Mithrandir Metrics
Player New York Yankees Refreshed Jul 18 06:00 AM ET
Player profile / New York Yankees

Camilo Doval

P · Bats/Throws R/R · 6' 2", 205 lb · Age 29

Cards
0
Modules
0
Live Δ
yes
Club New York Yankees Position P Roster Active Status Healthy / active roster
Traditional line

Season by season

3D Pitch Lab Projections
WLERAGGSSVIPSOWHIP
2024534.886202359.0781.58
2025433.586901665.1721.32
2026315.09400135.1351.39
6 Seasons29203.583370109322.03891.30
At a glance

Season percentile report

The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.

2026-07-18
51
Pitching
percentile
Pitching9 metrics
54
Arsenal4 metrics
55
Rolling projection

Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update

Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.

2026-07-18
ERA preseason3.61
ERA current pace5.09
ERA rolling p504.21
Observed weight40%
ERA
2.52 3.32 4.21 5.10 5.90
FIP
2.53 3.16 3.85 4.54 5.17
K%
19.8% 22.1% 24.6% 27.2% 29.5%
BB%
7.1% 8.4% 10.0% 11.5% 12.8%
Live percentile strip

Current traits vs projection tick

100th = best in MLB.

2026-07-18
Pitching · percentile strip
WHIP1.39
37
ERA5.09
23
BB%8.0%
61 +39 vs proj
K%22.2%
48 -23 vs proj
xwOBA allowed0.276
86 +25 vs proj
Barrel allowed5.5%
81 +21 vs proj
Fastball velo98.6
97
Hard-hit allowed50.0%
2
Whiff%23.3%
53 -32 vs proj
Mithrandir+

Stuff+ and arsenal context

How nasty this pitcher's stuff grades in our pitch-level model. Missing coverage is shown explicitly.

2026-07-18
Cutter Stuff+101
43
Mithrandir Stuff+104
69
Sinker Stuff+103
53
Slider Stuff+103
56
Rolling form chart

xwOBA allowed snapshot line

Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs

12 snapshots
Mithrandir Metrics ROLLING XWOBA LINE Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Rolling xwOBA allowed Doval, Camilo · Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs LG AVG 0.314 0.276 2026-07-07: 0.2712026-07-08: 0.2712026-07-09: 0.2712026-07-10: 0.2712026-07-11: 0.2762026-07-12: 0.2762026-07-13: 0.2762026-07-14: 0.2762026-07-15: 0.2762026-07-16: 0.2762026-07-17: 0.2762026-07-18: 0.276 2026-07-07 2026-07-18 xwOBA allowed MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Optimization map

Arsenal optimization map

Pitch-shape context from this pitcher’s current arsenal snapshot. Hover a pitch to inspect usage, movement, and bat-missing context.

4Pitches 2026Season 44%Top usage
ride armside gloveside +Arsenal gap +Shape contrast
Zone profile

Aggregate zone heatmap

Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.

Mithrandir Metrics ZONE HEATMAP Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Pitch Zone Profile Doval, Camilo · Aggregate zone metrics; not pitch-by-pitch locations Edge: 43%43%Zone: 47%47%Whiff: 23%23%Called strike: 13%13%First pitch strike: 48%48%Hard hit allowed: 50%50% Dashed border = aggregate mixed-batter zone proxy MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Pitch arsenal

Usage mix, movement map, and Stuff+ composition

2026 pitch-level arsenal aggregates; current season takes over after 100 tracked pitches across at least 2 pitch types. Descriptive pitch-type Stuff+ composition. Not a promoted predictive metric.

Watch the pitches in 3D →

2026
Mithrandir Metrics PITCH ARSENAL DONUT Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Pitch Arsenal Doval, Camilo · 2026 arsenal snapshot Sinker: 43.7%Cutter: 29.0%Slider: 23.9%Changeup: 3.5% SI44% · 99 mphprimary pitch SI 44%FC 29%SL 24%CH 3% MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Mithrandir Metrics PITCH MOVEMENT Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Pitch Arsenal Doval, Camilo · 2026 arsenal snapshot 12″24″36″48″ Sinker: 44% usage, 1″ horizontal break, 25″ drop, 98.6 mphSI99 mphCutter: 29% usage, 0″ horizontal break, 17″ drop, 98.7 mphFC99 mphSlider: 24% usage, 3″ horizontal break, 38″ drop, 88.8 mphSL89 mphChangeup: 3% usage, 12″ horizontal break, 29″ drop, 94.5 mphCH94 mph less drop ↑ more drop ↓ · horizontal break ↔ · dot size = usage · break incl. gravity MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
PitchUsagePitchesStuff+Status
SI 43.2% 166 103 limited sample
FC 33.6% 129 101 limited sample
SL 21.6% 83 103 limited sample
CH 1.6% 6 109 limited sample
Method note

Renamed from the attempted Kirby Index after audit; true Kirby requires release-angle trajectory data.

Reference layer

Current snapshot

Age29
Height6' 2"
Weight205 lb
Debut2021-04-18
Live layer

Delta / regression

ERA Δ+1.48
K% Δ-0.032

positive regression

Regression watch

Unlucky so far. Better days ahead.

2.5σ gap
wOBA-against (actual)0.362
xwOBA-against (deserved)0.276

Doval’s wOBA-against sits at 0.362, but the quality of contact underneath says it should be 0.276 — a gap of 0.087, 2.5 standard deviations from the MLB norm over 36 IP. The results have been worse than the process deserves; as the sample grows, expect the numbers to climb back toward the underlying level.

Mithrandir coverage

Module shelf

ModuleCardsLatestSignal
No Mithrandir card history is available for this player yet.
Projection links / recent games

Available detail

Pitcher Projections 202625.4% K | 3.61 ERAProjection
2026-04-17 vs KC1 ER / 1 K1.0 IP
2026-04-13 vs LAA2 ER / 1 K1.1 IP
2026-04-12 @ TB0 ER / 0 K1.0 IP
2026-04-08 vs ATH0 ER / 1 K1.0 IP
2026-04-04 vs MIA2 ER / 1 K0.1 IP