Reference layer
Current snapshot
| Age | 33 |
| Height | 6' 3" |
| Weight | 241 lb |
| Debut | 2017-08-10 |
Player profile / Cleveland Guardians
Rhys Hoskins
1B · Bats/Throws R/R · 6' 3", 241 lb · Age 33
Club Cleveland Guardians
Position 1B
Roster Active
Status Healthy / active roster
Traditional line
Season by season
| PA | R | H | HR | SB | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 517 | 59 | 96 | 26 | 3 | .214 | .303 | .419 | .722 |
| 2025 | 328 | 30 | 66 | 12 | 2 | .237 | .332 | .416 | .748 |
| 2026 | 263 | 28 | 38 | 9 | 0 | .178 | .316 | .364 | .680 |
| 9 Seasons | 3985 | 509 | 788 | 195 | 20 | .234 | .343 | .468 | .811 |
At a glance
Season percentile report
The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.
48
Offense
percentile
percentile
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.298 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.289 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.293 |
| Observed weight | 56% |
xwOBA
0.264
0.278
0.293
0.308
0.322
wOBA
0.311
0.329
0.348
0.367
0.384
ISO
0.170
0.187
0.205
0.223
0.239
K%
25.7%
27.2%
28.9%
30.5%
32.0%
Live percentile strip
Current traits vs projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%6.0%
66
Exit velocity89.1
62
Hard-hit%42.9%
66
xBA0.272
10
xSLG0.510
50
xwOBA0.289
31
BB%16.0%
98
+38 vs proj
Bat speed69.3
45
K%30.2%
15
Defense · percentile strip
Outs Above Avg-5.0 · 1B
7
Range Runs-4.7 · 1B
11
Baserunning · percentile strip
Sprint Speed24.8 · 1B
4
Mithrandir+
Plate skills: swing decisions and pitch-type resistance
Our research metrics for how this hitter controls the strike zone and handles each pitch family.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 73.1% · rebadged research
89
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 22.3% · rebadged research
75
Correct Decisions70.1% · rebadged research
86
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.269 · borderline
85
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.285 · insufficient sample
31
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.269 · validated thin sample
82
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.347 · insufficient sample
19
Resists FastballwOBA 0.332 · validated
64
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.371 · validated
22
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline110
90
Rolling form chart
xwOBA snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
107 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Bat tracking
Swing path, attack angle, bat speed
Aggregate Savant bat-tracking metrics; not per-swing motion capture. The full swing, with the recommended path overlaid, lives in the 3D Swing Simulator.
Live layer
Delta / regression
| xwOBA Δ | +0.001 |
| wOBA Δ | +0.059 |
negative regression
Regression watch
Running hot. Expect some cooling.
Hoskins’s wOBA sits at 0.348, but the quality of contact underneath says it should be 0.289 — a gap of 0.059, -2.0 standard deviations from the MLB norm over 281 PA. The results have outrun the underlying process; as the sample grows, expect the numbers to drift back toward the deserved level.
Comp Engine · 2026 profile shape
Closest profiles
| Player | Similarity | Agrees on | Open |
|---|---|---|---|
| Soler, Jorge LAA · R | 0.53 | Max exit velocityHard-hit rate | Player · Projection |
| Okamoto, Kazuma TOR · R | 0.51 | Strikeout rateOppo rate | Player · Projection |
| Wells, Austin NYY · L | 0.47 | Whiff rateOppo rate | Player · Projection |
| Manzardo, Kyle CLE · L | 0.43 | Avg exit velocityBarrel rate | Player · Projection |
Profile-shape similarity, not results: six weighted feature groups standardized within this season's qualified hitters.
Mithrandir coverage
Module shelf
| Module | Cards | Latest | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hitting | 3 | 2026-05-01 | Impact contact carried uneven swing decisions |
Projection links / recent games
Available detail
| Hitter Projections 20260.288 xwOBA | 18 HR | Projection |
| 2026-05-20 @ DET0 HR | 0 RBI / 4 Ch | 0 E | 1-3 | K |
| 2026-04-20 vs HOU0 HR | 1 RBI / 0 Ch | 0 E | 2-4 | BB, K, RBI |
| 2026-04-17 vs BAL0 HR | 0 RBI / 6 Ch | 0 E | 1-3 | BB, K |
| 2026-04-15 @ STL0 HR | 0 RBI / 1 Ch | 0 E | 0-1 | BB, K, R |
| 2026-04-13 @ STL0 HR | 0 RBI / 7 Ch | 0 E | 0-4 | BB, K, R |