Mithrandir Metrics
Player Milwaukee Brewers Refreshed Sep 1 06:00 AM ET
Player profile / Milwaukee Brewers

Trevor Megill

P · Bats/Throws L/R · 6' 8", 253 lb · Age 32

Cards
1
Modules
1
Live Δ
yes
Club Milwaukee Brewers Position P Roster Current MLB team Status Healthy / active roster
Traditional line

Season by season

3D Pitch Lab Projections
WLERAGGSSVIPSOWHIP
2024132.724802146.1501.01
2025632.495003047.0601.13
2026232.245302552.1570.84
6 Seasons15143.61249276249.02981.21
At a glance

Season percentile report

The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.

2026-09-01
92
Pitching
percentile
Pitching9 metrics
84
Arsenal3 metrics
95
Rolling projection

Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update

Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.

2026-09-01
ERA preseason3.06
ERA current pace2.34
ERA rolling p502.72
Observed weight47%
ERA
1.57 2.12 2.72 3.33 3.88
FIP
1.51 2.00 2.54 3.09 3.58
K%
23.4% 25.4% 27.6% 29.7% 31.7%
BB%
5.6% 6.5% 7.4% 8.4% 9.2%
Live percentile strip

Current traits vs projection tick

100th = best in MLB.

2026-09-01
Pitching · percentile strip
WHIP0.79
99
ERA2.34
92
BB%6.5%
83 +35 vs proj
K%29.0%
89
xwOBA allowed0.249
96 +16 vs proj
Barrel allowed5.2%
83 +46 vs proj
Fastball velo97.9
94
Hard-hit allowed41.5%
29
Whiff%30.4%
94 +24 vs proj
Mithrandir+

Stuff+ and arsenal context

How nasty this pitcher's stuff grades in our pitch-level model. Missing coverage is shown explicitly.

2026-09-01
Fastball Stuff+111
96
Curveball Stuff+105
92
Mithrandir Stuff+110
98
Rolling form chart

xwOBA allowed snapshot line

Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs

12 snapshots
Mithrandir Metrics ROLLING XWOBA LINE Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Rolling xwOBA allowed Megill, Trevor · Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs LG AVG 0.313 0.249 2026-08-21: 0.2482026-08-22: 0.2482026-08-23: 0.2482026-08-24: 0.2482026-08-25: 0.2522026-08-26: 0.2522026-08-27: 0.2492026-08-28: 0.2492026-08-29: 0.2492026-08-30: 0.2492026-08-31: 0.2492026-09-01: 0.249 2026-08-21 2026-09-01 xwOBA allowed MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Optimization map

Arsenal optimization map

Pitch-shape context from this pitcher’s current arsenal snapshot. Hover a pitch to inspect usage, movement, and bat-missing context.

2Pitches 2026Season 63%Top usage
ride armside gloveside +Arsenal gap +Shape contrast
Zone profile

Aggregate zone heatmap

Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.

Mithrandir Metrics ZONE HEATMAP Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Pitch Zone Profile Megill, Trevor · Aggregate zone metrics; not pitch-by-pitch locations Edge: 37%37%Zone: 49%49%Whiff: 30%30%Called strike: 16%16%First pitch strike: 54%54%Hard hit allowed: 41%41% Dashed border = aggregate mixed-batter zone proxy MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Pitch arsenal

Usage mix, movement map, and Stuff+ composition

2026 pitch-level arsenal aggregates; current season takes over after 100 tracked pitches across at least 2 pitch types. Descriptive pitch-type Stuff+ composition. Not a promoted predictive metric.

Watch the pitches in 3D →

2026
Mithrandir Metrics PITCH ARSENAL DONUT Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Pitch Arsenal Megill, Trevor · 2026 arsenal snapshot 4-Seam Fastball: 63.2%Knuckle Curve: 36.8% FF63% · 98 mphprimary pitch FF 63%KC 37% MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Mithrandir Metrics PITCH MOVEMENT Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Pitch Arsenal Megill, Trevor · 2026 arsenal snapshot 12″24″36″48″ 4-Seam Fastball: 63% usage, 0″ horizontal break, 10″ drop, 97.9 mphFF98 mphKnuckle Curve: 37% usage, 0″ horizontal break, 38″ drop, 87.9 mphKC88 mph less drop ↑ more drop ↓ · horizontal break ↔ · dot size = usage · break incl. gravity MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
PitchUsagePitchesStuff+Status
FB 62.1% 292 111 qualified
CB 37.9% 178 105 limited sample
Method note

Renamed from the attempted Kirby Index after audit; true Kirby requires release-angle trajectory data.

Reference layer

Current snapshot

Age32
Height6' 8"
Weight253 lb
Debut2021-04-26
Live layer

Delta / regression

ERA Δ-0.93
K% Δ+0.023

negative regression

Regression watch

Running hot. Expect some cooling.

-1.1σ gap
wOBA-against (actual)0.215
xwOBA-against (deserved)0.249

Megill’s wOBA-against sits at 0.215, but the quality of contact underneath says it should be 0.249 — a gap of 0.034, -1.1 standard deviations from the MLB norm over 56 IP. The results have outrun the underlying process; as the sample grows, expect the numbers to drift back toward the deserved level.

Mithrandir coverage

Module shelf

ModuleCardsLatestSignal
Pitching12025-10-11Command and chase profile drove the outing
Projection links / recent games

Available detail

Pitcher Projections 202626.7% K | 3.27 ERAProjection
2026-04-17 @ MIA0 ER / 2 K1.0 IP
2026-04-14 vs TOR3 ER / 0 K1.0 IP
2026-04-05 @ KC0 ER / 0 K1.0 IP
2026-04-04 @ KC0 ER / 2 K1.0 IP
2026-03-30 vs TB1 ER / 1 K1.0 IP