Reference layer
Current snapshot
| Age | 31 |
| Height | 5' 9" |
| Weight | 200 lb |
| Debut | 2018-04-19 |
Player profile / Baltimore Orioles
Tyler O'Neill
RF · Bats/Throws R/R · 5' 9", 200 lb · Age 31
Club Baltimore Orioles
Position RF
Roster Active
Status Healthy / active roster
Traditional line
Season by season
| PA | R | H | HR | SB | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 473 | 74 | 99 | 31 | 4 | .241 | .336 | .511 | .847 |
| 2025 | 209 | 22 | 36 | 9 | 4 | .199 | .292 | .392 | .684 |
| 2026 | 175 | 21 | 30 | 6 | 1 | .195 | .291 | .351 | .642 |
| 9 Seasons | 2493 | 356 | 528 | 124 | 49 | .239 | .318 | .455 | .773 |
At a glance
Season percentile report
The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.
60
Offense
percentile
percentile
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.320 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.309 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.315 |
| Observed weight | 46% |
xwOBA
0.281
0.297
0.315
0.333
0.349
wOBA
0.262
0.283
0.305
0.328
0.349
ISO
0.131
0.151
0.173
0.195
0.215
K%
23.5%
25.2%
27.2%
29.2%
31.0%
Live percentile strip
Current traits vs projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%5.9%
64
Exit velocity89.8
71
Hard-hit%43.8%
70
xBA0.308
33
xSLG0.584
72
xwOBA0.309
52
BB%10.3%
70
Bat speed71.0
71
K%28.1%
22
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Runs-0.1 · RF
49
Arm Strength92.2 · RF
45
Outs Above Avg-3.0 · RF
6
Range Runs-2.6 · RF
23
Baserunning · percentile strip
Sprint Speed27.9 · RF
65
SB Success Rate100.0% · RF
Small sample
Mithrandir+
Plate skills: swing decisions and pitch-type resistance
Our research metrics for how this hitter controls the strike zone and handles each pitch family.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 66.9% · rebadged research
57
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 24.0% · rebadged research
61
Correct Decisions66.4% · rebadged research
52
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.304 · borderline
18
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.276 · insufficient sample
60
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.271 · validated thin sample
77
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.327 · insufficient sample
64
Resists FastballwOBA 0.291 · validated
99
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.374 · validated
16
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline103
61
Rolling form chart
xwOBA snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
83 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Live layer
Delta / regression
| xwOBA Δ | -0.013 |
| wOBA Δ | -0.017 |
positive regression
Regression watch
Unlucky so far. Better days ahead.
O'Neill’s wOBA sits at 0.305, but the quality of contact underneath says it should be 0.309 — a gap of 0.003, 0.1 standard deviations from the MLB norm over 185 PA. The results have been worse than the process deserves; as the sample grows, expect the numbers to climb back toward the underlying level.
Mithrandir coverage
Module shelf
| Module | Cards | Latest | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| No Mithrandir card history is available for this player yet. | |||
Projection links / recent games
Available detail
| Hitter Projections 20260.322 xwOBA | 16 HR | Projection |
| 2026-05-20 @ TB0 HR | 0 RBI / 1 Ch | 0 E | 0-4 |
| 2026-04-08 @ CWS0 HR | 0 RBI / 0 Ch | 0 E | 1-2 | BB, HBP, R |
| 2026-04-07 @ CWS0 HR | 0 RBI / 0 Ch | 0 E | 2-3 |
| 2026-04-06 @ CWS0 HR | 1 RBI / 3 Ch | 0 E | 1-4 | RBI |
| 2026-04-05 @ PIT0 HR | 0 RBI / 2 Ch | 0 E | 1-4 | 2 K, R |