Mithrandir Metrics
Player Milwaukee Brewers Refreshed Oct 17 06:00 AM ET
Player profile / Milwaukee Brewers

Trevor Megill

P · Bats/Throws L/R · 6' 8", 253 lb · Age 32

Cards
1
Modules
1
Live Δ
yes
Club Milwaukee Brewers Position P Roster Current MLB team Status Healthy / active roster
Traditional line

Season by season

3D Pitch Lab Projections
WLERAGGSSVIPSOWHIP
2024132.724802146.1501.01
2025632.495003047.0601.13
2026332.636303061.2690.89
6 Seasons16143.66259281258.13101.21
At a glance

Season percentile report

The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.

2026-10-17
93
Pitching
percentile
Pitching9 metrics
80
Arsenal3 metrics
98
Rolling projection

Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update

Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.

Pending

Rolling player projection appears after current-season Statcast and projection joins refresh.

Live percentile strip

Current traits vs projection tick

100th = best in MLB.

2026-10-17
Pitching · percentile strip
WHIP0.82
99
ERA2.63
90
BB%6.2%
87
K%29.3%
91
xwOBA allowed0.252
97
Barrel allowed6.9%
59
Fastball velo98.0
94
Hard-hit allowed42.8%
20
Whiff%28.5%
88
Mithrandir+

Stuff+ and arsenal context

How nasty this pitcher's stuff grades in our pitch-level model. Missing coverage is shown explicitly.

2026-10-17
Curveball Stuff+106
96
Fastball Stuff+113
99
Mithrandir Stuff+112
100
Rolling form chart

xwOBA allowed snapshot line

Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs

12 snapshots
Mithrandir Metrics ROLLING XWOBA LINE Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Rolling xwOBA allowed Megill, Trevor · Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs LG AVG 0.314 0.252 2026-10-06: 0.2522026-10-07: 0.2522026-10-08: 0.2502026-10-09: 0.2502026-10-10: 0.2502026-10-11: 0.2502026-10-12: 0.2542026-10-13: 0.2542026-10-14: 0.2542026-10-15: 0.2522026-10-16: 0.2522026-10-17: 0.252 2026-10-06 2026-10-17 xwOBA allowed MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Optimization map

Arsenal optimization map

Pitch-shape context from this pitcher’s current arsenal snapshot. Hover a pitch to inspect usage, movement, and bat-missing context.

2Pitches 2026Season 65%Top usage
ride armside gloveside +Arsenal gap +Shape contrast
Zone profile

Aggregate zone heatmap

Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.

Mithrandir Metrics ZONE HEATMAP Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Pitch Zone Profile Megill, Trevor · Aggregate zone metrics; not pitch-by-pitch locations Edge: 36%36%Zone: 50%50%Whiff: 28%28%Called strike: 17%17%First pitch strike: 56%56%Hard hit allowed: 43%43% Dashed border = aggregate mixed-batter zone proxy MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Pitch arsenal

Usage mix, movement map, and Stuff+ composition

2026 pitch-level arsenal aggregates; current season takes over after 100 tracked pitches across at least 2 pitch types. Descriptive pitch-type Stuff+ composition. Not a promoted predictive metric.

Watch the pitches in 3D →

2026
Mithrandir Metrics PITCH ARSENAL DONUT Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Pitch Arsenal Megill, Trevor · 2026 arsenal snapshot 4-Seam Fastball: 64.6%Knuckle Curve: 35.4% FF65% · 98 mphprimary pitch FF 65%KC 35% MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Mithrandir Metrics PITCH MOVEMENT Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Pitch Arsenal Megill, Trevor · 2026 arsenal snapshot 12″24″36″48″ 4-Seam Fastball: 65% usage, 0″ horizontal break, 10″ drop, 98.0 mphFF98 mphKnuckle Curve: 35% usage, 0″ horizontal break, 37″ drop, 88.0 mphKC88 mph less drop ↑ more drop ↓ · horizontal break ↔ · dot size = usage · break incl. gravity MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
PitchUsagePitchesStuff+Status
FB 63.7% 374 113 qualified
CB 36.3% 213 106 qualified
Method note

Renamed from the attempted Kirby Index after audit; true Kirby requires release-angle trajectory data.

Reference layer

Current snapshot

Age32
Height6' 8"
Weight253 lb
Debut2021-04-26
Live layer

Delta / regression

ERA Δ--
K% Δ--

negative regression

Regression watch

Running hot. Expect some cooling.

-1.1σ gap
wOBA-against (actual)0.220
xwOBA-against (deserved)0.252

Megill’s wOBA-against sits at 0.220, but the quality of contact underneath says it should be 0.252 — a gap of 0.032, -1.1 standard deviations from the MLB norm over 71 IP. The results have outrun the underlying process; as the sample grows, expect the numbers to drift back toward the deserved level.

Mithrandir coverage

Module shelf

ModuleCardsLatestSignal
Pitching12025-10-11Command and chase profile drove the outing
Projection links / recent games

Available detail

2026-04-17 @ MIA0 ER / 2 K1.0 IP
2026-04-14 vs TOR3 ER / 0 K1.0 IP
2026-04-05 @ KC0 ER / 0 K1.0 IP
2026-04-04 @ KC0 ER / 2 K1.0 IP
2026-03-30 vs TB1 ER / 1 K1.0 IP