Mithrandir Metrics
Player San Diego Padres Refreshed Jul 17 06:00 AM ET
Player profile / San Diego Padres

Michael King

P · Bats/Throws R/R · 6' 3", 210 lb · Age 31

Cards
19
Modules
1
Live Δ
yes
Club San Diego Padres Position P Roster Active Status Healthy / active roster
Traditional line

Season by season

3D Pitch Lab Projections
WLERAGGSSVIPSOWHIP
20241392.9531300173.22011.19
2025533.441515073.1761.20
2026673.3420200113.1961.16
8 Seasons37363.26181847608.06551.19
At a glance

Season percentile report

The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.

2026-07-17
48
Pitching
percentile
Pitching9 metrics
47
Arsenal5 metrics
48
Rolling projection

Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update

Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.

2026-07-17
ERA preseason3.42
ERA current pace3.41
ERA rolling p503.41
Observed weight66%
ERA
2.46 2.91 3.41 3.92 4.37
FIP
3.51 3.77 4.07 4.36 4.62
K%
19.8% 20.9% 22.1% 23.3% 24.5%
BB%
7.5% 8.2% 8.9% 9.6% 10.3%
Live percentile strip

Current traits vs projection tick

100th = best in MLB.

2026-07-17
Pitching · percentile strip
WHIP1.23
67
ERA3.41
67
BB%9.6%
37 -25 vs proj
K%20.3%
34 -25 vs proj
xwOBA allowed0.328
35
Barrel allowed8.6%
37
Fastball velo93.3
30
Hard-hit allowed35.2%
75
Whiff%22.1%
44 -20 vs proj
Mithrandir+

Stuff+ and arsenal context

How nasty this pitcher's stuff grades in our pitch-level model. Missing coverage is shown explicitly.

2026-07-17
Changeup Stuff+102
46
Fastball Stuff+99
29
Mithrandir Stuff+102
50
Sinker Stuff+105
72
Slider Stuff+101
42
Rolling form chart

xwOBA allowed snapshot line

Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs

12 snapshots
Mithrandir Metrics ROLLING XWOBA LINE Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Rolling xwOBA allowed King, Michael · Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs LG AVG 0.314 0.328 2026-07-06: 0.3292026-07-07: 0.3292026-07-08: 0.3292026-07-09: 0.3292026-07-10: 0.3292026-07-11: 0.3292026-07-12: 0.3292026-07-13: 0.3292026-07-14: 0.3292026-07-15: 0.3292026-07-16: 0.3282026-07-17: 0.328 2026-07-06 2026-07-17 xwOBA allowed MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Optimization map

Arsenal optimization map

Pitch-shape context from this pitcher’s current arsenal snapshot. Hover a pitch to inspect usage, movement, and bat-missing context.

5Pitches 2026Season 30%Top usage
ride armside gloveside +Arsenal gap +Shape contrast
Zone profile

Aggregate zone heatmap

Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.

Mithrandir Metrics ZONE HEATMAP Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Pitch Zone Profile King, Michael · Aggregate zone metrics; not pitch-by-pitch locations Edge: 39%39%Zone: 48%48%Whiff: 22%22%Called strike: 17%17%First pitch strike: 51%51%Hard hit allowed: 35%35% Dashed border = aggregate mixed-batter zone proxy MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Pitch arsenal

Usage mix, movement map, and Stuff+ composition

2026 pitch-level arsenal aggregates; current season takes over after 100 tracked pitches across at least 2 pitch types. Descriptive pitch-type Stuff+ composition. Not a promoted predictive metric.

Watch the pitches in 3D →

2026
Mithrandir Metrics PITCH ARSENAL DONUT Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Pitch Arsenal King, Michael · 2026 arsenal snapshot Sinker: 29.9%Changeup: 26.9%4-Seam Fastball: 18.9%Sweeper: 18.9%Slider: 5.4% SI30% · 93 mphprimary pitch SI 30%CH 27%FF 19%ST 19%SL 5% MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Mithrandir Metrics PITCH MOVEMENT Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Pitch Arsenal King, Michael · 2026 arsenal snapshot 12″24″36″48″ Sinker: 30% usage, 1″ horizontal break, 27″ drop, 92.9 mphSI93 mphChangeup: 27% usage, 10″ horizontal break, 33″ drop, 86.3 mphCH86 mph4-Seam Fastball: 19% usage, 2″ horizontal break, 16″ drop, 94.0 mphFF94 mphSweeper: 19% usage, 2″ horizontal break, 38″ drop, 81.9 mphST82 mphSlider: 5% usage, 0″ horizontal break, 37″ drop, 84.6 mphSL85 mph less drop ↑ more drop ↓ · horizontal break ↔ · dot size = usage · break incl. gravity MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
PitchUsagePitchesStuff+Status
SI 28.0% 335 105 qualified
CH 26.6% 319 102 qualified
SL 25.9% 310 101 qualified
FB 19.5% 234 99 qualified
Method note

Renamed from the attempted Kirby Index after audit; true Kirby requires release-angle trajectory data.

Reference layer

Current snapshot

Age31
Height6' 3"
Weight210 lb
Debut2019-09-27
Live layer

Delta / regression

ERA Δ-0.19
K% Δ-0.036

negative regression

Regression watch

Running hot. Expect some cooling.

-0.3σ gap
wOBA-against (actual)0.321
xwOBA-against (deserved)0.328

King’s wOBA-against sits at 0.321, but the quality of contact underneath says it should be 0.328 — a gap of 0.008, -0.3 standard deviations from the MLB norm over 111 IP. The results have outrun the underlying process; as the sample grows, expect the numbers to drift back toward the deserved level.

Mithrandir coverage

Module shelf

ModuleCardsLatestSignal
Pitching192026-07-08Changeup played up through CH/ST tunnel quality
Projection links / recent games

Available detail

Pitcher Projections 202623.9% K | 3.60 ERAProjection
2026-04-14 vs SEA1 ER / 5 K6.0 IP
2026-04-08 @ PIT2 ER / 4 K6.0 IP
2026-04-03 @ BOS4 ER / 5 K5.2 IP
2026-03-27 vs DET0 ER / 6 K5.0 IP