Mithrandir Metrics
Player Athletics Refreshed Jun 1 06:00 AM ET
Player profile / Athletics

Aaron Civale

P profile with live context, projection links, and Mithrandir card history when available.

Cards
14
Modules
1
Live Δ
yes
Club Athletics Position P Roster Injured 15-Day Status IL-15
Rolling projection

Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update

Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.

2026-06-01
ERA preseason4.61
ERA current pace4.20
ERA rolling p504.39
Observed weight53%
ERA
3.39 3.86 4.39 4.93 5.40
FIP
3.94 4.28 4.65 5.03 5.37
K%
16.8% 18.1% 19.4% 20.8% 22.1%
BB%
5.4% 6.1% 6.8% 7.6% 8.3%
Live percentile strip

Current traits vs projection tick

100th = best in MLB.

2026-06-01
Pitching · percentile strip
BB%6.4%
83
Barrel allowed8.6%
38
Fastball velo91.1
8
Hard-hit allowed47.7%
7
K%18.7%
23
Whiff%18.6%
17
xwOBA allowed0.350
19 -16 vs proj
Mithrandir+

Stuff+ and arsenal context

Stuff+ appears when the current pitch-event scoring artifact includes this pitcher; missing coverage is shown explicitly.

2026-06-01
Mithrandir Stuff+106
81
Rolling form chart

xwOBA allowed snapshot line

Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs

12 snapshots
Mithrandir Metrics ROLLING XWOBA LINE Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Rolling xwOBA allowed Civale, Aaron · Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs LG AVG 0.314 2026-05-17: 0.3302026-05-19: 0.3302026-05-21: 0.3302026-05-23: 0.3472026-05-24: 0.3472026-05-25: 0.3472026-05-26: 0.3502026-05-28: 0.3502026-05-29: 0.3502026-05-30: 0.3502026-05-31: 0.3502026-06-01: 0.350 2026-05-17 2026-06-01 xwOBA allowed MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Optimization map

Arsenal optimization map

Pitch-shape context from this pitcher’s current arsenal snapshot. Hover a pitch to inspect usage, movement, and bat-missing context.

6Pitches 2026Season 35%Top usage
ride armside gloveside +Arsenal gap +Shape contrast
Zone profile

Aggregate zone heatmap

Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.

Mithrandir Metrics ZONE HEATMAP Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Pitch Zone Profile Civale, Aaron · Aggregate zone metrics; not pitch-by-pitch locations Edge: 40%40%Zone: 50%50%Whiff: 19%19%Called strike: 20%20%First pitch strike: 54%54%Hard hit allowed: 48%48% Dashed border = aggregate mixed-batter zone proxy MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Pitch arsenal

Usage mix, movement map, and Stuff+ composition

2026 pitch-level arsenal aggregates; current season takes over after 100 tracked pitches across at least 2 pitch types. Descriptive pitch-type Stuff+ composition. Not a promoted predictive metric.

2026
Mithrandir Metrics PITCH ARSENAL DONUT Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Pitch Arsenal Civale, Aaron · 2026 arsenal snapshot Cutter: 34.8%Curveball: 23.1%Sinker: 19.0%4-Seam Fastball: 12.9%Split-Finger: 6.6%Slider: 3.7% MIX FC 35%CU 23%SI 19%FF 13%FS 7%SL 4% MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Mithrandir Metrics PITCH MOVEMENT Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Pitch Arsenal Civale, Aaron · 2026 arsenal snapshot FC: HB 0.1, IVB 2.1FCCU: HB 0.3, IVB 5.2CUSI: HB -0.1, IVB 1.7SIFF: HB -0.2, IVB 1.2FFFS: HB -1.1, IVB 2.5FSSL: HB -0.6, IVB 3.6SL horizontal break IVB MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
PitchUsagePitchesStuff+Status
FC 38.0% 328 105 qualified
CB 24.7% 213 105 qualified
SI 20.7% 179 102 limited sample
FB 12.7% 110 103 limited sample
SL 3.8% 33 106 limited sample
Method note

Renamed from the attempted Kirby Index after audit; true Kirby requires release-angle trajectory data.

Reference layer

Current snapshot

Age30
Height6' 1"
Weight245 lb
Debut2019-06-22
Live layer

Delta / regression

ERA Δ-0.18
K% Δ-0.003

positive regression

Mithrandir coverage

Module shelf

ModuleCardsLatestSignal
Pitching142026-05-25Cutter played up through FC/CU tunnel quality
Projection links / recent games

Available detail

Pitcher Projections 202619.0% K | 4.38 ERAProjection
2026-05-20 @ LAA5 ER / 2 K5.0 IP
2026-04-17 vs CWS5 ER / 4 K4.2 IP
2026-04-12 @ NYM0 ER / 3 K5.2 IP
2026-04-07 @ NYY1 ER / 6 K5.0 IP
2026-03-31 @ ATL2 ER / 3 K5.0 IP