Mithrandir Metrics
Player Athletics Refreshed Jun 12 06:00 AM ET
Player profile / Athletics

José Suarez

P · Bats/Throws L/L · 5' 10", 225 lb · Age 28

Cards
3
Modules
1
Live Δ
yes
Club Athletics Position P Roster Active Status Healthy / active roster
Traditional line

Season by season

3D Pitch Lab Projections
WLERAGGSSVIPSOWHIP
2024126.02223152.1561.61
2025201.8671119.1161.29
2026025.73211133.0401.82
8 Seasons22315.33127633429.04021.49
At a glance

Season percentile report

The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.

2026-06-12
36
Pitching
percentile
Pitching9 metrics
51
Arsenal5 metrics
37
Rolling projection

Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update

Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.

2026-06-12
ERA preseason4.57
ERA current pace5.22
ERA rolling p504.86
Observed weight45%
ERA
3.33 4.06 4.86 5.66 6.39
FIP
2.77 3.18 3.63 4.07 4.48
K%
19.4% 21.2% 23.2% 25.2% 27.0%
BB%
7.5% 8.6% 9.9% 11.1% 12.2%
Live percentile strip

Current traits vs projection tick

100th = best in MLB.

2026-06-12
Pitching · percentile strip
WHIP1.69
6
ERA5.22
20
BB%10.9%
25
K%25.4%
70 +31 vs proj
xwOBA allowed0.307
58
Barrel allowed2.5%
97 +56 vs proj
Fastball velo92.6
24
Hard-hit allowed34.2%
79
Whiff%26.8%
76
Mithrandir+

Stuff+ and arsenal context

How nasty this pitcher's stuff grades in our pitch-level model. Missing coverage is shown explicitly.

2026-06-12
Fastball Stuff+94
10
Mithrandir Stuff+97
18
Changeup Stuff+101
38
Sinker Stuff+105
75
Slider Stuff+101
45
Rolling form chart

xwOBA allowed snapshot line

Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs

12 snapshots
Mithrandir Metrics ROLLING XWOBA LINE Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Rolling xwOBA allowed Suarez, José · Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs LG AVG 0.313 0.307 2026-06-01: 0.3192026-06-02: 0.3192026-06-03: 0.3192026-06-04: 0.3192026-06-05: 0.3222026-06-06: 0.3222026-06-07: 0.3222026-06-08: 0.3212026-06-09: 0.3212026-06-10: 0.3082026-06-11: 0.3082026-06-12: 0.307 2026-06-01 2026-06-12 xwOBA allowed MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Optimization map

Arsenal optimization map

Pitch-shape context from this pitcher’s current arsenal snapshot. Hover a pitch to inspect usage, movement, and bat-missing context.

6Pitches 2026Season 38%Top usage
ride armside gloveside +Arsenal gap +Shape contrast
Zone profile

Aggregate zone heatmap

Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.

Mithrandir Metrics ZONE HEATMAP Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Pitch Zone Profile Suarez, José · Aggregate zone metrics; not pitch-by-pitch locations Edge: 36%36%Zone: 45%45%Whiff: 27%27%Called strike: 14%14%First pitch strike: 46%46%Hard hit allowed: 34%34% Dashed border = aggregate mixed-batter zone proxy MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Pitch arsenal

Usage mix, movement map, and Stuff+ composition

2026 pitch-level arsenal aggregates; current season takes over after 100 tracked pitches across at least 2 pitch types. Descriptive pitch-type Stuff+ composition. Not a promoted predictive metric.

Watch the pitches in 3D →

2026
Mithrandir Metrics PITCH ARSENAL DONUT Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Pitch Arsenal Suarez, José · 2026 arsenal snapshot 4-Seam Fastball: 38.3%Changeup: 26.9%Slider: 24.1%Sinker: 9.7%Cutter: 0.9%Sweeper: 0.1% FF38% · 93 mphprimary pitch FF 38%CH 27%SL 24%SI 10%FC 1%ST 0% MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Mithrandir Metrics PITCH MOVEMENT Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Pitch Arsenal Suarez, José · 2026 arsenal snapshot 15″30″45″60″ 4-Seam Fastball: 38% usage, 4″ horizontal break, 15″ drop, 92.9 mphFF93 mphChangeup: 27% usage, 6″ horizontal break, 36″ drop, 83.2 mphCH83 mphSlider: 24% usage, 0″ horizontal break, 43″ drop, 81.6 mphSL82 mphSinker: 10% usage, 9″ horizontal break, 21″ drop, 91.7 mphSI92 mphCutter: 1% usage, 0″ horizontal break, 24″ drop, 87.6 mphFC88 mphSweeper: 0% usage, 14″ horizontal break, 52″ drop, 77.1 mphST77 mph less drop ↑ more drop ↓ · horizontal break ↔ · dot size = usage · break incl. gravity MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
PitchUsagePitchesStuff+Status
FB 40.6% 206 94 qualified
CH 27.0% 137 101 limited sample
SL 22.0% 112 101 limited sample
SI 9.1% 46 105 limited sample
FC 1.4% 7 92 limited sample
Method note

Renamed from the attempted Kirby Index after audit; true Kirby requires release-angle trajectory data.

Reference layer

Current snapshot

Age28
Height5' 10"
Weight225 lb
Debut2019-06-02
Live layer

Delta / regression

ERA Δ+0.54
K% Δ+0.044

positive regression

Regression watch

Unlucky so far. Better days ahead.

3.8σ gap
wOBA-against (actual)0.434
xwOBA-against (deserved)0.307

Suarez’s wOBA-against sits at 0.434, but the quality of contact underneath says it should be 0.307 — a gap of 0.127, 3.8 standard deviations from the MLB norm over 41 IP. The results have been worse than the process deserves; as the sample grows, expect the numbers to climb back toward the underlying level.

Mithrandir coverage

Module shelf

ModuleCardsLatestSignal
Pitching32026-03-314-Seam Fastball played up through FF/SL tunnel quality
Projection links / recent games

Available detail

Pitcher Projections 202621.0% K | 4.68 ERAProjection
2026-04-17 @ PHI0 ER / 1 K3.0 IP
2026-04-13 vs MIA1 ER / 1 K2.0 IP
2026-04-08 @ LAA0 ER / 3 K2.0 IP
2026-03-31 vs ATH4 ER / 6 K3.2 IP