Mithrandir Metrics
Player Baltimore Orioles Refreshed Jun 2 06:00 AM ET
Player profile / Baltimore Orioles

Trevor Rogers

P profile with live context, projection links, and Mithrandir card history when available.

Cards
14
Modules
1
Live Δ
yes
Club Baltimore Orioles Position P Roster Active Status Healthy / active roster
Rolling projection

Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update

Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.

2026-06-02
ERA preseason3.88
ERA current pace6.96
ERA rolling p505.43
Observed weight50%
ERA
4.48 4.93 5.43 5.94 6.39
FIP
3.39 3.82 4.29 4.76 5.18
K%
16.9% 18.2% 19.6% 21.0% 22.2%
BB%
5.6% 6.4% 7.2% 8.1% 8.8%
Live percentile strip

Current traits vs projection tick

100th = best in MLB.

2026-06-02
Pitching · percentile strip
BB%7.4%
70
Barrel allowed7.9%
47
Fastball velo93.0
27
Hard-hit allowed40.7%
42
K%18.4%
23 -15 vs proj
Whiff%21.6%
39
xwOBA allowed0.337
29
Mithrandir+

Stuff+ and arsenal context

Stuff+ appears when the current pitch-event scoring artifact includes this pitcher; missing coverage is shown explicitly.

2026-06-02
Mithrandir Stuff+102
52
Rolling form chart

xwOBA allowed snapshot line

Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs

12 snapshots
Mithrandir Metrics ROLLING XWOBA LINE Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Rolling xwOBA allowed Rogers, Trevor · Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs LG AVG 0.313 2026-05-19: 0.3222026-05-21: 0.3262026-05-23: 0.3262026-05-24: 0.3262026-05-25: 0.3352026-05-26: 0.3352026-05-28: 0.3352026-05-29: 0.3352026-05-30: 0.3352026-05-31: 0.3372026-06-01: 0.3372026-06-02: 0.337 2026-05-19 2026-06-02 xwOBA allowed MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Optimization map

Arsenal optimization map

Pitch-shape context from this pitcher’s current arsenal snapshot. Hover a pitch to inspect usage, movement, and bat-missing context.

5Pitches 2026Season 42%Top usage
ride armside gloveside +Arsenal gap +Shape contrast
Zone profile

Aggregate zone heatmap

Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.

Mithrandir Metrics ZONE HEATMAP Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Pitch Zone Profile Rogers, Trevor · Aggregate zone metrics; not pitch-by-pitch locations Edge: 40%40%Zone: 48%48%Whiff: 22%22%Called strike: 16%16%First pitch strike: 54%54%Hard hit allowed: 41%41% Dashed border = aggregate mixed-batter zone proxy MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Pitch arsenal

Usage mix, movement map, and Stuff+ composition

2026 pitch-level arsenal aggregates; current season takes over after 100 tracked pitches across at least 2 pitch types. Descriptive pitch-type Stuff+ composition. Not a promoted predictive metric.

2026
Mithrandir Metrics PITCH ARSENAL DONUT Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Pitch Arsenal Rogers, Trevor · 2026 arsenal snapshot 4-Seam Fastball: 41.9%Changeup: 22.5%Sinker: 12.7%Cutter: 12.4%Sweeper: 10.6% MIX FF 42%CH 22%SI 13%FC 12%ST 11% MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Mithrandir Metrics PITCH MOVEMENT Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Pitch Arsenal Rogers, Trevor · 2026 arsenal snapshot FF: HB -0.5, IVB 1.3FFCH: HB -0.8, IVB 2.9CHSI: HB -0.1, IVB 2.0SIFC: HB 0.1, IVB 3.1FCST: HB 0.3, IVB 3.4ST horizontal break IVB MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
PitchUsagePitchesStuff+Status
FB 42.5% 323 104 qualified
CH 23.9% 182 104 limited sample
SI 12.5% 95 103 limited sample
FC 11.6% 88 99 limited sample
SL 9.5% 72 95 limited sample
Method note

Renamed from the attempted Kirby Index after audit; true Kirby requires release-angle trajectory data.

Reference layer

Current snapshot

Age28
Height6' 5"
Weight230 lb
Debut2020-08-25
Live layer

Delta / regression

ERA Δ+3.15
K% Δ-0.024

positive regression

Mithrandir coverage

Module shelf

ModuleCardsLatestSignal
Pitching142026-05-244-Seam Fastball played up through CH/FC tunnel quality
Projection links / recent games

Available detail

Pitcher Projections 202620.8% K | 3.81 ERAProjection
2026-04-14 vs AZ4 ER / 6 K4.2 IP
2026-04-07 @ CWS2 ER / 6 K6.0 IP
2026-04-01 vs TEX2 ER / 3 K6.0 IP
2026-03-26 vs MIN0 ER / 5 K7.0 IP