Mithrandir Metrics
Player Boston Red Sox Refreshed Jul 19 06:00 AM ET
Player profile / Boston Red Sox

Connor Wong

C · Bats/Throws R/R · 5' 10", 190 lb · Age 30

Cards
1
Modules
1
Live Δ
yes
Club Boston Red Sox Position C Roster Active Status Healthy / active roster
Traditional line

Season by season

PARHHRSBAVGOBPSLGOPS
202448754125138.280.333.425.758
2025188163202.190.262.238.500
2026137143213.283.383.381.764
6 Seasons12851502892421.249.311.378.689
At a glance

Season percentile report

The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.

2026-07-19
32
Offense
percentile
Offense9 metrics
45
Defense4 metrics
32
Speed1 metrics
51
Plate skills10 metrics
39
Rolling projection

Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update

Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.

2026-07-19
xwOBA preseason0.280
xwOBA current pace0.318
xwOBA rolling p500.295
Observed weight40%
xwOBA
0.262 0.278 0.295 0.313 0.328
wOBA
0.334 0.358 0.385 0.412 0.436
ISO
0.082 0.105 0.132 0.158 0.182
K%
19.4% 21.5% 23.8% 26.2% 28.3%
Live percentile strip

Current traits vs projection tick

100th = best in MLB.

2026-07-19
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%2.7%
18 -23 vs proj
Exit velocity82.6
6
Hard-hit%34.3%
29
xBA0.318
46
xSLG0.460
32
xwOBA0.318
63 +36 vs proj
BB%11.4%
80 +61 vs proj
Bat speed70.7
67
K%19.5%
68 +32 vs proj
Defense · percentile strip
Blocking Runs0.1 · C
58
Catcher Throwing-1.0 · C
20
Framing Runs-3.4 · C
15
Pop Time2.0 · C
34
Baserunning · percentile strip
Sprint Speed27.4 · C
51
SB Success Rate75.0% · C
Small sample
Mithrandir+

Plate skills: swing decisions and pitch-type resistance

Our research metrics for how this hitter controls the strike zone and handles each pitch family.

2026-07-19
Avoids Bad ChasesST 64.7% · rebadged research
46
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 26.4% · rebadged research
38
Correct Decisions64.6% · rebadged research
34
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.251 · borderline
98
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.303 · insufficient sample
7
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.292 · validated thin sample
22
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.330 · insufficient sample
56
Resists FastballwOBA 0.344 · validated
38
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.381 · validated
11
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline99
40
Rolling form chart

xwOBA snapshot line

Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs

12 snapshots
Mithrandir Metrics ROLLING XWOBA LINE Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Rolling xwOBA Wong, Connor · Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs LG AVG 0.308 0.318 2026-07-08: 0.3182026-07-09: 0.3242026-07-10: 0.3242026-07-11: 0.3202026-07-12: 0.3192026-07-13: 0.3192026-07-14: 0.3182026-07-15: 0.3182026-07-16: 0.3182026-07-17: 0.3182026-07-18: 0.3182026-07-19: 0.318 2026-07-08 2026-07-19 xwOBA MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Spray profile

Field-coordinate spray profile

71 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.

Mithrandir Metrics SPRAY CHART Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Spray Chart Wong, Connor · Statcast batted-ball landing coordinates Left field third: 17% of plotted batted ballsPull 17%Center field third: 70% of plotted batted ballsCenter 70%Right field third: 13% of plotted batted ballsOppo 13% LF 310 CF 390 RF 302 2026-03-15 · field out · SL · ground_ball · EV 71.5 / LA -10.02026-03-15 · force out · FF · ground_ball · EV 62.0 / LA 1.02026-03-15 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 96.5 / LA -11.02026-03-21 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 101.7 / LA -31.02026-03-23 · single · SI · ground_ball · EV 84.9 / LA 7.02026-03-23 · double · SL · line_drive · EV 108.2 / LA 10.02026-03-23 · field out · SI · fly_ball · EV 91.2 / LA 59.02026-03-23 · field out · SI · popup · EV 86.2 / LA 81.02026-03-24 · field out · FF · popup · EV 71.9 / LA 65.02026-03-29 · double · CU · fly_ball · EV 99.3 / LA 24.02026-03-29 · field out · SL · ground_ball · EV 102.6 / LA -5.02026-03-29 · single · SI · fly_ball · EV 65.6 / LA 25.02026-03-31 · double · FF · line_drive · EV 101.9 / LA 15.02026-04-01 · double · CH · line_drive · EV 106.6 / LA 5.02026-04-01 · single · SI · ground_ball · EV 107.0 / LA -22.02026-04-01 · field out · ST · fly_ball · EV 90.8 / LA 27.02026-04-07 · field out · SI · popup · EV 87.2 / LA 65.02026-04-12 · field out · SI · popup · EV 54.3 / LA 36.02026-04-12 · field out · SI · popup · EV 65.4 / LA 61.02026-04-12 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 96.9 / LA 45.02026-04-12 · single · SI · line_drive · EV 95.2 / LA 11.02026-04-15 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 93.1 / LA -4.02026-04-15 · sac bunt · FF · ground_ball · EV 35.5 / LA -60.02026-04-15 · single · FF · ground_ball · EV 49.4 / LA -12.02026-04-15 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 81.3 / LA 37.02026-04-17 · field out · SL · fly_ball · EV 79.8 / LA 45.02026-04-17 · double · FF · line_drive · EV 105.8 / LA 21.02026-04-18 · field out · FC · ground_ball · EV 98.5 / LA -18.02026-04-18 · grounded into double play · FF · ground_ball · EV 88.4 / LA -14.02026-04-22 · field out · CU · fly_ball · EV 85.1 / LA 44.02026-04-22 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 87.5 / LA 32.02026-04-25 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 87.1 / LA -2.02026-04-25 · double · FF · fly_ball · EV 96.8 / LA 33.02026-04-25 · field out · EP · fly_ball · EV 81.1 / LA 45.02026-04-26 · field out · SL · ground_ball · EV 75.7 / LA -16.02026-04-26 · field out · SL · ground_ball · EV 101.2 / LA -8.02026-04-26 · field out · CU · ground_ball · EV 83.8 / LA -1.02026-04-29 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 96.6 / LA 34.02026-04-29 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 95.0 / LA 52.02026-04-29 · field out · SL · ground_ball · EV 86.4 / LA 0.02026-04-29 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 79.7 / LA -59.02026-05-02 · single · SI · line_drive · EV 63.4 / LA 23.02026-05-02 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 73.8 / LA -32.02026-05-02 · field out · ST · ground_ball · EV 66.2 / LA -25.02026-05-05 · single · CH · line_drive · EV 80.6 / LA 26.02026-05-05 · field out · FC · ground_ball · EV 85.1 / LA -32.02026-05-07 · single · SI · ground_ball · EV 105.8 / LA -6.02026-05-07 · fielders choice · SI · ground_ball · EV 107.9 / LA 0.02026-05-13 · sac bunt · ST · ground_ball · EV 34.6 / LA -36.02026-05-17 · single · FF · line_drive · EV 93.6 / LA 8.02026-05-18 · field out · ST · fly_ball · EV 84.0 / LA 39.02026-05-18 · field out · ST · line_drive · EV 106.0 / LA 17.02026-05-18 · double · FC · line_drive · EV 104.8 / LA 11.02026-05-31 · field out · FF · popup · EV 75.0 / LA 70.02026-05-31 · double · SI · ground_ball · EV 83.3 / LA -28.02026-06-04 · single · CH · line_drive · EV 104.6 / LA 18.02026-06-04 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 73.4 / LA -9.02026-06-04 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 72.8 / LA -16.02026-06-05 · single · SI · line_drive · EV 99.3 / LA 11.02026-06-05 · field out · FC · ground_ball · EV 63.8 / LA -34.02026-06-18 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 105.5 / LA 3.02026-06-22 · field out · FC · ground_ball · EV 31.8 / LA -46.02026-06-24 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 80.3 / LA 43.02026-06-24 · single · SI · line_drive · EV 105.8 / LA 10.02026-06-24 · home run · KC · fly_ball · EV 102.7 / LA 24.02026-06-26 · single · SI · ground_ball · EV 105.1 / LA -4.02026-06-26 · sac fly · ST · fly_ball · EV 96.6 / LA 36.02026-06-26 · field out · ST · popup · EV 66.8 / LA 58.02026-07-01 · fielders choice out · CU · ground_ball · EV 66.0 / LA -44.02026-07-01 · single · SI · ground_ball · EV 68.7 / LA -49.02026-07-01 · single · FF · popup · EV 82.0 / LA 61.0 1B2B3BHROut Zone shading = batted-ball density by field third · hover dots for date, pitch, EV, and LA. MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Zone profile

Aggregate zone heatmap

Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.

Mithrandir Metrics ZONE HEATMAP Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Swing Zone Profile Wong, Connor · Aggregate zone metrics; not pitch-by-pitch locations Zone: 47%47%Chase: 30%30%Whiff: 21%21%Zone contact: 90%90%Contact: 79%79%Hard hit: 34%34% Dashed border = aggregate mixed-batter zone proxy MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Reference layer

Current snapshot

Age30
Height5' 10"
Weight190 lb
Debut2021-06-22
Live layer

Delta / regression

xwOBA Δ+0.033
wOBA Δ+0.101

negative regression

Regression watch

Running hot. Expect some cooling.

-1.9σ gap
wOBA (actual)0.385
xwOBA (deserved)0.318

Wong’s wOBA sits at 0.385, but the quality of contact underneath says it should be 0.318 — a gap of 0.068, -1.9 standard deviations from the MLB norm over 149 PA. The results have outrun the underlying process; as the sample grows, expect the numbers to drift back toward the deserved level.

Mithrandir coverage

Module shelf

ModuleCardsLatestSignal
Hitting12026-06-24Impact contact was the main driver
Projection links / recent games

Available detail

Hitter Projections 20260.285 xwOBA | 9 HRProjection
2026-04-17 vs DET0 HR | 0 RBI / 8 Ch | 0 E1-2 | 2B, BB
2026-04-15 @ MIN0 HR | 1 RBI / 7 Ch | 0 E1-3 | RBI, SB
2026-04-12 @ STL0 HR | 0 RBI / 4 Ch | 0 E1-4 | R
2026-04-07 vs MIL0 HR | 0 RBI / 8 Ch | 0 E0-2 | HBP, K
2026-04-01 @ HOU0 HR | 0 RBI / 10 Ch | 1 E2-3 | 2B