Mithrandir Metrics
Player Detroit Tigers Refreshed Jun 1 06:00 AM ET
Player profile / Detroit Tigers

Tarik Skubal

P profile with live context, projection links, and Mithrandir card history when available.

Cards
15
Modules
1
Live Δ
yes
Club Detroit Tigers Position P Roster Injured 15-Day Status IL-15
Rolling projection

Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update

Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.

2026-06-01
ERA preseason2.67
ERA current pace2.70
ERA rolling p502.68
Observed weight44%
ERA
1.62 2.13 2.68 3.24 3.74
FIP
1.61 1.95 2.33 2.71 3.05
K%
24.5% 26.8% 29.3% 31.8% 34.1%
BB%
2.9% 3.6% 4.3% 5.1% 5.8%
Live percentile strip

Current traits vs projection tick

100th = best in MLB.

2026-06-01
Pitching · percentile strip
BB%3.2%
99
Barrel allowed5.5%
78 +28 vs proj
Fastball velo96.5
81
Hard-hit allowed43.0%
29
K%27.0%
81
Whiff%26.2%
72
xwOBA allowed0.284
76
Mithrandir+

Stuff+ and arsenal context

Stuff+ appears when the current pitch-event scoring artifact includes this pitcher; missing coverage is shown explicitly.

2026-06-01
Mithrandir Stuff+110
96
Rolling form chart

xwOBA allowed snapshot line

Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs

12 snapshots
Mithrandir Metrics ROLLING XWOBA LINE Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Rolling xwOBA allowed Skubal, Tarik · Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs LG AVG 0.314 2026-05-17: 0.2842026-05-19: 0.2842026-05-21: 0.2842026-05-23: 0.2842026-05-24: 0.2842026-05-25: 0.2842026-05-26: 0.2842026-05-28: 0.2842026-05-29: 0.2842026-05-30: 0.2842026-05-31: 0.2842026-06-01: 0.284 2026-05-17 2026-06-01 xwOBA allowed MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Optimization map

Arsenal optimization map

Pitch-shape context from this pitcher’s current arsenal snapshot. Hover a pitch to inspect usage, movement, and bat-missing context.

5Pitches 2026Season 38%Top usage
ride armside gloveside +Arsenal gap +Shape contrast
Zone profile

Aggregate zone heatmap

Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.

Mithrandir Metrics ZONE HEATMAP Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Pitch Zone Profile Skubal, Tarik · Aggregate zone metrics; not pitch-by-pitch locations Edge: 37%37%Zone: 48%48%Whiff: 26%26%Called strike: 15%15%First pitch strike: 57%57%Hard hit allowed: 43%43% Dashed border = aggregate mixed-batter zone proxy MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Pitch arsenal

Usage mix, movement map, and Stuff+ composition

2026 pitch-level arsenal aggregates; current season takes over after 100 tracked pitches across at least 2 pitch types. Descriptive pitch-type Stuff+ composition. Not a promoted predictive metric.

2026
Mithrandir Metrics PITCH ARSENAL DONUT Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Pitch Arsenal Skubal, Tarik · 2026 arsenal snapshot 4-Seam Fastball: 37.8%Changeup: 25.6%Sinker: 19.5%Slider: 14.0%Curveball: 3.1% MIX FF 38%CH 26%SI 19%SL 14%CU 3% MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Mithrandir Metrics PITCH MOVEMENT Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Pitch Arsenal Skubal, Tarik · 2026 arsenal snapshot FF: HB -0.3, IVB 1.0FFCH: HB -0.9, IVB 2.7CHSI: HB -0.0, IVB 1.5SISL: HB 0.2, IVB 2.5SLCU: HB 0.6, IVB 4.1CU horizontal break IVB MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
PitchUsagePitchesStuff+Status
FB 39.0% 244 112 qualified
CH 25.7% 161 104 limited sample
SI 18.7% 117 106 limited sample
SL 13.7% 86 109 limited sample
CB 2.9% 18 103 limited sample
Method note

Renamed from the attempted Kirby Index after audit; true Kirby requires release-angle trajectory data.

Reference layer

Current snapshot

Age29
Height6' 3"
Weight240 lb
Debut2020-08-18
Live layer

Delta / regression

ERA Δ-0.31
K% Δ-0.016

positive regression

Mithrandir coverage

Module shelf

ModuleCardsLatestSignal
Pitching152026-04-294-Seam Fastball played up through SI/SL tunnel quality
Projection links / recent games

Available detail

Pitcher Projections 202628.7% K | 3.01 ERAProjection
2026-04-12 vs MIA1 ER / 7 K6.2 IP
2026-04-07 @ MIN4 ER / 7 K4.2 IP
2026-04-01 @ AZ1 ER / 3 K7.0 IP
2026-03-26 @ SD0 ER / 6 K6.0 IP