Mithrandir Metrics
Player Colorado Rockies Refreshed Sep 1 06:00 AM ET
Player profile / Colorado Rockies

Brennan Bernardino

P · Bats/Throws L/L · 6' 4", 216 lb · Age 34

Cards
3
Modules
1
Live Δ
yes
Club Colorado Rockies Position P Roster Current MLB team Status Healthy / active roster
Traditional line

Season by season

3D Pitch Lab Projections
WLERAGGSSVIPSOWHIP
2024434.06573051.0561.41
2025433.14553151.2431.26
2026332.57642156.0411.14
5 Seasons13113.23233142211.21981.29
At a glance

Season percentile report

The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.

2026-09-01
64
Pitching
percentile
Pitching9 metrics
59
Arsenal6 metrics
33
Rolling projection

Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update

Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.

2026-09-01
ERA preseason4.16
ERA current pace2.77
ERA rolling p503.45
Observed weight51%
ERA
2.48 2.94 3.45 3.95 4.41
FIP
2.87 3.22 3.60 3.98 4.32
K%
17.4% 18.8% 20.4% 21.9% 23.3%
BB%
6.3% 7.1% 8.0% 8.9% 9.8%
Live percentile strip

Current traits vs projection tick

100th = best in MLB.

2026-09-01
Pitching · percentile strip
WHIP1.22
70
ERA2.77
85
BB%6.3%
86 +46 vs proj
K%17.5%
16 -36 vs proj
xwOBA allowed0.301
65 +20 vs proj
Barrel allowed5.9%
74 +20 vs proj
Fastball velo90.2
4
Hard-hit allowed31.4%
92
Whiff%22.1%
44 +18 vs proj
Mithrandir+

Stuff+ and arsenal context

How nasty this pitcher's stuff grades in our pitch-level model. Missing coverage is shown explicitly.

2026-09-01
Mithrandir Stuff+102
45
Sinker Stuff+104
70
Changeup Stuff+96
16
Curveball Stuff+102
38
Cutter Stuff+97
12
Fastball Stuff+95
15
Rolling form chart

xwOBA allowed snapshot line

Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs

12 snapshots
Mithrandir Metrics ROLLING XWOBA LINE Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Rolling xwOBA allowed Bernardino, Brennan · Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs LG AVG 0.313 0.301 2026-08-21: 0.3122026-08-22: 0.3122026-08-23: 0.3122026-08-24: 0.3122026-08-25: 0.3102026-08-26: 0.3102026-08-27: 0.3082026-08-28: 0.3082026-08-29: 0.3082026-08-30: 0.3032026-08-31: 0.3032026-09-01: 0.301 2026-08-21 2026-09-01 xwOBA allowed MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Optimization map

Arsenal optimization map

Pitch-shape context from this pitcher’s current arsenal snapshot. Hover a pitch to inspect usage, movement, and bat-missing context.

6Pitches 2026Season 39%Top usage
ride armside gloveside +Arsenal gap +Shape contrast
Zone profile

Aggregate zone heatmap

Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.

Mithrandir Metrics ZONE HEATMAP Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Pitch Zone Profile Bernardino, Brennan · Aggregate zone metrics; not pitch-by-pitch locations Edge: 37%37%Zone: 47%47%Whiff: 22%22%Called strike: 15%15%First pitch strike: 47%47%Hard hit allowed: 31%31% Dashed border = aggregate mixed-batter zone proxy MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Pitch arsenal

Usage mix, movement map, and Stuff+ composition

2026 pitch-level arsenal aggregates; current season takes over after 100 tracked pitches across at least 2 pitch types. Descriptive pitch-type Stuff+ composition. Not a promoted predictive metric.

Watch the pitches in 3D →

2026
Mithrandir Metrics PITCH ARSENAL DONUT Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Pitch Arsenal Bernardino, Brennan · 2026 arsenal snapshot Sinker: 39.2%Curveball: 33.4%Cutter: 12.9%Changeup: 7.8%4-Seam Fastball: 5.8%Sweeper: 0.9% SI39% · 90 mphprimary pitch SI 39%CU 33%FC 13%CH 8%FF 6%ST 1% MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Mithrandir Metrics PITCH MOVEMENT Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Pitch Arsenal Bernardino, Brennan · 2026 arsenal snapshot 12″24″36″48″ Sinker: 39% usage, 2″ horizontal break, 30″ drop, 90.2 mphSI90 mphCurveball: 33% usage, 3″ horizontal break, 45″ drop, 77.8 mphCU78 mphCutter: 13% usage, 0″ horizontal break, 32″ drop, 85.8 mphFC86 mphChangeup: 8% usage, 11″ horizontal break, 42″ drop, 80.3 mphCH80 mph4-Seam Fastball: 6% usage, 3″ horizontal break, 24″ drop, 90.5 mphFF91 mphSweeper: 1% usage, 4″ horizontal break, 34″ drop, 79.2 mphST79 mph less drop ↑ more drop ↓ · horizontal break ↔ · dot size = usage · break incl. gravity MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
PitchUsagePitchesStuff+Status
SI 40.9% 230 104 qualified
CB 33.3% 187 102 limited sample
FC 12.3% 69 97 limited sample
CH 7.1% 40 96 limited sample
FB 6.4% 36 95 limited sample
Method note

Renamed from the attempted Kirby Index after audit; true Kirby requires release-angle trajectory data.

Reference layer

Current snapshot

Age34
Height6' 4"
Weight216 lb
Debut2022-07-31
Live layer

Delta / regression

ERA Δ-1.25
K% Δ-0.050

positive regression

Regression watch

Unlucky so far. Better days ahead.

1.7σ gap
wOBA-against (actual)0.353
xwOBA-against (deserved)0.301

Bernardino’s wOBA-against sits at 0.353, but the quality of contact underneath says it should be 0.301 — a gap of 0.052, 1.7 standard deviations from the MLB norm over 58 IP. The results have been worse than the process deserves; as the sample grows, expect the numbers to climb back toward the underlying level.

Mithrandir coverage

Module shelf

ModuleCardsLatestSignal
Pitching32026-05-02Stuff and strike quality carried the outing
Projection links / recent games

Available detail

Pitcher Projections 202622.4% K | 4.02 ERAProjection
2026-05-20 vs TEX0 ER / 1 K0.1 IP
2026-04-17 vs LAD0 ER / 1 K1.0 IP
2026-04-12 @ SD0 ER / 0 K0.2 IP
2026-04-11 @ SD0 ER / 1 K0.2 IP
2026-04-09 @ SD0 ER / 1 K1.0 IP