Reference layer
Current snapshot
| Age | 30 |
| Height | 5' 8" |
| Weight | 180 lb |
| Debut | 2021-09-18 |
Player profile / Cincinnati Reds
Tj Friedl
CF · Bats/Throws L/L · 5' 8", 180 lb · Age 30
Club Cincinnati Reds
Position CF
Roster Active
Status Healthy / active roster
Traditional line
Season by season
| PA | R | H | HR | SB | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 341 | 35 | 67 | 13 | 9 | .226 | .310 | .380 | .690 |
| 2025 | 685 | 82 | 151 | 14 | 12 | .261 | .364 | .378 | .742 |
| 2026 | 218 | 18 | 34 | 3 | 5 | .178 | .258 | .267 | .525 |
| 6 Seasons | 2094 | 250 | 451 | 57 | 60 | .249 | .335 | .399 | .734 |
At a glance
Season percentile report
The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.
11
Offense
percentile
percentile
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.292 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.242 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.266 |
| Observed weight | 51% |
xwOBA
0.240
0.253
0.266
0.280
0.292
wOBA
0.258
0.276
0.297
0.317
0.335
ISO
0.092
0.106
0.122
0.138
0.153
K%
17.6%
19.0%
20.4%
21.9%
23.2%
Live percentile strip
Current traits vs projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%2.2%
14
Exit velocity83.5
9
Hard-hit%32.6%
24
xBA0.262
8
xSLG0.360
5
xwOBA0.242
5
-35 vs proj
BB%7.9%
41
-23 vs proj
Bat speed65.9
11
K%23.6%
42
-39 vs proj
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Runs-0.4 · CF
39
Arm Strength89.9 · CF
21
Outs Above Avg-1.0 · CF
22
Range Runs2.3 · CF
76
Baserunning · percentile strip
Sprint Speed26.6 · CF
29
SB Success Rate100.0% · CF
Small sample
Mithrandir+
Plate skills: swing decisions and pitch-type resistance
Our research metrics for how this hitter controls the strike zone and handles each pitch family.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 69.8% · rebadged research
73
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 25.8% · rebadged research
43
Correct Decisions67.6% · rebadged research
65
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.284 · borderline
58
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.286 · insufficient sample
29
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.242 · validated thin sample
99
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.322 · insufficient sample
77
Resists FastballwOBA 0.306 · validated
95
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.368 · validated
27
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline104
68
Rolling form chart
xwOBA snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
127 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Bat tracking
Swing path, attack angle, bat speed
Aggregate Savant bat-tracking metrics; not per-swing motion capture. The full swing, with the recommended path overlaid, lives in the 3D Swing Simulator.
Live layer
Delta / regression
| xwOBA Δ | -0.055 |
| wOBA Δ | -0.000 |
negative regression
Regression watch
Running hot. Expect some cooling.
Friedl’s wOBA sits at 0.297, but the quality of contact underneath says it should be 0.242 — a gap of 0.055, -1.7 standard deviations from the MLB norm over 229 PA. The results have outrun the underlying process; as the sample grows, expect the numbers to drift back toward the deserved level.
Comp Engine · 2026 profile shape
Closest profiles
| Player | Similarity | Agrees on | Open |
|---|---|---|---|
| Meidroth, Chase CWS · R | 0.70 | Strikeout rateSwing length | Player · Projection |
| Palacios, Richie TB · L | 0.60 | Isolated powerIn-zone contact | Player · Projection |
| Martin, Austin MIN · R | 0.59 | Bat speedIn-zone contact | Player · Projection |
| Lukes, Nathan TOR · L | 0.58 | Bat speedSprint speed | Player · Projection |
Profile-shape similarity, not results: six weighted feature groups standardized within this season's qualified hitters.
Mithrandir coverage
Module shelf
| Module | Cards | Latest | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hitting | 1 | 2026-03-16 | Impact contact was the main driver |
Projection links / recent games
Available detail
| Hitter Projections 20260.297 xwOBA | 16 HR | Projection |
| 2026-04-20 @ TB0 HR | 0 RBI / 2 Ch | 0 E | 1-5 | 2B, R |
| 2026-04-17 @ MIN0 HR | 0 RBI / 3 Ch | 0 E | 0-4 | K |
| 2026-04-15 vs SF0 HR | 0 RBI / 3 Ch | 0 E | 1-4 | R |
| 2026-04-12 vs LAA0 HR | 0 RBI / 7 Ch | 0 E | 0-3 | BB, HBP, 2 K |
| 2026-04-11 vs LAA0 HR | 0 RBI / 2 Ch | 0 E | 1-4 | BB, K, R |