Mithrandir Metrics
Player Minnesota Twins Refreshed Oct 17 06:00 AM ET
Player profile / Minnesota Twins

Tristan Gray

SS · Bats/Throws L/R · 6' 1", 215 lb · Age 30

Cards
3
Modules
2
Live Δ
yes
Club Minnesota Twins Position SS Roster Current MLB team Status Healthy / active roster
Traditional line

Season by season

PARHHRSBAVGOBPSLGOPS
2024310300.107.194.143.337
20258691830.231.282.410.692
2026188163942.225.267.324.591
4 Seasons310266282.218.266.342.608
At a glance

Season percentile report

The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.

2026-10-17
46
Offense
percentile
Offense9 metrics
39
Defense4 metrics
55
Speed1 metrics
21
Plate skills10 metrics
44
Rolling projection

Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update

Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.

Pending

Rolling player projection appears after current-season Statcast and projection joins refresh.

Live percentile strip

Current traits vs projection tick

100th = best in MLB.

2026-10-17
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%3.9%
34
Exit velocity87.7
48
Hard-hit%39.8%
58
xBA0.334
71
xSLG0.495
49
xwOBA0.263
15
BB%4.8%
12
Bat speed70.1
58
K%31.9%
10
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Runs0.2 · SS
77
Arm Strength87.0 · SS
49
Outs Above Avg1.0 · SS
73
Range Runs-3.3 · SS
23
Baserunning · percentile strip
Sprint Speed26.2 · SS
21
SB Success Rate100.0% · SS
Small sample
Mithrandir+

Plate skills: swing decisions and pitch-type resistance

Our research metrics for how this hitter controls the strike zone and handles each pitch family.

2026-10-17
Avoids Bad ChasesST 56.3% · rebadged research
12
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 23.8% · rebadged research
64
Correct Decisions64.2% · rebadged research
29
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.253 · borderline
97
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.284 · insufficient sample
36
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.270 · validated thin sample
79
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.343 · insufficient sample
16
Resists FastballwOBA 0.349 · validated
29
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.353 · validated
59
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline93
18
Rolling form chart

xwOBA snapshot line

Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs

12 snapshots
Mithrandir Metrics ROLLING XWOBA LINE Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Rolling xwOBA Gray, Tristan · Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs LG AVG 0.301 0.263 2026-10-06: 0.2632026-10-07: 0.2632026-10-08: 0.2632026-10-09: 0.2632026-10-10: 0.2632026-10-11: 0.2632026-10-12: 0.2632026-10-13: 0.2632026-10-14: 0.2632026-10-15: 0.2632026-10-16: 0.2632026-10-17: 0.263 2026-10-06 2026-10-17 xwOBA MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Spray profile

Field-coordinate spray profile

85 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.

Mithrandir Metrics SPRAY CHART Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Spray Chart Gray, Tristan · Statcast batted-ball landing coordinates Left field third: 13% of plotted batted ballsPull 13%Center field third: 66% of plotted batted ballsCenter 66%Right field third: 21% of plotted batted ballsOppo 21% LF 339 CF 403 RF 328 2026-03-15 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 75.4 / LA 38.02026-03-16 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 96.4 / LA 56.02026-03-16 · field out · FC · ground_ball · EV 96.5 / LA -4.02026-03-16 · force out · CH · ground_ball · EV 84.1 / LA -15.02026-03-19 · field out · FC · fly_ball · EV 102.8 / LA 31.02026-03-19 · single · SI · ground_ball · EV 88.1 / LA 5.02026-03-21 · single · SI · line_drive · EV 106.6 / LA 11.02026-03-23 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 92.1 / LA 35.02026-03-23 · field out · FC · ground_ball · EV 110.0 / LA -10.02026-03-23 · single · FF · line_drive · EV 97.9 / LA 14.02026-03-23 · field out · SL · fly_ball · EV 104.0 / LA 41.02026-03-24 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 75.6 / LA -3.02026-03-29 · single · CH · line_drive · EV 77.5 / LA 13.02026-03-29 · double · FF · line_drive · EV 107.3 / LA 17.02026-03-29 · field out · KC · ground_ball · EV 99.8 / LA -8.02026-04-01 · single · SL · line_drive · EV 79.9 / LA 13.02026-04-02 · field out · SL · popup · EV 84.6 / LA 77.02026-04-03 · sac fly · SL · fly_ball · EV 95.9 / LA 29.02026-04-03 · field out · SL · fly_ball · EV 85.8 / LA 55.02026-04-03 · home run · FC · line_drive · EV 106.4 / LA 20.02026-04-05 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 90.8 / LA -25.02026-04-05 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 77.1 / LA -8.02026-04-09 · single · FF · fly_ball · EV 66.8 / LA 49.02026-04-09 · field out · FF · popup · EV 95.2 / LA 62.02026-04-10 · sac bunt · FC · ground_ball · EV 39.0 / LA -56.02026-04-10 · field out · SL · ground_ball · EV 104.1 / LA -4.02026-04-12 · grounded into double play · SI · ground_ball · EV 93.3 / LA -7.02026-04-12 · field out · CU · ground_ball · EV 58.4 / LA -68.02026-04-12 · home run · FC · fly_ball · EV 104.7 / LA 33.02026-04-14 · single · FF · line_drive · EV 94.9 / LA 13.02026-04-14 · field out · CU · ground_ball · EV 55.6 / LA -43.02026-04-15 · single · FC · line_drive · EV 103.1 / LA 8.02026-04-18 · single · FF · line_drive · EV 82.3 / LA 17.02026-04-19 · field out · ST · fly_ball · EV 75.3 / LA 38.02026-04-19 · field out · SL · line_drive · EV 88.8 / LA 24.02026-04-23 · home run · SI · fly_ball · EV 99.2 / LA 27.02026-04-23 · field out · FS · line_drive · EV 101.1 / LA 18.02026-04-23 · field out · FF · line_drive · EV 87.7 / LA 25.02026-04-23 · single · FF · line_drive · EV 103.8 / LA 11.02026-04-24 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 63.8 / LA -75.02026-04-24 · single · FF · ground_ball · EV 111.3 / LA 4.02026-04-24 · force out · CH · ground_ball · EV 81.9 / LA -25.02026-04-27 · single · ST · line_drive · EV 90.8 / LA 11.02026-04-27 · single · SL · line_drive · EV 104.9 / LA 10.02026-04-28 · field out · SL · ground_ball · EV 96.1 / LA -12.02026-04-28 · field out · SI · line_drive · EV 105.3 / LA 14.02026-04-28 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 74.6 / LA -60.02026-05-02 · single · FF · line_drive2026-05-02 · field out · SL · popup · EV 68.1 / LA 67.02026-05-06 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 109.1 / LA 2.02026-05-06 · field out · FF · popup · EV 78.0 / LA 81.02026-05-07 · double play · FC · fly_ball · EV 72.6 / LA 35.02026-05-07 · single · FF · ground_ball · EV 102.7 / LA -3.02026-05-07 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 78.3 / LA 4.02026-05-13 · field out · SL · fly_ball · EV 106.8 / LA 28.02026-05-16 · field out · FC · line_drive · EV 90.4 / LA 9.02026-05-16 · field out · FC · fly_ball · EV 94.5 / LA 36.02026-05-18 · field out · ST · line_drive · EV 81.1 / LA 23.02026-05-18 · single · FF · line_drive · EV 98.0 / LA 9.02026-05-19 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 65.6 / LA -23.02026-05-19 · field out · CH · line_drive · EV 84.1 / LA 12.02026-05-20 · single · CH · line_drive · EV 72.3 / LA 18.02026-05-27 · field out · FC · fly_ball · EV 95.1 / LA 36.02026-05-27 · field out · FF · line_drive · EV 100.0 / LA 19.02026-05-27 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 95.7 / LA 44.02026-05-31 · field out · SL · ground_ball · EV 78.3 / LA -33.02026-05-31 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 90.9 / LA 53.02026-06-01 · field out · FF · line_drive · EV 104.3 / LA 14.02026-06-01 · sac fly · FF · popup · EV 83.9 / LA 63.02026-06-01 · home run · CU · fly_ball · EV 101.4 / LA 34.02026-06-01 · field out · CU · popup · EV 76.3 / LA 73.02026-06-04 · field out · CH · fly_ball · EV 92.0 / LA 30.02026-06-05 · single · CH · ground_ball · EV 23.0 / LA -13.02026-06-05 · double · FF · line_drive · EV 93.8 / LA 11.02026-06-07 · single · CH · line_drive · EV 65.3 / LA 28.02026-06-18 · field out · SL · ground_ball · EV 47.2 / LA -53.02026-06-24 · double · ST · line_drive · EV 82.4 / LA 12.02026-06-24 · single · FS · line_drive · EV 102.7 / LA 10.02026-06-26 · field error · SL · ground_ball · EV 92.2 / LA -27.02026-06-26 · field out · SI · line_drive · EV 87.7 / LA 10.02026-06-26 · single · FS · ground_ball · EV 29.2 / LA -56.02026-06-30 · field out · CH · popup · EV 67.4 / LA 75.02026-06-30 · field out · SI · fly_ball · EV 88.8 / LA 43.02026-07-01 · field out · FF · line_drive · EV 84.4 / LA 24.02026-07-01 · field out · SL · popup · EV 74.0 / LA 83.0 1B2B3BHROut Zone shading = batted-ball density by field third · hover dots for date, pitch, EV, and LA. MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Zone profile

Aggregate zone heatmap

Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.

Mithrandir Metrics ZONE HEATMAP Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Swing Zone Profile Gray, Tristan · Aggregate zone metrics; not pitch-by-pitch locations Zone: 48%48%Chase: 39%39%Whiff: 30%30%Zone contact: 81%81%Contact: 70%70%Hard hit: 40%40% Dashed border = aggregate mixed-batter zone proxy MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Reference layer

Current snapshot

Age30
Height6' 1"
Weight215 lb
Debut2023-09-16
Live layer

Delta / regression

xwOBA Δ--
wOBA Δ--

negative regression

Regression watch

Running hot. Expect some cooling.

-0.8σ gap
wOBA (actual)0.288
xwOBA (deserved)0.263

Gray’s wOBA sits at 0.288, but the quality of contact underneath says it should be 0.263 — a gap of 0.026, -0.8 standard deviations from the MLB norm over 207 PA. The results have outrun the underlying process; as the sample grows, expect the numbers to drift back toward the deserved level.

Mithrandir coverage

Module shelf

ModuleCardsLatestSignal
Hitting12026-04-03Impact contact was the main driver
Fielding22026-08-061 chances | 0 difficult plays | Run Exp -0.095
Projection links / recent games

Available detail

2026-05-20 vs HOU0 HR | 0 RBI / 2 Ch | 0 E1-1 | 2 BB, R
2026-04-17 vs CIN0 HR | 0 RBI / 1 Ch | 0 E0-1 | K
2026-04-15 vs BOS0 HR | 0 RBI / 1 Ch | 0 E1-1 | R
2026-04-14 vs BOS0 HR | 0 RBI / 2 Ch | 0 E1-4 | 2 K, R
2026-04-12 @ TOR1 HR | 3 RBI / 3 Ch | 0 E1-3 | HR, HBP, 3 RBI