Mithrandir Metrics
Player Baltimore Orioles Refreshed Jul 17 06:00 AM ET
Player profile / Baltimore Orioles

Keegan Akin

P · Bats/Throws L/L · 6' 0", 235 lb · Age 31

Cards
2
Modules
1
Live Δ
yes
Club Baltimore Orioles Position P Roster Injured 60-Day Status IL-60
Traditional line

Season by season

3D Pitch Lab Projections
WLERAGGSSVIPSOWHIP
2024313.32660178.2970.94
2025543.41643863.1591.37
2026015.68242025.1171.50
7 Seasons16234.552553011393.13941.31
At a glance

Season percentile report

The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.

2026-07-17
36
Pitching
percentile
Pitching9 metrics
44
Arsenal4 metrics
82
Rolling projection

Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update

Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.

2026-07-17
ERA preseason3.36
ERA current pace5.68
ERA rolling p504.12
Observed weight33%
ERA
2.91 3.48 4.12 4.75 5.32
FIP
3.38 3.74 4.15 4.56 4.92
K%
18.4% 20.3% 22.5% 24.6% 26.6%
BB%
5.9% 6.9% 8.0% 9.1% 10.1%
Live percentile strip

Current traits vs projection tick

100th = best in MLB.

2026-07-17
Pitching · percentile strip
WHIP1.46
25
ERA5.68
15
BB%7.8%
64
K%15.5%
8 -54 vs proj
xwOBA allowed0.298
66
Barrel allowed5.7%
79 +40 vs proj
Fastball velo93.7
38
Hard-hit allowed28.7%
96
Whiff%17.3%
8 -57 vs proj
Mithrandir+

Stuff+ and arsenal context

How nasty this pitcher's stuff grades in our pitch-level model. Missing coverage is shown explicitly.

2026-07-17
Changeup Stuff+107
81
Fastball Stuff+106
80
Mithrandir Stuff+106
86
Slider Stuff+106
83
Rolling form chart

xwOBA allowed snapshot line

Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs

12 snapshots
Mithrandir Metrics ROLLING XWOBA LINE Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Rolling xwOBA allowed Akin, Keegan · Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs LG AVG 0.314 0.298 2026-07-06: 0.2982026-07-07: 0.2982026-07-08: 0.2982026-07-09: 0.2982026-07-10: 0.2982026-07-11: 0.2982026-07-12: 0.2982026-07-13: 0.2982026-07-14: 0.2982026-07-15: 0.2982026-07-16: 0.2982026-07-17: 0.298 2026-07-06 2026-07-17 xwOBA allowed MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Optimization map

Arsenal optimization map

Pitch-shape context from this pitcher’s current arsenal snapshot. Hover a pitch to inspect usage, movement, and bat-missing context.

3Pitches 2026Season 49%Top usage
ride armside gloveside +Arsenal gap +Shape contrast
Zone profile

Aggregate zone heatmap

Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.

Mithrandir Metrics ZONE HEATMAP Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Pitch Zone Profile Akin, Keegan · Aggregate zone metrics; not pitch-by-pitch locations Edge: 37%37%Zone: 52%52%Whiff: 17%17%Called strike: 17%17%First pitch strike: 53%53%Hard hit allowed: 29%29% Dashed border = aggregate mixed-batter zone proxy MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Pitch arsenal

Usage mix, movement map, and Stuff+ composition

2026 pitch-level arsenal aggregates; current season takes over after 100 tracked pitches across at least 2 pitch types. Descriptive pitch-type Stuff+ composition. Not a promoted predictive metric.

Watch the pitches in 3D →

2026
Mithrandir Metrics PITCH ARSENAL DONUT Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Pitch Arsenal Akin, Keegan · 2026 arsenal snapshot 4-Seam Fastball: 49.2%Changeup: 25.8%Slider: 24.9% FF49% · 94 mphprimary pitch FF 49%CH 26%SL 25% MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Mithrandir Metrics PITCH MOVEMENT Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Pitch Arsenal Akin, Keegan · 2026 arsenal snapshot 9″18″27″36″ 4-Seam Fastball: 49% usage, 2″ horizontal break, 14″ drop, 93.7 mphFF94 mphChangeup: 26% usage, 14″ horizontal break, 28″ drop, 86.7 mphCH87 mphSlider: 25% usage, 2″ horizontal break, 31″ drop, 86.7 mphSL87 mph less drop ↑ more drop ↓ · horizontal break ↔ · dot size = usage · break incl. gravity MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
PitchUsagePitchesStuff+Status
FB 52.4% 132 106 limited sample
CH 23.8% 60 107 limited sample
SL 23.8% 60 106 limited sample
Method note

Renamed from the attempted Kirby Index after audit; true Kirby requires release-angle trajectory data.

Reference layer

Current snapshot

Age31
Height6' 0"
Weight235 lb
Debut2020-08-14
Live layer

Delta / regression

ERA Δ+2.16
K% Δ-0.089
Mithrandir coverage

Module shelf

ModuleCardsLatestSignal
Pitching22026-05-22Command and chase profile drove the outing
Projection links / recent games

Available detail

Pitcher Projections 202624.4% K | 3.52 ERAProjection
2026-03-19 vs PIT0 ER / 1 K0.2 IP