Mithrandir Metrics
Player Seattle Mariners Refreshed Jun 1 06:00 AM ET
Player profile / Seattle Mariners

Luke Raley

RF profile with live context, projection links, and Mithrandir card history when available.

Cards
5
Modules
1
Live Δ
yes
Club Seattle Mariners Position RF Roster Active Status Healthy / active roster
Rolling projection

Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update

Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.

2026-06-01
xwOBA preseason0.297
xwOBA current pace0.392
xwOBA rolling p500.341
Observed weight46%
xwOBA
0.311 0.325 0.341 0.357 0.371
wOBA
0.433 0.456 0.480 0.505 0.527
ISO
0.187 0.210 0.234 0.259 0.281
K%
25.8% 27.7% 29.9% 32.1% 34.0%
Live percentile strip

Current traits vs projection tick

100th = best in MLB.

2026-06-01
Hitting · percentile strip
BB%5.9%
19
Barrel%12.2%
98 +43 vs proj
Bat speed73.6
92
Exit velocity89.0
54
Hard-hit%47.3%
82 +20 vs proj
K%30.9%
11
xBA0.423
99
xSLG0.907
99
xwOBA0.392
95 +39 vs proj
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Runs-0.4 · RF
40
Arm Strength97.9 · RF
91
Outs Above Avg0.0 · RF
45
Range Runs-3.6 · RF
5
Baserunning · percentile strip
Base Running Runs0.5 · RF
58
Sprint Speed28.6 · RF
86
SB Success Rate50.0% · RF
Limited
Mithrandir+

Stuff+ and arsenal context

Stuff+ appears when the current pitch-event scoring artifact includes this pitcher; missing coverage is shown explicitly.

2026-06-01
Avoids Bad ChasesST 61.7% · rebadged research
32
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 21.1% · rebadged research
83
Correct Decisions68.2% · rebadged research
69
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.283 · borderline
54
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.286 · insufficient sample
24
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.270 · validated thin sample
69
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.365 · insufficient sample
5
Resists FastballwOBA 0.387 · validated
3
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.353 · validated
61
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline101
50
Rolling form chart

xwOBA snapshot line

Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs

12 snapshots
Mithrandir Metrics ROLLING XWOBA LINE Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Rolling xwOBA Raley, Luke · Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs LG AVG 0.313 2026-05-17: 0.4092026-05-19: 0.4052026-05-21: 0.3992026-05-23: 0.3922026-05-24: 0.3912026-05-25: 0.3902026-05-26: 0.3882026-05-28: 0.3822026-05-29: 0.3822026-05-30: 0.3822026-05-31: 0.3822026-06-01: 0.392 2026-05-17 2026-06-01 xwOBA MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Zone profile

Aggregate zone heatmap

Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.

Mithrandir Metrics ZONE HEATMAP Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Swing Zone Profile Raley, Luke · Aggregate zone metrics; not pitch-by-pitch locations Zone: 47%47%Chase: 32%32%Whiff: 39%39%Zone contact: 70%70%Contact: 61%61%Hard hit: 47%47% Dashed border = aggregate mixed-batter zone proxy MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Bat tracking

Swing path, attack angle, bat speed

Aggregate Savant bat-tracking metrics; not per-swing motion capture.

2026
Mithrandir Metrics SWING PATH Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Swing Path Raley, Luke · aggregate bat-tracking arc Swing tilt 32.1° Length 7.3 ft Ideal path 55% MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Mithrandir Metrics ATTACK ANGLE Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Attack Angle Raley, Luke · aggregate attack vector Attack angle 15.9° Direction -2.6° MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Mithrandir Metrics BAT SPEED DISTRIBUTION Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Bat Speed Raley, Luke · aggregate bat speed marker 60 mph 85 mph Avg bat speed 75.5 mph Hard swing rate 61% Whiff / swing 51% MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Reference layer

Current snapshot

Age31
Height6' 3"
Weight235 lb
Debut2021-04-09
Live layer

Delta / regression

xwOBA Δ+0.077
wOBA Δ+0.165

negative regression

Mithrandir coverage

Module shelf

ModuleCardsLatestSignal
Hitting52026-04-16Launch window quality outpaced the final line
Projection links / recent games

Available detail

Hitter Projections 20260.315 xwOBA | 14 HRProjection
2026-05-20 vs CWS0 HR | 0 RBI / 0 Ch | 0 E0-2 | K
2026-04-20 vs ATH0 HR | 0 RBI / 0 Ch | 0 E0-2 | 2 K
2026-04-17 vs TEX0 HR | 0 RBI / 1 Ch | 0 E0-2 | K
2026-04-15 @ SD1 HR | 2 RBI / 3 Ch | 0 E4-5 | HR, 2B, K
2026-04-14 @ SD0 HR | 0 RBI / 0 Ch | 0 E1-3 | BB, K