Mithrandir Metrics
Player Milwaukee Brewers Refreshed Jul 18 06:00 AM ET
Player profile / Milwaukee Brewers

Trevor Megill

P · Bats/Throws L/R · 6' 8", 253 lb · Age 32

Cards
1
Modules
1
Live Δ
yes
Club Milwaukee Brewers Position P Roster Active Status Healthy / active roster
Traditional line

Season by season

3D Pitch Lab Projections
WLERAGGSSVIPSOWHIP
2024132.724802146.1501.01
2025632.495003047.0601.13
2026222.923801437.0470.97
6 Seasons15133.81234265233.22881.26
At a glance

Season percentile report

The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.

2026-07-18
90
Pitching
percentile
Pitching9 metrics
84
Arsenal3 metrics
94
Rolling projection

Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update

Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.

2026-07-18
ERA preseason3.07
ERA current pace3.00
ERA rolling p503.04
Observed weight39%
ERA
1.86 2.42 3.04 3.66 4.22
FIP
1.47 1.97 2.53 3.09 3.59
K%
24.2% 26.4% 28.9% 31.3% 33.5%
BB%
5.6% 6.5% 7.5% 8.6% 9.5%
Live percentile strip

Current traits vs projection tick

100th = best in MLB.

2026-07-18
Pitching · percentile strip
WHIP0.88
96
ERA3.00
76
BB%6.5%
83 +39 vs proj
K%32.9%
97 +19 vs proj
xwOBA allowed0.247
97 +21 vs proj
Barrel allowed4.3%
91 +50 vs proj
Fastball velo97.8
93
Hard-hit allowed41.9%
30
Whiff%30.7%
93 +23 vs proj
Mithrandir+

Stuff+ and arsenal context

How nasty this pitcher's stuff grades in our pitch-level model. Missing coverage is shown explicitly.

2026-07-18
Fastball Stuff+110
94
Curveball Stuff+105
89
Mithrandir Stuff+110
98
Rolling form chart

xwOBA allowed snapshot line

Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs

12 snapshots
Mithrandir Metrics ROLLING XWOBA LINE Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Rolling xwOBA allowed Megill, Trevor · Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs LG AVG 0.314 0.247 2026-07-07: 0.2502026-07-08: 0.2472026-07-09: 0.2472026-07-10: 0.2472026-07-11: 0.2472026-07-12: 0.2472026-07-13: 0.2472026-07-14: 0.2472026-07-15: 0.2472026-07-16: 0.2472026-07-17: 0.2472026-07-18: 0.247 2026-07-07 2026-07-18 xwOBA allowed MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Optimization map

Arsenal optimization map

Pitch-shape context from this pitcher’s current arsenal snapshot. Hover a pitch to inspect usage, movement, and bat-missing context.

2Pitches 2026Season 64%Top usage
ride armside gloveside +Arsenal gap +Shape contrast
Zone profile

Aggregate zone heatmap

Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.

Mithrandir Metrics ZONE HEATMAP Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Pitch Zone Profile Megill, Trevor · Aggregate zone metrics; not pitch-by-pitch locations Edge: 38%38%Zone: 49%49%Whiff: 31%31%Called strike: 16%16%First pitch strike: 55%55%Hard hit allowed: 42%42% Dashed border = aggregate mixed-batter zone proxy MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Pitch arsenal

Usage mix, movement map, and Stuff+ composition

2026 pitch-level arsenal aggregates; current season takes over after 100 tracked pitches across at least 2 pitch types. Descriptive pitch-type Stuff+ composition. Not a promoted predictive metric.

Watch the pitches in 3D →

2026
Mithrandir Metrics PITCH ARSENAL DONUT Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Pitch Arsenal Megill, Trevor · 2026 arsenal snapshot 4-Seam Fastball: 63.5%Knuckle Curve: 36.5% FF64% · 98 mphprimary pitch FF 64%KC 36% MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Mithrandir Metrics PITCH MOVEMENT Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Pitch Arsenal Megill, Trevor · 2026 arsenal snapshot 12″24″36″48″ 4-Seam Fastball: 64% usage, 0″ horizontal break, 10″ drop, 97.8 mphFF98 mphKnuckle Curve: 36% usage, 0″ horizontal break, 38″ drop, 87.8 mphKC88 mph less drop ↑ more drop ↓ · horizontal break ↔ · dot size = usage · break incl. gravity MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
PitchUsagePitchesStuff+Status
FB 62.3% 249 110 qualified
CB 37.8% 151 105 limited sample
Method note

Renamed from the attempted Kirby Index after audit; true Kirby requires release-angle trajectory data.

Reference layer

Current snapshot

Age32
Height6' 8"
Weight253 lb
Debut2021-04-26
Live layer

Delta / regression

ERA Δ-0.27
K% Δ+0.062

negative regression

Regression watch

Running hot. Expect some cooling.

-0.0σ gap
wOBA-against (actual)0.245
xwOBA-against (deserved)0.247

Megill’s wOBA-against sits at 0.245, but the quality of contact underneath says it should be 0.247 — a gap of 0.002, -0.0 standard deviations from the MLB norm over 40 IP. The results have outrun the underlying process; as the sample grows, expect the numbers to drift back toward the deserved level.

Mithrandir coverage

Module shelf

ModuleCardsLatestSignal
Pitching12025-10-11Command and chase profile drove the outing
Projection links / recent games

Available detail

Pitcher Projections 202626.7% K | 3.27 ERAProjection
2026-04-17 @ MIA0 ER / 2 K1.0 IP
2026-04-14 vs TOR3 ER / 0 K1.0 IP
2026-04-05 @ KC0 ER / 0 K1.0 IP
2026-04-04 @ KC0 ER / 2 K1.0 IP
2026-03-30 vs TB1 ER / 1 K1.0 IP