Mithrandir Metrics
Player CWS Refreshed Sep 5 06:00 AM ET
Player profile / CWS

Chris Murphy

Player · Bats/Throws L/L · 6' 1", 186 lb · Age 28

Cards
3
Modules
1
Live Δ
yes
Club CWS Position -- Roster profile Status IL-15
Traditional line

Season by season

3D Pitch Lab Projections
WLERAGGSSVIPSOWHIP
2023124.91200147.2491.41
2025303.12230034.2301.18
2026304.20292130.0291.37
3 Seasons724.177222112.11081.33
At a glance

Season percentile report

The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.

2026-09-05
47
Pitching
percentile
Pitching9 metrics
60
Arsenal6 metrics
66
Rolling projection

Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update

Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.

Pending

Rolling player projection appears after current-season Statcast and projection joins refresh.

Live percentile strip

Current traits vs projection tick

100th = best in MLB.

2026-09-05
Pitching · percentile strip
WHIP1.30
56
ERA4.20
46
BB%11.3%
24
K%20.4%
37
xwOBA allowed0.294
71
Barrel allowed6.6%
64
Fastball velo95.9
74
Hard-hit allowed33.0%
86
Whiff%26.3%
77
Mithrandir+

Stuff+ and arsenal context

How nasty this pitcher's stuff grades in our pitch-level model. Missing coverage is shown explicitly.

2026-09-05
Changeup Stuff+110
98
Curveball Stuff+106
98
Fastball Stuff+104
58
Mithrandir Stuff+101
41
Sinker Stuff+112
99
Slider Stuff+91
4
Rolling form chart

xwOBA allowed snapshot line

Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs

12 snapshots
Mithrandir Metrics ROLLING XWOBA LINE Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Rolling xwOBA allowed Murphy, Chris · Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs LG AVG 0.313 0.294 2026-08-25: 0.2942026-08-26: 0.2942026-08-27: 0.2942026-08-28: 0.2942026-08-29: 0.2942026-08-30: 0.2942026-08-31: 0.2942026-09-01: 0.2942026-09-02: 0.2942026-09-03: 0.2942026-09-04: 0.2942026-09-05: 0.294 2026-08-25 2026-09-05 xwOBA allowed MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Optimization map

Arsenal optimization map

Pitch-shape context from this pitcher’s current arsenal snapshot. Hover a pitch to inspect usage, movement, and bat-missing context.

7Pitches 2026Season 32%Top usage
ride armside gloveside +Arsenal gap +Shape contrast
Zone profile

Aggregate zone heatmap

Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.

Mithrandir Metrics ZONE HEATMAP Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Pitch Zone Profile Murphy, Chris · Aggregate zone metrics; not pitch-by-pitch locations Edge: 39%39%Zone: 50%50%Whiff: 26%26%Called strike: 13%13%First pitch strike: 51%51%Hard hit allowed: 33%33% Dashed border = aggregate mixed-batter zone proxy MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Pitch arsenal

Usage mix, movement map, and Stuff+ composition

2026 pitch-level arsenal aggregates; current season takes over after 100 tracked pitches across at least 2 pitch types. Descriptive pitch-type Stuff+ composition. Not a promoted predictive metric.

Watch the pitches in 3D →

2026
Mithrandir Metrics PITCH ARSENAL DONUT Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Pitch Arsenal Murphy, Chris · 2026 arsenal snapshot 4-Seam Fastball: 32.5%Slider: 30.4%Curveball: 22.0%Sweeper: 5.5%Sinker: 4.3%Changeup: 3.4% FF32% · 96 mphprimary pitch FF 32%SL 30%CU 22%ST 6%SI 4%CH 3% MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Mithrandir Metrics PITCH MOVEMENT Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Pitch Arsenal Murphy, Chris · 2026 arsenal snapshot 15″30″45″60″ 4-Seam Fastball: 32% usage, 1″ horizontal break, 13″ drop, 96.2 mphFF96 mphSlider: 30% usage, 1″ horizontal break, 29″ drop, 89.3 mphSL89 mphCurveball: 22% usage, 4″ horizontal break, 58″ drop, 77.7 mphCU78 mphSweeper: 6% usage, 17″ horizontal break, 39″ drop, 80.4 mphST80 mphSinker: 4% usage, 12″ horizontal break, 21″ drop, 93.7 mphSI94 mphChangeup: 3% usage, 16″ horizontal break, 34″ drop, 85.9 mphCH86 mphSlurve: 2% usage, 0″ horizontal break, 47″ drop, 82.8 mphSV83 mph less drop ↑ more drop ↓ · horizontal break ↔ · dot size = usage · break incl. gravity MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
PitchUsagePitchesStuff+Status
SL 36.7% 81 91 limited sample
FB 31.7% 70 104 limited sample
CB 19.0% 42 106 limited sample
SI 7.7% 17 112 limited sample
CH 5.0% 11 110 limited sample
Method note

Renamed from the attempted Kirby Index after audit; true Kirby requires release-angle trajectory data.

Reference layer

Current snapshot

MLB bio context is unavailable.
Live layer

Delta / regression

ERA Δ--
K% Δ--

positive regression

Regression watch

Unlucky so far. Better days ahead.

1.1σ gap
wOBA-against (actual)0.333
xwOBA-against (deserved)0.294

Murphy’s wOBA-against sits at 0.333, but the quality of contact underneath says it should be 0.294 — a gap of 0.040, 1.1 standard deviations from the MLB norm over 32 IP. The results have been worse than the process deserves; as the sample grows, expect the numbers to climb back toward the underlying level.

Mithrandir coverage

Module shelf

ModuleCardsLatestSignal
Pitching32026-07-05Curveball played up through CU/SL tunnel quality
Projection links / recent games

Available detail

No projection links or recent game log rows are available yet.