Mithrandir Metrics
Player Kansas City Royals Refreshed Jul 17 06:00 AM ET
Player profile / Kansas City Royals

Kyle Isbel

CF · Bats/Throws L/R · 5' 10", 190 lb · Age 29

Cards
0
Modules
0
Live Δ
yes
Club Kansas City Royals Position CF Roster profile Status IL-10
Traditional line

Season by season

PARHHRSBAVGOBPSLGOPS
20244266288811.229.287.367.654
2025409429444.255.301.353.654
2026183164035.244.298.354.652
6 Seasons16922133672638.238.289.364.653
At a glance

Season percentile report

The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.

2026-07-17
25
Offense
percentile
Offense9 metrics
27
Defense4 metrics
49
Speed2 metrics
67
Plate skills10 metrics
43
Rolling projection

Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update

Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.

2026-07-17
xwOBA preseason0.289
xwOBA current pace0.275
xwOBA rolling p500.283
Observed weight47%
xwOBA
0.259 0.270 0.283 0.295 0.307
wOBA
0.306 0.327 0.349 0.372 0.393
ISO
0.110 0.126 0.143 0.159 0.175
K%
17.4% 18.7% 20.3% 21.8% 23.2%
Live percentile strip

Current traits vs projection tick

100th = best in MLB.

2026-07-17
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%2.0%
13
Exit velocity84.1
11
Hard-hit%36.7%
39
xBA0.316
43
xSLG0.431
23
xwOBA0.275
20
BB%6.1%
21
Bat speed66.5
15
K%21.3%
57
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Runs-1.8 · CF
9
Arm Strength87.5 · CF
11
Outs Above Avg4.0 · CF
95
Range Runs3.2 · CF
83
Baserunning · percentile strip
Base Running Runs1.7 · CF
84
Sprint Speed27.4 · CF
51
SB Success Rate100.0% · CF
Small sample
Mithrandir+

Plate skills: swing decisions and pitch-type resistance

Our research metrics for how this hitter controls the strike zone and handles each pitch family.

2026-07-17
Avoids Bad ChasesST 63.9% · rebadged research
41
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 28.8% · rebadged research
18
Correct Decisions63.5% · rebadged research
24
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.288 · borderline
46
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.290 · insufficient sample
19
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.257 · validated thin sample
94
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.330 · insufficient sample
56
Resists FastballwOBA 0.367 · validated
11
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.329 · validated
95
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline96
26
Rolling form chart

xwOBA snapshot line

Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs

12 snapshots
Mithrandir Metrics ROLLING XWOBA LINE Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Rolling xwOBA Isbel, Kyle · Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs LG AVG 0.308 0.275 2026-07-06: 0.2752026-07-07: 0.2752026-07-08: 0.2752026-07-09: 0.2752026-07-10: 0.2752026-07-11: 0.2752026-07-12: 0.2752026-07-13: 0.2752026-07-14: 0.2752026-07-15: 0.2752026-07-16: 0.2752026-07-17: 0.275 2026-07-06 2026-07-17 xwOBA MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Spray profile

Field-coordinate spray profile

128 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.

Mithrandir Metrics SPRAY CHART Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Spray Chart Isbel, Kyle · Statcast batted-ball landing coordinates Left field third: 12% of plotted batted ballsPull 12%Center field third: 77% of plotted batted ballsCenter 77%Right field third: 12% of plotted batted ballsOppo 12% LF 330 CF 410 RF 330 2026-03-15 · single · FC · ground_ball · EV 52.2 / LA -74.02026-03-15 · double · CH · line_drive · EV 103.8 / LA 14.02026-03-18 · single · FC · ground_ball · EV 95.5 / LA 1.02026-03-18 · triple · FF · ground_ball · EV 107.4 / LA -3.02026-03-18 · force out · FC · ground_ball · EV 106.9 / LA -41.02026-03-20 · single · CU · line_drive · EV 109.5 / LA 13.02026-03-20 · field error · SI · ground_ball · EV 96.1 / LA -18.02026-03-21 · single · FF · ground_ball · EV 92.3 / LA 1.02026-03-21 · field out · FS · fly_ball · EV 95.5 / LA 27.02026-03-23 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 89.6 / LA 60.02026-03-28 · field out · ST · ground_ball · EV 88.9 / LA -11.02026-03-28 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 88.5 / LA 40.02026-03-28 · single · CH · line_drive · EV 103.9 / LA 6.02026-03-29 · single · FS · line_drive · EV 86.6 / LA 17.02026-03-29 · field out · FF · popup · EV 61.7 / LA 44.02026-03-30 · single · FC · line_drive · EV 103.6 / LA 12.02026-03-30 · home run · SL · fly_ball · EV 100.9 / LA 33.02026-03-30 · field out · FS · ground_ball · EV 76.3 / LA -12.02026-04-01 · single · KC · ground_ball · EV 92.2 / LA -2.02026-04-01 · single · FF · ground_ball · EV 12.4 / LA 44.02026-04-01 · single · FF · ground_ball · EV 103.5 / LA 5.02026-04-01 · home run · FF · fly_ball · EV 98.6 / LA 26.02026-04-02 · single · FF · line_drive · EV 102.4 / LA 13.02026-04-02 · field out · FF · popup · EV 80.8 / LA 75.02026-04-02 · field out · FC · fly_ball · EV 90.9 / LA 32.02026-04-04 · double · FF · fly_ball · EV 83.0 / LA 58.02026-04-04 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 86.7 / LA 40.02026-04-04 · sac bunt · FC · ground_ball · EV 33.1 / LA -48.02026-04-04 · single · SI · ground_ball · EV 107.4 / LA 5.02026-04-06 · single · FF · line_drive · EV 96.3 / LA 16.02026-04-06 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 82.2 / LA -43.02026-04-06 · field out · CU · ground_ball · EV 95.8 / LA -20.02026-04-06 · field out · FF · line_drive · EV 89.8 / LA 7.02026-04-07 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 87.8 / LA 31.02026-04-09 · field out · SI · fly_ball · EV 98.9 / LA 24.02026-04-10 · field out · FF · popup · EV 73.1 / LA 82.02026-04-10 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 105.6 / LA -4.02026-04-11 · field out · FC · ground_ball · EV 103.3 / LA -5.02026-04-11 · field out · SI · line_drive · EV 54.4 / LA 33.02026-04-12 · sac bunt · FF · ground_ball · EV 32.5 / LA -8.02026-04-15 · single · SL · line_drive · EV 96.9 / LA 17.02026-04-15 · fielders choice out · KC · ground_ball · EV 93.6 / LA -14.02026-04-16 · sac bunt · FF · ground_ball · EV 31.4 / LA -29.02026-04-16 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 48.3 / LA -42.02026-04-16 · field out · CH · line_drive · EV 83.5 / LA 21.02026-04-16 · field out · SI · line_drive · EV 91.8 / LA 19.02026-04-17 · field out · FC · fly_ball · EV 88.8 / LA 31.02026-04-17 · field out · FC · popup · EV 67.0 / LA 56.02026-04-18 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 75.1 / LA -13.02026-04-18 · field out · CU · ground_ball · EV 72.0 / LA -72.02026-04-20 · field out · FS · ground_ball · EV 75.4 / LA -17.02026-04-20 · sac bunt · CH · ground_ball · EV 32.0 / LA -49.02026-04-21 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 64.8 / LA 2.02026-04-21 · double · KC · line_drive · EV 103.4 / LA 16.02026-04-21 · single · KC · line_drive · EV 81.8 / LA 19.02026-04-21 · double · KC · ground_ball · EV 95.9 / LA -21.02026-04-22 · field out · FC · popup · EV 81.6 / LA 69.02026-04-22 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 73.5 / LA -15.02026-04-22 · home run · FF · fly_ball · EV 107.5 / LA 24.02026-04-25 · fielders choice out · CH · ground_ball · EV 35.9 / LA -67.02026-04-25 · single · FS · line_drive · EV 100.2 / LA 9.02026-04-25 · single · FF · line_drive · EV 86.3 / LA 16.02026-04-28 · single · FF · ground_ball · EV 22.5 / LA 70.02026-04-28 · field out · CU · line_drive · EV 100.4 / LA 17.02026-04-29 · field out · SL · fly_ball · EV 90.2 / LA 29.02026-04-29 · single · FC · ground_ball · EV 93.2 / LA -22.02026-04-29 · force out · CH · ground_ball · EV 87.7 / LA -13.02026-05-01 · force out · SI · ground_ball · EV 52.2 / LA -33.02026-05-01 · field out · SI · fly_ball · EV 98.6 / LA 30.02026-05-01 · field out · CH · line_drive · EV 87.4 / LA 16.02026-05-02 · double · FC · ground_ball · EV 95.0 / LA -9.02026-05-02 · field out · CU · popup · EV 67.5 / LA 54.02026-05-03 · single · FF · fly_ball · EV 69.6 / LA 26.02026-05-03 · field out · FF · popup · EV 91.8 / LA 70.02026-05-03 · single · SL · line_drive · EV 105.4 / LA 7.02026-05-05 · field out · CU · ground_ball · EV 78.7 / LA -53.02026-05-05 · field out · FF · line_drive · EV 90.0 / LA 21.02026-05-07 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 66.8 / LA -6.02026-05-08 · field out · SI · line_drive · EV 97.0 / LA 21.02026-05-08 · field out · SI · popup · EV 90.9 / LA 62.02026-05-08 · single · FS · ground_ball · EV 107.7 / LA -7.02026-05-08 · single · SI · ground_ball · EV 67.3 / LA 9.02026-05-09 · field out · ST · ground_ball · EV 83.2 / LA -5.02026-05-09 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 75.6 / LA 0.02026-05-09 · field out · SL · line_drive · EV 83.4 / LA 4.02026-05-10 · field out · ST · line_drive · EV 75.1 / LA 8.02026-05-12 · single · SI · fly_ball · EV 71.0 / LA 30.02026-05-12 · field out · SI · line_drive · EV 95.9 / LA 21.02026-05-12 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 83.5 / LA 44.02026-05-12 · field out · FS · ground_ball · EV 89.3 / LA 4.02026-05-14 · triple · ST · line_drive · EV 92.2 / LA 17.02026-05-14 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 98.0 / LA -25.02026-05-15 · single · SI · line_drive · EV 87.6 / LA 17.02026-05-15 · field out · FC · popup · EV 90.5 / LA 72.02026-05-15 · force out · CH · ground_ball · EV 89.7 / LA -22.02026-05-15 · field out · FF · line_drive · EV 102.3 / LA 18.02026-05-16 · double · CH · line_drive · EV 97.1 / LA 21.02026-05-16 · grounded into double play · CH · ground_ball · EV 93.8 / LA -3.02026-05-17 · double · FF · ground_ball · EV 77.9 / LA 1.02026-05-17 · field out · FF · popup · EV 56.3 / LA 57.02026-05-17 · single · FF · ground_ball · EV 107.8 / LA 0.02026-05-18 · single · FC · ground_ball · EV 88.6 / LA 2.02026-05-20 · field out · SI · line_drive · EV 100.1 / LA 19.02026-05-20 · field out · ST · fly_ball · EV 95.7 / LA 29.02026-05-20 · force out · SI · ground_ball · EV 36.0 / LA -43.02026-05-22 · field out · FC · popup · EV 77.2 / LA 85.02026-05-23 · field out · ST · ground_ball · EV 101.1 / LA -12.02026-05-23 · field out · FC · ground_ball · EV 104.5 / LA 2.02026-05-23 · grounded into double play · ST · ground_ball · EV 95.8 / LA -20.02026-05-24 · single · FF · ground_ball · EV 30.4 / LA -39.02026-05-24 · sac fly · CH · line_drive · EV 80.6 / LA 29.02026-05-25 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 84.7 / LA 41.02026-05-25 · field out · ST · fly_ball · EV 93.4 / LA 53.02026-05-26 · field out · FC · ground_ball · EV 102.8 / LA -15.02026-05-26 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 62.5 / LA -59.02026-05-31 · double · FF · line_drive · EV 101.3 / LA 7.02026-05-31 · field error · CU · ground_ball · EV 106.1 / LA -1.02026-06-01 · field out · FC · ground_ball · EV 104.6 / LA 1.02026-06-01 · field out · FF · popup · EV 75.2 / LA 82.02026-06-01 · grounded into double play · SL · ground_ball · EV 98.5 / LA 0.02026-06-01 · field out · ST · line_drive · EV 79.1 / LA 26.02026-06-04 · single · CH · ground_ball · EV 100.0 / LA -1.02026-06-04 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 102.9 / LA -11.02026-06-04 · single · FF · ground_ball · EV 43.3 / LA -76.02026-06-05 · field out · FC · ground_ball · EV 77.1 / LA -53.02026-06-05 · field out · CH · popup · EV 75.6 / LA 58.02026-06-05 · single · FC · ground_ball · EV 104.2 / LA 5.02026-06-05 · grounded into double play · CH · ground_ball · EV 98.5 / LA -12.0 1B2B3BHROut Zone shading = batted-ball density by field third · hover dots for date, pitch, EV, and LA. MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Zone profile

Aggregate zone heatmap

Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.

Mithrandir Metrics ZONE HEATMAP Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Swing Zone Profile Isbel, Kyle · Aggregate zone metrics; not pitch-by-pitch locations Zone: 47%47%Chase: 33%33%Whiff: 14%14%Zone contact: 96%96%Contact: 86%86%Hard hit: 37%37% Dashed border = aggregate mixed-batter zone proxy MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Reference layer

Current snapshot

Age29
Height5' 10"
Weight190 lb
Debut2021-04-01
Live layer

Delta / regression

xwOBA Δ-0.010
wOBA Δ+0.064

negative regression

Regression watch

Running hot. Expect some cooling.

-2.3σ gap
wOBA (actual)0.349
xwOBA (deserved)0.275

Isbel’s wOBA sits at 0.349, but the quality of contact underneath says it should be 0.275 — a gap of 0.074, -2.3 standard deviations from the MLB norm over 197 PA. The results have outrun the underlying process; as the sample grows, expect the numbers to drift back toward the deserved level.

Mithrandir coverage

Module shelf

ModuleCardsLatestSignal
No Mithrandir card history is available for this player yet.
Projection links / recent games

Available detail

Hitter Projections 20260.285 xwOBA | 8 HRProjection