Mithrandir Metrics
Player Arizona Diamondbacks Refreshed Jul 19 06:00 AM ET
Player profile / Arizona Diamondbacks

Lourdes Gurriel Jr.

LF · Bats/Throws R/R · 6' 3", 215 lb · Age 32

Cards
0
Modules
0
Live Δ
yes
Club Arizona Diamondbacks Position LF Roster Injured 10-Day Status IL-10
Traditional line

Season by season

PARHHRSBAVGOBPSLGOPS
202455372143187.279.322.435.757
2025546521241910.248.295.418.713
2026189123621.207.254.287.541
9 Seasons374442593813137.271.316.446.762
At a glance

Season percentile report

The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.

2026-07-19
25
Offense
percentile
Offense9 metrics
31
Defense4 metrics
41
Speed1 metrics
18
Plate skills10 metrics
52
Rolling projection

Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update

Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.

2026-07-19
xwOBA preseason0.315
xwOBA current pace0.277
xwOBA rolling p500.298
Observed weight46%
xwOBA
0.271 0.284 0.298 0.312 0.324
wOBA
0.211 0.231 0.252 0.273 0.292
ISO
0.097 0.113 0.131 0.150 0.166
K%
15.1% 16.3% 17.7% 19.0% 20.3%
Live percentile strip

Current traits vs projection tick

100th = best in MLB.

2026-07-19
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%3.7%
29 -19 vs proj
Exit velocity87.3
40
Hard-hit%34.3%
28 -27 vs proj
xBA0.290
21
xSLG0.392
10
xwOBA0.277
21 -35 vs proj
BB%5.3%
16
Bat speed68.7
36
K%18.0%
74
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Runs1.1 · LF
83
Arm Strength93.6 · LF
56
Outs Above Avg-3.0 · LF
6
Range Runs-2.7 · LF
20
Baserunning · percentile strip
Sprint Speed26.0 · LF
18
Mithrandir+

Plate skills: swing decisions and pitch-type resistance

Our research metrics for how this hitter controls the strike zone and handles each pitch family.

2026-07-19
Avoids Bad ChasesST 58.0% · rebadged research
17
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 22.6% · rebadged research
73
Correct Decisions62.2% · rebadged research
17
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.254 · borderline
97
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.288 · insufficient sample
23
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.279 · validated thin sample
56
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.325 · insufficient sample
70
Resists FastballwOBA 0.339 · validated
50
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.332 · validated
94
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline96
28
Rolling form chart

xwOBA snapshot line

Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs

12 snapshots
Mithrandir Metrics ROLLING XWOBA LINE Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Rolling xwOBA Gurriel Jr.., Lourdes · Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs LG AVG 0.308 0.277 2026-07-08: 0.2762026-07-09: 0.2772026-07-10: 0.2772026-07-11: 0.2802026-07-12: 0.2782026-07-13: 0.2782026-07-14: 0.2782026-07-15: 0.2782026-07-16: 0.2782026-07-17: 0.2782026-07-18: 0.2782026-07-19: 0.277 2026-07-08 2026-07-19 xwOBA MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Spray profile

Field-coordinate spray profile

99 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.

Mithrandir Metrics SPRAY CHART Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Spray Chart Gurriel Jr.., Lourdes · Statcast batted-ball landing coordinates Left field third: 18% of plotted batted ballsPull 18%Center field third: 68% of plotted batted ballsCenter 68%Right field third: 14% of plotted batted ballsOppo 14% LF 330 CF 400 RF 330 2026-04-18 · field out · SI · popup · EV 92.4 / LA 66.02026-04-18 · field out · FF · popup · EV 75.6 / LA 57.02026-04-18 · field out · SL · line_drive · EV 86.6 / LA 25.02026-04-19 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 90.8 / LA -9.02026-04-19 · single · FF · ground_ball · EV 102.7 / LA -5.02026-04-19 · field out · SI · line_drive · EV 72.3 / LA 16.02026-04-19 · field out · FF · line_drive · EV 97.6 / LA 17.02026-04-21 · field out · SL · fly_ball · EV 87.6 / LA 41.02026-04-21 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 82.3 / LA -33.02026-04-21 · field out · SI · line_drive · EV 94.4 / LA 10.02026-04-22 · field out · CH · fly_ball · EV 90.4 / LA 27.02026-04-22 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 93.0 / LA -31.02026-04-22 · field out · FC · ground_ball · EV 49.7 / LA -52.02026-04-22 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 93.6 / LA 38.02026-04-22 · field out · SV · ground_ball · EV 86.5 / LA -21.02026-04-25 · force out · FF · ground_ball · EV 87.4 / LA -28.02026-04-25 · field out · KC · popup · EV 74.5 / LA 60.02026-04-25 · field out · SL · ground_ball · EV 98.5 / LA 1.02026-04-25 · field out · SL · ground_ball · EV 77.1 / LA -26.02026-04-26 · single · FF · fly_ball · EV 71.2 / LA 39.02026-04-26 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 98.7 / LA 1.02026-04-26 · double · CH · ground_ball · EV 96.7 / LA -9.02026-04-28 · field out · FC · fly_ball · EV 98.2 / LA 28.02026-04-28 · field out · SL · ground_ball · EV 85.9 / LA -12.02026-04-29 · field out · SI · popup · EV 46.3 / LA 73.02026-04-29 · single · FC · line_drive · EV 82.9 / LA 14.02026-04-29 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 105.3 / LA 5.02026-04-29 · single · SL · ground_ball · EV 72.2 / LA -38.02026-04-30 · single · FC · fly_ball · EV 63.9 / LA 33.02026-04-30 · single · FC · line_drive · EV 88.5 / LA 15.02026-05-02 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 94.5 / LA 45.02026-05-02 · double · FF · fly_ball · EV 99.5 / LA 24.02026-05-02 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 72.8 / LA -1.02026-05-03 · single · FF · line_drive · EV 95.9 / LA 13.02026-05-03 · single · FC · ground_ball · EV 102.0 / LA -1.02026-05-05 · single · FF · ground_ball · EV 81.6 / LA 6.02026-05-06 · field out · SI · line_drive · EV 105.7 / LA 17.02026-05-06 · single · FF · ground_ball · EV 50.8 / LA -69.02026-05-08 · field out · CH · fly_ball · EV 94.6 / LA 35.02026-05-08 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 101.0 / LA -2.02026-05-08 · field out · SI · line_drive · EV 105.8 / LA 15.02026-05-08 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 96.1 / LA -23.02026-05-09 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 93.7 / LA -26.02026-05-09 · force out · SI · ground_ball · EV 93.4 / LA -1.02026-05-11 · field out · SL · popup · EV 79.3 / LA 69.02026-05-11 · field out · SL · fly_ball · EV 97.9 / LA 26.02026-05-11 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 53.1 / LA -32.02026-05-12 · field out · FF · line_drive · EV 102.5 / LA 20.02026-05-12 · force out · FF · ground_ball · EV 88.6 / LA -6.02026-05-13 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 68.8 / LA -32.02026-05-13 · field out · SI · fly_ball · EV 84.7 / LA 39.02026-05-13 · field out · SL · line_drive · EV 94.9 / LA 20.02026-05-13 · field out · SI · fly_ball · EV 81.0 / LA 54.02026-05-13 · double · FF · line_drive · EV 101.3 / LA 16.02026-05-15 · field out · FC · fly_ball · EV 97.0 / LA 44.02026-05-15 · field out · ST · fly_ball · EV 87.4 / LA 52.02026-05-15 · sac fly · SI · line_drive · EV 101.5 / LA 23.02026-05-15 · single · FF · ground_ball · EV 85.6 / LA 4.02026-05-16 · double · SI · line_drive · EV 99.6 / LA 20.02026-05-16 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 53.7 / LA 6.02026-05-16 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 77.8 / LA 8.02026-05-16 · single · FF · line_drive · EV 97.7 / LA 8.02026-05-17 · field out · SI · popup · EV 89.4 / LA 66.02026-05-17 · single · CU · line_drive · EV 89.1 / LA 16.02026-05-17 · home run · CH · fly_ball · EV 96.5 / LA 36.02026-05-19 · field out · SL · fly_ball · EV 96.4 / LA 30.02026-05-19 · single · SI · ground_ball · EV 94.3 / LA 3.02026-05-19 · single · CH · line_drive · EV 86.5 / LA 13.02026-05-20 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 73.1 / LA -43.02026-05-20 · field out · FC · ground_ball · EV 70.1 / LA 5.02026-05-21 · field out · ST · fly_ball · EV 98.3 / LA 42.02026-05-21 · field out · ST · ground_ball · EV 98.6 / LA -15.02026-05-21 · field out · SI · fly_ball · EV 88.8 / LA 30.02026-05-22 · sac fly · SI · fly_ball · EV 101.0 / LA 26.02026-05-22 · single · SL · ground_ball · EV 97.0 / LA 8.02026-06-15 · field out · SI · line_drive · EV 54.9 / LA 17.02026-06-15 · field out · SI · fly_ball · EV 78.3 / LA 57.02026-06-15 · field out · SL · ground_ball · EV 87.8 / LA -7.02026-06-15 · single · SI · fly_ball · EV 69.4 / LA 27.02026-06-20 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 96.3 / LA 2.02026-06-20 · field out · FS · popup · EV 80.7 / LA 67.02026-06-22 · field out · SI · line_drive · EV 98.9 / LA 17.02026-06-22 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 88.4 / LA 39.02026-06-22 · force out · SI · ground_ball · EV 75.8 / LA 7.02026-06-24 · field out · FF · popup · EV 82.9 / LA 74.02026-06-24 · single · SI · line_drive · EV 84.5 / LA 14.02026-06-24 · double · SI · ground_ball · EV 93.6 / LA -2.02026-06-24 · field out · FF · popup · EV 84.0 / LA 79.02026-06-24 · field out · SL · ground_ball · EV 90.5 / LA 0.02026-06-26 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 99.6 / LA -2.02026-06-26 · force out · SI · ground_ball · EV 91.6 / LA -18.02026-06-26 · field out · FC · ground_ball · EV 83.8 / LA -13.02026-06-30 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 89.0 / LA -3.02026-06-30 · field out · CH · popup · EV 63.0 / LA 81.02026-06-30 · field out · FF · popup · EV 65.2 / LA 60.02026-06-30 · double · SI · line_drive · EV 104.0 / LA 18.02026-06-30 · home run · SI · fly_ball · EV 103.0 / LA 37.02026-07-01 · field out · SI · line_drive · EV 94.6 / LA 17.02026-07-01 · field out · CH · popup · EV 70.9 / LA 65.0 1B2B3BHROut Zone shading = batted-ball density by field third · hover dots for date, pitch, EV, and LA. MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Zone profile

Aggregate zone heatmap

Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.

Mithrandir Metrics ZONE HEATMAP Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Swing Zone Profile Gurriel Jr.., Lourdes · Aggregate zone metrics; not pitch-by-pitch locations Zone: 45%45%Chase: 40%40%Whiff: 21%21%Zone contact: 92%92%Contact: 79%79%Hard hit: 34%34% Dashed border = aggregate mixed-batter zone proxy MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Reference layer

Current snapshot

Age32
Height6' 3"
Weight215 lb
Debut2018-04-20
Live layer

Delta / regression

xwOBA Δ-0.036
wOBA Δ-0.061

positive regression

Regression watch

Unlucky so far. Better days ahead.

0.8σ gap
wOBA (actual)0.252
xwOBA (deserved)0.277

Jr.’s wOBA sits at 0.252, but the quality of contact underneath says it should be 0.277 — a gap of 0.025, 0.8 standard deviations from the MLB norm over 189 PA. The results have been worse than the process deserves; as the sample grows, expect the numbers to climb back toward the underlying level.

Mithrandir coverage

Module shelf

ModuleCardsLatestSignal
No Mithrandir card history is available for this player yet.
Projection links / recent games

Available detail

Hitter Projections 20260.313 xwOBA | 19 HRProjection
2026-05-20 vs SF0 HR | 0 RBI / 0 Ch | 0 E0-4 | 2 K