Mithrandir Metrics
Player Texas Rangers Refreshed Jul 18 06:00 AM ET
Player profile / Texas Rangers

Nicky Lopez

2B · Bats/Throws L/R · 5' 10", 186 lb · Age 31

Cards
0
Modules
0
Live Δ
yes
Club Texas Rangers Position 2B Roster Active Status Healthy / active roster
Traditional line

Season by season

PARHHRSBAVGOBPSLGOPS
2024445409615.241.312.294.606
2025282100.042.179.042.221
2026129143714.311.344.361.705
8 Seasons2503276559851.249.312.314.626
At a glance

Season percentile report

The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.

2026-07-18
7
Offense
percentile
Offense9 metrics
17
Defense4 metrics
36
Speed3 metrics
47
Plate skills10 metrics
30
Rolling projection

Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update

Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.

2026-07-18
xwOBA preseason0.286
xwOBA current pace0.257
xwOBA rolling p500.275
Observed weight39%
xwOBA
0.231 0.252 0.275 0.298 0.319
wOBA
0.309 0.333 0.361 0.388 0.413
ISO
0.034 0.057 0.082 0.108 0.131
K%
10.6% 12.4% 14.5% 16.6% 18.4%
Live percentile strip

Current traits vs projection tick

100th = best in MLB.

2026-07-18
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%0.0%
1
Exit velocity81.6
4
Hard-hit%20.7%
3
xBA0.290
21
xSLG0.345
3
xwOBA0.257
10 -18 vs proj
BB%4.3%
9 -44 vs proj
Bat speed62.8
3
K%12.9%
94
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Runs-0.0 · 2B
33
Arm Strength89.1 · 2B
70
Outs Above Avg-2.0 · 2B
18
Range Runs-2.6 · 2B
23
Baserunning · percentile strip
Base Running Runs1.0 · 2B
70
SB Success Rate60.0% · 2B
11
Sprint Speed27.8 · 2B
61
Mithrandir+

Plate skills: swing decisions and pitch-type resistance

Our research metrics for how this hitter controls the strike zone and handles each pitch family.

2026-07-18
Avoids Bad ChasesST 54.3% · rebadged research
9
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 31.2% · rebadged research
11
Correct Decisions57.1% · rebadged research
5
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.281 · borderline
66
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.290 · insufficient sample
18
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.268 · validated thin sample
84
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.341 · insufficient sample
27
Resists FastballwOBA 0.336 · validated
57
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.372 · validated
20
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline85
6
Rolling form chart

xwOBA snapshot line

Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs

12 snapshots
Mithrandir Metrics ROLLING XWOBA LINE Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Rolling xwOBA Lopez, Nicky · Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs LG AVG 0.308 0.257 2026-07-07: 0.2652026-07-08: 0.2652026-07-09: 0.2652026-07-10: 0.2592026-07-11: 0.2592026-07-12: 0.2632026-07-13: 0.2562026-07-14: 0.2572026-07-15: 0.2572026-07-16: 0.2572026-07-17: 0.2572026-07-18: 0.257 2026-07-07 2026-07-18 xwOBA MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Spray profile

Field-coordinate spray profile

43 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.

Mithrandir Metrics SPRAY CHART Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Spray Chart Lopez, Nicky · Statcast batted-ball landing coordinates Left field third: 16% of plotted batted ballsPull 16%Center field third: 74% of plotted batted ballsCenter 74%Right field third: 9% of plotted batted ballsOppo 9% LF 329 CF 407 RF 326 2026-03-15 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 94.0 / LA 6.02026-03-15 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 92.7 / LA 52.02026-03-15 · field out · SL · ground_ball · EV 63.8 / LA -47.02026-03-17 · field out · FC · fly_ball · EV 83.5 / LA 51.02026-03-18 · field out · SI · fly_ball · EV 73.6 / LA 41.02026-03-18 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 87.3 / LA -30.02026-03-19 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 72.9 / LA -35.02026-03-21 · single · CH · line_drive · EV 95.5 / LA 10.02026-03-21 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 97.4 / LA 25.02026-03-21 · single · SL · line_drive · EV 58.7 / LA 36.02026-04-28 · force out · SI · ground_ball · EV 33.0 / LA -59.02026-04-28 · field out · FC · ground_ball · EV 98.5 / LA 2.02026-05-09 · field out · ST · ground_ball · EV 78.1 / LA -42.02026-05-27 · field out · FF · popup · EV 90.4 / LA 68.02026-05-27 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 96.6 / LA 41.02026-05-27 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 62.2 / LA -37.02026-05-31 · single · CU · ground_ball · EV 58.8 / LA -29.02026-05-31 · single · FF · line_drive · EV 85.8 / LA 17.02026-05-31 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 83.8 / LA 34.02026-06-01 · single · FC · line_drive · EV 88.9 / LA 13.02026-06-01 · field out · FC · line_drive · EV 63.1 / LA 18.02026-06-01 · single · SI · ground_ball · EV 96.8 / LA -1.02026-06-07 · single · FA · ground_ball · EV 90.7 / LA -9.02026-06-15 · field out · FS · ground_ball · EV 63.2 / LA -11.02026-06-15 · single · ST · fly_ball · EV 65.5 / LA 28.02026-06-15 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 74.4 / LA 4.02026-06-18 · single · FS · ground_ball · EV 90.5 / LA -10.02026-06-20 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 91.5 / LA -27.02026-06-20 · single · FC · ground_ball · EV 99.0 / LA -7.02026-06-20 · field out · FF · line_drive · EV 88.4 / LA 35.02026-06-22 · single · FF · ground_ball · EV 97.9 / LA 6.02026-06-22 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 83.8 / LA -23.02026-06-22 · field out · ST · fly_ball · EV 92.9 / LA 29.02026-06-22 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 97.9 / LA 1.02026-06-24 · single · FF · ground_ball · EV 84.0 / LA -21.02026-06-26 · single · FF · line_drive · EV 103.3 / LA 7.02026-06-26 · field out · SL · popup · EV 66.6 / LA 54.02026-06-26 · field out · SL · ground_ball · EV 88.4 / LA 1.02026-06-30 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 91.5 / LA -7.02026-06-30 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 79.3 / LA -15.02026-06-30 · single · SI · ground_ball · EV 96.8 / LA 9.02026-07-01 · double · SI · ground_ball · EV 99.5 / LA 3.02026-07-01 · field out · FC · ground_ball · LA -54.0 1B2B3BHROut Zone shading = batted-ball density by field third · hover dots for date, pitch, EV, and LA. MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Zone profile

Aggregate zone heatmap

Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.

Mithrandir Metrics ZONE HEATMAP Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Swing Zone Profile Lopez, Nicky · Aggregate zone metrics; not pitch-by-pitch locations Zone: 50%50%Chase: 34%34%Whiff: 16%16%Zone contact: 90%90%Contact: 84%84%Hard hit: 21%21% Dashed border = aggregate mixed-batter zone proxy MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Reference layer

Current snapshot

Age31
Height5' 10"
Weight186 lb
Debut2019-05-14
Live layer

Delta / regression

xwOBA Δ-0.030
wOBA Δ+0.074

negative regression

Regression watch

Running hot. Expect some cooling.

-2.9σ gap
wOBA (actual)0.361
xwOBA (deserved)0.257

Lopez’s wOBA sits at 0.361, but the quality of contact underneath says it should be 0.257 — a gap of 0.104, -2.9 standard deviations from the MLB norm over 139 PA. The results have outrun the underlying process; as the sample grows, expect the numbers to drift back toward the deserved level.

Mithrandir coverage

Module shelf

ModuleCardsLatestSignal
No Mithrandir card history is available for this player yet.
Projection links / recent games

Available detail

2026-03-21 @ KC0 HR | 0 RBI / 5 Ch | 0 E2-3 | BB, 2 R, SB
2026-03-19 vs SF0 HR | 0 RBI / 2 Ch | 0 E0-1 | BB
2026-03-18 @ CIN0 HR | 0 RBI / 4 Ch | 0 E0-2
2026-03-11 @ SEA0 HR | 0 RBI / 2 Ch | 0 E1-3 | 2B