Mithrandir Metrics
Player Toronto Blue Jays Refreshed Sep 1 06:00 AM ET
Player profile / Toronto Blue Jays

Tyler Rogers

P · Bats/Throws R/R · 6' 3", 180 lb · Age 35

Cards
0
Modules
0
Live Δ
yes
Club Toronto Blue Jays Position P Roster Current MLB team Status Healthy / active roster
Traditional line

Season by season

3D Pitch Lab Projections
WLERAGGSSVIPSOWHIP
2024342.82770170.1511.04
2025461.98810077.1480.94
2026221.90640461.2351.20
8 Seasons28252.65484023485.23411.11
At a glance

Season percentile report

The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.

2026-09-01
64
Pitching
percentile
Pitching9 metrics
58
Arsenal3 metrics
58
Rolling projection

Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update

Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.

Pending

Rolling player projection appears after current-season Statcast and projection joins refresh.

Live percentile strip

Current traits vs projection tick

100th = best in MLB.

2026-09-01
Pitching · percentile strip
WHIP1.23
68
ERA1.82
96
BB%8.1%
60
K%13.5%
4
xwOBA allowed0.258
94
Barrel allowed1.5%
100
Fastball velo83.3
1
Hard-hit allowed28.1%
98
Whiff%13.0%
1
Mithrandir+

Stuff+ and arsenal context

How nasty this pitcher's stuff grades in our pitch-level model. Missing coverage is shown explicitly.

2026-09-01
Mithrandir Stuff+105
82
Sinker Stuff+103
59
Slider Stuff+100
31
Rolling form chart

xwOBA allowed snapshot line

Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs

12 snapshots
Mithrandir Metrics ROLLING XWOBA LINE Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Rolling xwOBA allowed Rogers, Tyler · Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs LG AVG 0.313 0.258 2026-08-21: 0.2572026-08-22: 0.2572026-08-23: 0.2572026-08-24: 0.2572026-08-25: 0.2602026-08-26: 0.2602026-08-27: 0.2582026-08-28: 0.2582026-08-29: 0.2582026-08-30: 0.2582026-08-31: 0.2582026-09-01: 0.258 2026-08-21 2026-09-01 xwOBA allowed MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Optimization map

Arsenal optimization map

Pitch-shape context from this pitcher’s current arsenal snapshot. Hover a pitch to inspect usage, movement, and bat-missing context.

2Pitches 2026Season 77%Top usage
ride armside gloveside +Arsenal gap +Shape contrast
Zone profile

Aggregate zone heatmap

Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.

Mithrandir Metrics ZONE HEATMAP Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Pitch Zone Profile Rogers, Tyler · Aggregate zone metrics; not pitch-by-pitch locations Edge: 38%38%Zone: 55%55%Whiff: 13%13%Called strike: 19%19%First pitch strike: 52%52%Hard hit allowed: 28%28% Dashed border = aggregate mixed-batter zone proxy MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Pitch arsenal

Usage mix, movement map, and Stuff+ composition

2026 pitch-level arsenal aggregates; current season takes over after 100 tracked pitches across at least 2 pitch types. Descriptive pitch-type Stuff+ composition. Not a promoted predictive metric.

Watch the pitches in 3D →

2026
Mithrandir Metrics PITCH ARSENAL DONUT Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Pitch Arsenal Rogers, Tyler · 2026 arsenal snapshot Sinker: 76.9%Slider: 23.1% SI77% · 83 mphprimary pitch SI 77%SL 23% MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Mithrandir Metrics PITCH MOVEMENT Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Pitch Arsenal Rogers, Tyler · 2026 arsenal snapshot 15″30″45″60″ Sinker: 77% usage, 0″ horizontal break, 53″ drop, 83.3 mphSI83 mphSlider: 23% usage, 5″ horizontal break, 38″ drop, 73.5 mphSL74 mph less drop ↑ more drop ↓ · horizontal break ↔ · dot size = usage · break incl. gravity MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
PitchUsagePitchesStuff+Status
SI 77.8% 418 103 qualified
SL 22.2% 119 100 limited sample
Method note

Renamed from the attempted Kirby Index after audit; true Kirby requires release-angle trajectory data.

Reference layer

Current snapshot

Age35
Height6' 3"
Weight180 lb
Debut2019-08-27
Live layer

Delta / regression

ERA Δ--
K% Δ--

positive regression

Regression watch

Unlucky so far. Better days ahead.

0.8σ gap
wOBA-against (actual)0.284
xwOBA-against (deserved)0.258

Rogers’s wOBA-against sits at 0.284, but the quality of contact underneath says it should be 0.258 — a gap of 0.026, 0.8 standard deviations from the MLB norm over 60 IP. The results have been worse than the process deserves; as the sample grows, expect the numbers to climb back toward the underlying level.

Mithrandir coverage

Module shelf

ModuleCardsLatestSignal
No Mithrandir card history is available for this player yet.
Projection links / recent games

Available detail

Pitcher Projections 202615.1% K | 4.17 ERAProjection
2026-08-15 vs NYY0 ER / 1 K1.0 IP
2026-05-20 @ NYY0 ER / 1 K1.0 IP
2026-04-20 @ LAA0 ER / 0 K0.2 IP
2026-04-15 @ MIL1 ER / 0 K1.0 IP
2026-04-14 @ MIL0 ER / 0 K1.0 IP