Reference layer
Current snapshot
| Age | 30 |
| Height | 6' 1" |
| Weight | 215 lb |
| Debut | 2023-09-16 |
Player profile / Minnesota Twins
Tristan Gray
SS · Bats/Throws L/R · 6' 1", 215 lb · Age 30
Club Minnesota Twins
Position SS
Roster Active
Status Healthy / active roster
Traditional line
Season by season
| PA | R | H | HR | SB | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 31 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | .107 | .194 | .143 | .337 |
| 2025 | 86 | 9 | 18 | 3 | 0 | .231 | .282 | .410 | .692 |
| 2026 | 182 | 16 | 39 | 4 | 2 | .232 | .271 | .333 | .604 |
| 4 Seasons | 304 | 26 | 62 | 8 | 2 | .222 | .268 | .348 | .616 |
At a glance
Season percentile report
The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.
44
Offense
percentile
percentile
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.316 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.269 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.293 |
| Observed weight | 47% |
xwOBA
0.246
0.268
0.293
0.318
0.341
wOBA
0.251
0.271
0.292
0.314
0.334
ISO
0.087
0.110
0.135
0.160
0.182
K%
24.7%
26.7%
29.0%
31.4%
33.4%
Live percentile strip
Current traits vs projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%4.0%
35
-37 vs proj
Exit velocity87.6
44
Hard-hit%40.0%
54
xBA0.341
70
xSLG0.503
47
xwOBA0.269
15
-56 vs proj
BB%4.5%
11
-21 vs proj
Bat speed70.1
57
K%31.2%
12
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Runs0.2 · SS
81
Arm Strength87.0 · SS
53
Outs Above Avg1.0 · SS
68
Range Runs-3.1 · SS
20
Baserunning · percentile strip
Sprint Speed26.2 · SS
22
SB Success Rate100.0% · SS
Small sample
Mithrandir+
Plate skills: swing decisions and pitch-type resistance
Our research metrics for how this hitter controls the strike zone and handles each pitch family.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 56.5% · rebadged research
14
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 24.3% · rebadged research
59
Correct Decisions64.3% · rebadged research
31
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.252 · borderline
98
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.283 · insufficient sample
36
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.269 · validated thin sample
81
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.355 · insufficient sample
12
Resists FastballwOBA 0.349 · validated
30
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.355 · validated
63
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline93
17
Rolling form chart
xwOBA snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
85 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Live layer
Delta / regression
| xwOBA Δ | -0.061 |
| wOBA Δ | -0.037 |
negative regression
Regression watch
Running hot. Expect some cooling.
Gray’s wOBA sits at 0.292, but the quality of contact underneath says it should be 0.269 — a gap of 0.024, -0.7 standard deviations from the MLB norm over 199 PA. The results have outrun the underlying process; as the sample grows, expect the numbers to drift back toward the deserved level.
Mithrandir coverage
Module shelf
| Module | Cards | Latest | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hitting | 1 | 2026-04-03 | Impact contact was the main driver |
Projection links / recent games
Available detail
| Hitter Projections 20260.330 xwOBA | 9 HR | Projection |
| 2026-05-20 vs HOU0 HR | 0 RBI / 2 Ch | 0 E | 1-1 | 2 BB, R |
| 2026-04-17 vs CIN0 HR | 0 RBI / 1 Ch | 0 E | 0-1 | K |
| 2026-04-15 vs BOS0 HR | 0 RBI / 1 Ch | 0 E | 1-1 | R |
| 2026-04-14 vs BOS0 HR | 0 RBI / 2 Ch | 0 E | 1-4 | 2 K, R |
| 2026-04-12 @ TOR1 HR | 3 RBI / 3 Ch | 0 E | 1-3 | HR, HBP, 3 RBI |