Mithrandir Metrics
Player Pittsburgh Pirates Refreshed Sep 1 06:00 AM ET
Player profile / Pittsburgh Pirates

Camilo Doval

P · Bats/Throws R/R · 6' 2", 205 lb · Age 29

Cards
0
Modules
0
Live Δ
yes
Club Pittsburgh Pirates Position P Roster Current MLB team Status Healthy / active roster
Traditional line

Season by season

3D Pitch Lab Projections
WLERAGGSSVIPSOWHIP
2024534.886202359.0781.58
2025433.586901665.1721.32
2026314.13570152.1541.43
6 Seasons29203.503540109339.04081.31
At a glance

Season percentile report

The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.

2026-09-01
44
Pitching
percentile
Pitching9 metrics
49
Arsenal4 metrics
56
Rolling projection

Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update

Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.

Pending

Rolling player projection appears after current-season Statcast and projection joins refresh.

Live percentile strip

Current traits vs projection tick

100th = best in MLB.

2026-09-01
Pitching · percentile strip
WHIP1.47
24
ERA3.91
54
BB%12.5%
16
K%22.9%
57
xwOBA allowed0.296
69
Barrel allowed6.1%
71
Fastball velo98.2
95
Hard-hit allowed48.6%
3
Whiff%23.7%
56
Mithrandir+

Stuff+ and arsenal context

How nasty this pitcher's stuff grades in our pitch-level model. Missing coverage is shown explicitly.

2026-09-01
Mithrandir Stuff+104
67
Sinker Stuff+100
36
Cutter Stuff+104
72
Slider Stuff+102
49
Rolling form chart

xwOBA allowed snapshot line

Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs

12 snapshots
Mithrandir Metrics ROLLING XWOBA LINE Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Rolling xwOBA allowed Doval, Camilo · Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs LG AVG 0.313 0.296 2026-08-21: 0.2962026-08-22: 0.2962026-08-23: 0.2962026-08-24: 0.2962026-08-25: 0.2942026-08-26: 0.2942026-08-27: 0.2922026-08-28: 0.2922026-08-29: 0.2922026-08-30: 0.2922026-08-31: 0.2962026-09-01: 0.296 2026-08-21 2026-09-01 xwOBA allowed MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Optimization map

Arsenal optimization map

Pitch-shape context from this pitcher’s current arsenal snapshot. Hover a pitch to inspect usage, movement, and bat-missing context.

4Pitches 2026Season 41%Top usage
ride armside gloveside +Arsenal gap +Shape contrast
Zone profile

Aggregate zone heatmap

Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.

Mithrandir Metrics ZONE HEATMAP Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Pitch Zone Profile Doval, Camilo · Aggregate zone metrics; not pitch-by-pitch locations Edge: 41%41%Zone: 45%45%Whiff: 24%24%Called strike: 15%15%First pitch strike: 48%48%Hard hit allowed: 49%49% Dashed border = aggregate mixed-batter zone proxy MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Pitch arsenal

Usage mix, movement map, and Stuff+ composition

2026 pitch-level arsenal aggregates; current season takes over after 100 tracked pitches across at least 2 pitch types. Descriptive pitch-type Stuff+ composition. Not a promoted predictive metric.

Watch the pitches in 3D →

2026
Mithrandir Metrics PITCH ARSENAL DONUT Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Pitch Arsenal Doval, Camilo · 2026 arsenal snapshot Sinker: 41.1%Slider: 29.3%Cutter: 27.0%Changeup: 2.7% SI41% · 98 mphprimary pitch SI 41%SL 29%FC 27%CH 3% MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Mithrandir Metrics PITCH MOVEMENT Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Pitch Arsenal Doval, Camilo · 2026 arsenal snapshot 12″24″36″48″ Sinker: 41% usage, 1″ horizontal break, 25″ drop, 98.2 mphSI98 mphSlider: 29% usage, 2″ horizontal break, 38″ drop, 88.9 mphSL89 mphCutter: 27% usage, 0″ horizontal break, 17″ drop, 98.8 mphFC99 mphChangeup: 3% usage, 12″ horizontal break, 28″ drop, 94.5 mphCH95 mph less drop ↑ more drop ↓ · horizontal break ↔ · dot size = usage · break incl. gravity MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
PitchUsagePitchesStuff+Status
SI 43.2% 227 100 qualified
FC 29.7% 156 104 limited sample
SL 25.3% 133 102 limited sample
CH 1.7% 9 100 limited sample
Method note

Renamed from the attempted Kirby Index after audit; true Kirby requires release-angle trajectory data.

Reference layer

Current snapshot

Age29
Height6' 2"
Weight205 lb
Debut2021-04-18
Live layer

Delta / regression

ERA Δ--
K% Δ--

positive regression

Regression watch

Unlucky so far. Better days ahead.

1.6σ gap
wOBA-against (actual)0.346
xwOBA-against (deserved)0.296

Doval’s wOBA-against sits at 0.346, but the quality of contact underneath says it should be 0.296 — a gap of 0.049, 1.6 standard deviations from the MLB norm over 52 IP. The results have been worse than the process deserves; as the sample grows, expect the numbers to climb back toward the underlying level.

Mithrandir coverage

Module shelf

ModuleCardsLatestSignal
No Mithrandir card history is available for this player yet.
Projection links / recent games

Available detail

2026-04-17 vs KC1 ER / 1 K1.0 IP
2026-04-13 vs LAA2 ER / 1 K1.1 IP
2026-04-12 @ TB0 ER / 0 K1.0 IP
2026-04-08 vs ATH0 ER / 1 K1.0 IP
2026-04-04 vs MIA2 ER / 1 K0.1 IP