Reference layer
Current snapshot
| Age | 27 |
| Height | 5' 9" |
| Weight | 170 lb |
| Debut | 2020-09-14 |
Player profile / Philadelphia Phillies
Rafael Marchán
C · Bats/Throws S/R · 5' 9", 170 lb · Age 27
Club Philadelphia Phillies
Position C
Roster Active
Status Healthy / active roster
Traditional line
Season by season
| PA | R | H | HR | SB | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 56 | 8 | 15 | 3 | 0 | .294 | .345 | .549 | .894 |
| 2025 | 118 | 9 | 22 | 2 | 0 | .210 | .282 | .305 | .587 |
| 2026 | 89 | 5 | 9 | 2 | 0 | .106 | .146 | .176 | .322 |
| 5 Seasons | 328 | 32 | 62 | 9 | 0 | .206 | .264 | .332 | .596 |
At a glance
Season percentile report
The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.
4
Offense
percentile
percentile
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.308 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.212 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.277 |
| Observed weight | 32% |
xwOBA
0.246
0.261
0.277
0.294
0.309
wOBA
0.153
0.177
0.203
0.230
0.254
ISO
0.092
0.118
0.147
0.175
0.201
K%
11.9%
14.0%
16.4%
18.7%
20.8%
Live percentile strip
Current traits vs projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%1.9%
12
-22 vs proj
Exit velocity83.1
8
Hard-hit%20.5%
3
-20 vs proj
xBA0.221
1
xSLG0.304
1
xwOBA0.212
2
-55 vs proj
BB%3.9%
8
-31 vs proj
Bat speed64.6
6
K%18.4%
72
Defense · percentile strip
Blocking Runs1.0 · C
92
Catcher Throwing1.2 · C
78
Framing Runs3.7 · C
89
Pop Time1.9 · C
83
Baserunning · percentile strip
Sprint Speed26.0 · C
18
Mithrandir+
Plate skills: swing decisions and pitch-type resistance
Our research metrics for how this hitter controls the strike zone and handles each pitch family.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 63.7% · rebadged research
40
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 32.0% · rebadged research
9
Correct Decisions63.5% · rebadged research
25
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.267 · borderline
87
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.281 · insufficient sample
41
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.268 · validated thin sample
84
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.309 · insufficient sample
95
Resists FastballwOBA 0.308 · validated
93
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.354 · validated
65
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline93
15
Rolling form chart
xwOBA snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
65 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Live layer
Delta / regression
| xwOBA Δ | -0.102 |
| wOBA Δ | -0.111 |
positive regression
Regression watch
Unlucky so far. Better days ahead.
Marchán’s wOBA sits at 0.203, but the quality of contact underneath says it should be 0.212 — a gap of 0.009, 0.2 standard deviations from the MLB norm over 103 PA. The results have been worse than the process deserves; as the sample grows, expect the numbers to climb back toward the underlying level.
Mithrandir coverage
Module shelf
| Module | Cards | Latest | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| No Mithrandir card history is available for this player yet. | |||
Projection links / recent games
Available detail
| Hitter Projections 20260.314 xwOBA | 8 HR | Projection |
| 2026-04-20 @ CHC0 HR | 0 RBI / 11 Ch | 0 E | 1-4 | K |
| 2026-04-15 vs CHC0 HR | 0 RBI / 1 Ch | 0 E | 0-2 |
| 2026-04-12 vs AZ0 HR | 0 RBI / 12 Ch | 0 E | 0-4 |
| 2026-04-08 @ SF0 HR | 0 RBI / 6 Ch | 0 E | 0-4 | K |
| 2026-04-07 @ SF0 HR | 0 RBI / 10 Ch | 1 E | 0-4 | K |