Reference layer
Current snapshot
| Age | 28 |
| Height | 6' 3" |
| Weight | 222 lb |
| Debut | 2020-08-21 |
Player profile / Toronto Blue Jays
Jesús Sánchez
RF · Bats/Throws L/R · 6' 3", 222 lb · Age 28
Club Toronto Blue Jays
Position RF
Roster Current MLB team
Status Healthy / active roster
Traditional line
Season by season
| PA | R | H | HR | SB | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 537 | 60 | 123 | 18 | 16 | .252 | .313 | .417 | .730 |
| 2025 | 497 | 61 | 107 | 14 | 13 | .237 | .304 | .395 | .699 |
| 2026 | 290 | 24 | 68 | 8 | 1 | .262 | .321 | .423 | .744 |
| 7 Seasons | 2349 | 254 | 514 | 81 | 34 | .242 | .308 | .420 | .728 |
At a glance
Season percentile report
The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.
82
Offense
percentile
percentile
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.324 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.330 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.327 |
| Observed weight | 58% |
xwOBA
0.302
0.314
0.327
0.341
0.353
wOBA
0.323
0.339
0.358
0.376
0.393
ISO
0.136
0.150
0.166
0.182
0.196
K%
20.6%
22.0%
23.5%
24.9%
26.3%
Live percentile strip
Current traits vs projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%7.5%
83
Exit velocity90.8
86
Hard-hit%46.9%
86
xBA0.353
83
xSLG0.587
76
xwOBA0.330
77
BB%6.2%
25
-23 vs proj
Bat speed71.3
74
K%23.2%
48
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Runs-1.4 · RF
19
Arm Strength97.4 · RF
81
Outs Above Avg-2.0 · RF
12
Range Runs-6.7 · RF
4
Baserunning · percentile strip
Sprint Speed26.4 · LF
24
SB Success Rate50.0% · LF
Small sample
Mithrandir+
Plate skills: swing decisions and pitch-type resistance
Our research metrics for how this hitter controls the strike zone and handles each pitch family.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 59.5% · rebadged research
20
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 23.6% · rebadged research
65
Correct Decisions64.3% · rebadged research
30
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline97
30
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.281 · borderline
70
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.294 · insufficient sample
15
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.287 · validated thin sample
28
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.350 · insufficient sample
13
Resists FastballwOBA 0.343 · validated
41
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.362 · validated
35
Rolling form chart
xwOBA snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
167 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Bat tracking
Swing path, attack angle, bat speed
Aggregate Savant bat-tracking metrics; not per-swing motion capture. The full swing, with the recommended path overlaid, lives in the 3D Swing Simulator.
Live layer
Delta / regression
| xwOBA Δ | +0.008 |
| wOBA Δ | +0.035 |
negative regression
Regression watch
Running hot. Expect some cooling.
Sánchez’s wOBA sits at 0.358, but the quality of contact underneath says it should be 0.330 — a gap of 0.028, -0.9 standard deviations from the MLB norm over 306 PA. The results have outrun the underlying process; as the sample grows, expect the numbers to drift back toward the deserved level.
Comp Engine · 2026 profile shape
Closest profiles
| Player | Similarity | Agrees on | Open |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ballesteros, Moisés CHC · L | 0.77 | Sweet-spot ratePull rate | Player · Projection |
| Ramos, Heliot SF · R | 0.77 | Swing lengthWalk rate | Player · Projection |
| Tawa, Tim AZ · R | 0.70 | Ground-ball rateStrikeout rate | Player · Projection |
| Walker, Christian HOU · R | 0.70 | Fly-ball rateMax exit velocity | Player · Projection |
Profile-shape similarity, not results: six weighted feature groups standardized within this season's qualified hitters.
Mithrandir coverage
Module shelf
| Module | Cards | Latest | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hitting | 2 | 2026-04-26 | Disciplined swing decisions drove the score |
Projection links / recent games
Available detail
| Hitter Projections 20260.322 xwOBA | 15 HR | Projection |
| 2026-08-15 vs NYY0 HR | 0 RBI / 2 Ch | 0 E | 0-1 | 2 BB, K |
| 2026-05-20 @ NYY0 HR | 0 RBI / 1 Ch | 0 E | 2-2 | BB |
| 2026-04-20 @ LAA0 HR | 0 RBI / 0 Ch | 0 E | 0-1 |
| 2026-04-17 @ AZ0 HR | 0 RBI / 2 Ch | 0 E | 1-4 | K |
| 2026-04-15 @ MIL0 HR | 1 RBI / 0 Ch | 0 E | 0-2 | RBI |