Mithrandir Metrics
Player Cincinnati Reds Refreshed Jun 12 06:00 AM ET
Player profile / Cincinnati Reds

Emilio Pagán

P · Bats/Throws L/R · 6' 2", 208 lb · Age 35

Cards
0
Modules
0
Live Δ
--
Club Cincinnati Reds Position P Roster Injured 15-Day Status IL-15
Traditional line

Season by season

WLERAGGSSVIPSOWHIP
2024454.50381138.0441.34
2025242.887003268.2810.92
2026216.43150614.0111.43
10 Seasons30283.73492271520.25921.08
At a glance

Season percentile report

The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.

2026-06-12
53
Pitching
percentile
Arsenal3 metrics
53
Rolling projection

Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update

Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.

2026-06-12
ERA preseason3.75
ERA current pace6.43
ERA rolling p504.37
Observed weight23%
ERA
2.66 3.47 4.37 5.27 6.08
FIP
3.17 3.75 4.40 5.05 5.64
K%
18.3% 20.9% 23.7% 26.5% 29.0%
BB%
6.0% 7.4% 9.0% 10.5% 12.0%
Live percentile strip

Current traits vs projection tick

100th = best in MLB.

2026-06-12
Mithrandir+

Stuff+ and arsenal context

How nasty this pitcher's stuff grades in our pitch-level model. Missing coverage is shown explicitly.

2026-06-12
Cutter Stuff+99
26
Fastball Stuff+104
67
Mithrandir Stuff+104
66
Rolling form chart

xwOBA allowed snapshot line

Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs

0 snapshots
No chart yet

No Live State xwOBA snapshots are available for this player.

Optimization map

Arsenal optimization map

Pitch-shape context from this pitcher’s current arsenal snapshot. Hover a pitch to inspect usage, movement, and bat-missing context.

3Pitches 2026Season 59%Top usage
ride armside gloveside +Arsenal gap +Shape contrast
Zone profile

Aggregate zone heatmap

Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.

Mithrandir Metrics ZONE HEATMAP Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Pitch Zone Profile Pagán, Emilio · Aggregate zone metrics; not pitch-by-pitch locations Edge: 39%39%Zone: 43%43%Whiff: 21%21%Called strike: 11%11%First pitch strike: 46%46%Hard hit allowed: 56%56% Dashed border = aggregate mixed-batter zone proxy MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Pitch arsenal

Usage mix, movement map, and Stuff+ composition

2026 pitch-level arsenal aggregates; current season takes over after 100 tracked pitches across at least 2 pitch types. Descriptive pitch-type Stuff+ composition. Not a promoted predictive metric.

Watch the pitches in 3D →

2026
Mithrandir Metrics PITCH ARSENAL DONUT Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Pitch Arsenal Pagán, Emilio · 2026 arsenal snapshot 4-Seam Fastball: 59.0%Split-Finger: 21.4%Cutter: 19.5% FF59% · 94 mphprimary pitch FF 59%FS 21%FC 20% MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Mithrandir Metrics PITCH MOVEMENT Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Pitch Arsenal Pagán, Emilio · 2026 arsenal snapshot 12″24″36″48″ 4-Seam Fastball: 59% usage, 0″ horizontal break, 12″ drop, 94.2 mphFF94 mphSplit-Finger: 21% usage, 3″ horizontal break, 38″ drop, 82.2 mphFS82 mphCutter: 20% usage, 2″ horizontal break, 32″ drop, 85.7 mphFC86 mph less drop ↑ more drop ↓ · horizontal break ↔ · dot size = usage · break incl. gravity MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
PitchUsagePitchesStuff+Status
FB 74.2% 135 104 limited sample
FC 25.8% 47 99 limited sample
Method note

Renamed from the attempted Kirby Index after audit; true Kirby requires release-angle trajectory data.

Reference layer

Current snapshot

Age35
Height6' 2"
Weight208 lb
Debut2017-05-03
Live layer

Delta / regression

No Live State delta is available for this profile yet.

Mithrandir coverage

Module shelf

ModuleCardsLatestSignal
No Mithrandir card history is available for this player yet.
Projection links / recent games

Available detail

Pitcher Projections 202625.5% K | 3.97 ERAProjection
2026-04-17 @ MIN0 ER / 1 K1.0 IP
2026-04-14 vs SF0 ER / 1 K1.0 IP
2026-04-11 vs LAA0 ER / 0 K1.0 IP
2026-04-07 @ MIA0 ER / 2 K1.0 IP
2026-04-06 @ MIA0 ER / 0 K1.0 IP