spray Chart Conforto, Michael · Statcast batted-ball landing coordinates Left field third: 11% of plotted batted ballsPull 11%Center field third: 60% of plotted batted ballsCenter 60%Right field third: 28% of plotted batted ballsOppo 28% LF 355 CF 400 RF 353 2026-03-15 · field out · CH · fly_ball · EV 84.3 / LA 31.02026-03-15 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 103.2 / LA -11.02026-03-17 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 97.1 / LA -2.02026-03-17 · double · SI · line_drive · EV 109.7 / LA 12.02026-03-18 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 69.2 / LA -42.02026-03-18 · grounded into double play · CU · ground_ball · EV 98.5 / LA -23.02026-03-18 · field out · CU · fly_ball · EV 102.3 / LA 37.02026-03-21 · double · FS · ground_ball · EV 108.8 / LA 7.02026-03-21 · field out · KC · ground_ball · EV 95.8 / LA -6.02026-03-21 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 84.2 / LA -22.02026-03-21 · single · ST · ground_ball · EV 76.8 / LA 8.02026-03-23 · double · SI · fly_ball · EV 99.8 / LA 34.02026-03-23 · triple · FC · line_drive · EV 113.9 / LA 13.02026-03-23 · single · SI · line_drive · EV 99.4 / LA 12.02026-03-23 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 90.7 / LA 59.02026-03-24 · double · ST · line_drive · EV 102.6 / LA 14.02026-03-29 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 98.1 / LA 51.02026-04-05 · single · FF · ground_ball · EV 102.9 / LA 3.02026-04-05 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 100.0 / LA -6.02026-04-06 · field out · CH · line_drive · EV 87.5 / LA 10.02026-04-07 · single · FC · line_drive · EV 105.5 / LA 10.02026-04-07 · field out · CH · fly_ball · EV 83.6 / LA 30.02026-04-07 · single · SI · ground_ball · EV 82.9 / LA 11.02026-04-08 · double · FF · fly_ball · EV 105.4 / LA 29.02026-04-08 · field out · FS · ground_ball · EV 94.7 / LA 8.02026-04-11 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 63.1 / LA -19.02026-04-11 · single · SI · line_drive · EV 107.0 / LA 10.02026-04-12 · double · FF · line_drive · EV 85.1 / LA 15.02026-04-19 · double · FF · line_drive · EV 94.9 / LA 21.02026-04-20 · sac fly · SI · line_drive · EV 89.0 / LA 25.02026-04-25 · single · FF · ground_ball · EV 108.7 / LA 6.02026-04-27 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 94.8 / LA -9.02026-04-27 · field out · FC · line_drive · EV 103.6 / LA 10.02026-04-29 · double · SI · fly_ball · EV 102.1 / LA 29.02026-04-29 · field out · KN · ground_ball · EV 84.1 / LA -22.02026-04-29 · force out · SL · ground_ball · EV 94.7 / LA -2.02026-04-29 · field out · CH · fly_ball · EV 89.4 / LA 37.02026-05-04 · home run · FF · fly_ball · EV 100.9 / LA 36.02026-05-06 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 92.6 / LA -7.02026-05-07 · single · SI · ground_ball · EV 102.4 / LA 2.02026-05-07 · double · SL · line_drive · EV 108.2 / LA 17.02026-05-07 · home run · SL · fly_ball · EV 105.0 / LA 33.02026-05-08 · field out · CH · line_drive · EV 104.5 / LA 20.02026-05-08 · double · SL · fly_ball · EV 82.5 / LA 56.02026-05-08 · single · SI · line_drive · EV 109.3 / LA 11.02026-05-09 · double · CH · line_drive · EV 104.2 / LA 15.02026-05-09 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 95.9 / LA 55.02026-05-09 · field out · FC · ground_ball · EV 92.8 / LA 6.02026-05-12 · field out · FF · line_drive · EV 96.4 / LA 22.02026-05-13 · grounded into double play · CH · ground_ball · EV 72.8 / LA 7.02026-05-16 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 103.2 / LA 46.02026-05-16 · field out · SI · fly_ball · EV 95.8 / LA 61.02026-05-16 · double · FF · line_drive · EV 102.7 / LA 14.02026-05-17 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 69.0 / LA 44.02026-05-17 · home run · SI · fly_ball · EV 107.3 / LA 26.02026-05-17 · single · SI · line_drive · EV 105.9 / LA 9.02026-05-17 · field out · CH · fly_ball · EV 100.0 / LA 54.02026-05-18 · field out · FC · popup · EV 80.6 / LA 63.02026-05-19 · force out · SI · ground_ball · EV 99.4 / LA -20.02026-05-22 · field out · ST · ground_ball · EV 86.8 / LA -18.02026-05-23 · field out · ST · fly_ball · EV 85.6 / LA 47.02026-05-24 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 85.5 / LA 2.02026-05-24 · field out · SL · fly_ball · EV 88.9 / LA 33.02026-05-25 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 79.3 / LA 0.02026-05-25 · field out · FF · line_drive · EV 77.7 / LA 28.02026-05-25 · field out · SL · fly_ball · EV 97.8 / LA 45.02026-05-27 · home run · SI · fly_ball · EV 102.6 / LA 26.02026-05-31 · field out · FS · fly_ball · EV 103.9 / LA 34.02026-05-31 · double · FF · fly_ball · EV 102.4 / LA 23.02026-06-04 · field out · CH · fly_ball · EV 95.7 / LA 45.02026-06-04 · field out · FC · ground_ball · EV 96.5 / LA 4.02026-06-05 · single · FC · line_drive · EV 72.7 / LA 19.02026-06-24 · grounded into double play · SI · ground_ball · EV 78.1 / LA 0.02026-06-24 · field out · FC · ground_ball · EV 103.7 / LA 5.02026-06-24 · double · SI · line_drive · EV 96.1 / LA 11.02026-06-26 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 100.9 / LA 58.02026-06-26 · single · SI · fly_ball · EV 68.9 / LA 31.02026-07-01 · home run · SL · fly_ball · EV 103.4 / LA 29.02026-07-01 · single · EP · ground_ball · EV 95.2 / LA -4.02026-07-01 · home run · FF · line_drive · EV 106.4 / LA 20.02026-07-01 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 91.0 / LA -7.0 1B2B3BHROut Zone shading = batted-ball density by field third · hover dots for date, pitch, EV, and LA. MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Zone profile

Aggregate zone heatmap

Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.

Mithrandir Metrics ZONE HEATMAP Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Swing Zone Profile Conforto, Michael · Aggregate zone metrics; not pitch-by-pitch locations Zone: 47%47%Chase: 28%28%Whiff: 25%25%Zone contact: 88%88%Contact: 75%75%Hard hit: 50%50% Dashed border = aggregate mixed-batter zone proxy MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Reference layer

Current snapshot

Age33
Height5' 11"
Weight215 lb
Debut2015-07-24
Live layer

Delta / regression

xwOBA Δ+0.008
wOBA Δ+0.088

negative regression

Regression watch

Running hot. Expect some cooling.

-2.4σ gap
wOBA (actual)0.416
xwOBA (deserved)0.335

Conforto’s wOBA sits at 0.416, but the quality of contact underneath says it should be 0.335 — a gap of 0.080, -2.4 standard deviations from the MLB norm over 180 PA. The results have outrun the underlying process; as the sample grows, expect the numbers to drift back toward the deserved level.

Mithrandir coverage

Module shelf

ModuleCardsLatestSignal
Hitting32026-07-01Disciplined swing decisions drove the score
Projection links / recent games

Available detail

Hitter Projections 20260.328 xwOBA | 15 HRProjection
2026-04-20 vs PHI0 HR | 1 RBI / 2 Ch | 0 E0-0 | BB, RBI
2026-04-14 @ PHI0 HR | 0 RBI / 0 Ch | 0 E0-1 | K
2026-04-13 @ PHI0 HR | 0 RBI / 0 Ch | 0 E0-1 | K
2026-04-12 vs PIT0 HR | 0 RBI / 0 Ch | 0 E1-1 | 2B
2026-04-11 vs PIT0 HR | 0 RBI / 2 Ch | 0 E1-3 | 2 BB, K, R