Mithrandir Metrics
Player Cincinnati Reds Refreshed Aug 31 06:00 AM ET
Player profile / Cincinnati Reds

Andrew Abbott

P · Bats/Throws L/L · 6' 0", 192 lb · Age 27

Cards
29
Modules
1
Live Δ
yes
Club Cincinnati Reds Position P Roster Current MLB team Status Healthy / active roster
Traditional line

Season by season

3D Pitch Lab Projections
WLERAGGSSVIPSOWHIP
202410103.7225250138.01141.30
20251072.8729290166.11491.15
20266104.4928280148.11151.44
4 Seasons34333.701031030562.04981.30
At a glance

Season percentile report

The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.

2026-08-31
28
Pitching
percentile
Pitching9 metrics
29
Arsenal6 metrics
62
Rolling projection

Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update

Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.

2026-08-31
ERA preseason3.87
ERA current pace4.15
ERA rolling p504.08
Observed weight74%
ERA
3.23 3.63 4.08 4.53 4.93
FIP
4.20 4.51 4.86 5.21 5.52
K%
17.0% 17.8% 18.7% 19.6% 20.4%
BB%
8.4% 9.0% 9.7% 10.3% 10.9%
Live percentile strip

Current traits vs projection tick

100th = best in MLB.

2026-08-31
Pitching · percentile strip
WHIP1.50
20
ERA4.15
46
BB%10.8%
29 -46 vs proj
K%17.9%
19 -22 vs proj
xwOBA allowed0.340
23 -19 vs proj
Barrel allowed8.4%
36
Fastball velo92.5
20
Hard-hit allowed40.0%
38
Whiff%20.3%
28
Mithrandir+

Stuff+ and arsenal context

How nasty this pitcher's stuff grades in our pitch-level model. Missing coverage is shown explicitly.

2026-08-31
Changeup Stuff+95
16
Curveball Stuff+104
69
Fastball Stuff+103
53
Mithrandir Stuff+102
49
Slider Stuff+108
90
Cutter Stuff+109
98
Rolling form chart

xwOBA allowed snapshot line

Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs

12 snapshots
Mithrandir Metrics ROLLING XWOBA LINE Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Rolling xwOBA allowed Abbott, Andrew · Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs LG AVG 0.313 0.340 2026-08-20: 0.3332026-08-21: 0.3332026-08-22: 0.3332026-08-23: 0.3332026-08-24: 0.3332026-08-25: 0.3322026-08-26: 0.3322026-08-27: 0.3322026-08-28: 0.3322026-08-29: 0.3322026-08-30: 0.3402026-08-31: 0.340 2026-08-20 2026-08-31 xwOBA allowed MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Optimization map

Arsenal optimization map

Pitch-shape context from this pitcher’s current arsenal snapshot. Hover a pitch to inspect usage, movement, and bat-missing context.

5Pitches 2026Season 45%Top usage
ride armside gloveside +Arsenal gap +Shape contrast
Zone profile

Aggregate zone heatmap

Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.

Mithrandir Metrics ZONE HEATMAP Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Pitch Zone Profile Abbott, Andrew · Aggregate zone metrics; not pitch-by-pitch locations Edge: 38%38%Zone: 47%47%Whiff: 20%20%Called strike: 16%16%First pitch strike: 49%49%Hard hit allowed: 40%40% Dashed border = aggregate mixed-batter zone proxy MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Pitch arsenal

Usage mix, movement map, and Stuff+ composition

2026 pitch-level arsenal aggregates; current season takes over after 100 tracked pitches across at least 2 pitch types. Descriptive pitch-type Stuff+ composition. Not a promoted predictive metric.

Watch the pitches in 3D →

2026
Mithrandir Metrics PITCH ARSENAL DONUT Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Pitch Arsenal Abbott, Andrew · 2026 arsenal snapshot 4-Seam Fastball: 45.0%Sweeper: 19.7%Changeup: 19.2%Curveball: 13.2%Cutter: 2.9% FF45% · 92 mphprimary pitch FF 45%ST 20%CH 19%CU 13%FC 3% MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Mithrandir Metrics PITCH MOVEMENT Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Pitch Arsenal Abbott, Andrew · 2026 arsenal snapshot 15″30″45″60″ 4-Seam Fastball: 45% usage, 3″ horizontal break, 16″ drop, 92.5 mphFF92 mphSweeper: 20% usage, 2″ horizontal break, 42″ drop, 82.1 mphST82 mphChangeup: 19% usage, 14″ horizontal break, 28″ drop, 86.1 mphCH86 mphCurveball: 13% usage, 7″ horizontal break, 50″ drop, 79.7 mphCU80 mphCutter: 3% usage, 4″ horizontal break, 27″ drop, 89.0 mphFC89 mph less drop ↑ more drop ↓ · horizontal break ↔ · dot size = usage · break incl. gravity MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
PitchUsagePitchesStuff+Status
FB 45.7% 737 103 qualified
SL 19.6% 316 108 qualified
CH 19.2% 309 95 qualified
CB 13.7% 220 104 qualified
FC 1.8% 29 109 limited sample
Method note

Renamed from the attempted Kirby Index after audit; true Kirby requires release-angle trajectory data.

Reference layer

Current snapshot

Age27
Height6' 0"
Weight192 lb
Debut2023-06-05
Live layer

Delta / regression

ERA Δ-0.05
K% Δ-0.029

positive regression

Regression watch

Unlucky so far. Better days ahead.

1.1σ gap
wOBA-against (actual)0.368
xwOBA-against (deserved)0.340

Abbott’s wOBA-against sits at 0.368, but the quality of contact underneath says it should be 0.340 — a gap of 0.028, 1.1 standard deviations from the MLB norm over 153 IP. The results have been worse than the process deserves; as the sample grows, expect the numbers to climb back toward the underlying level.

Mithrandir coverage

Module shelf

ModuleCardsLatestSignal
Pitching292026-08-29Four-Seam Fastball played up through CH/ST tunnel quality
Projection links / recent games

Available detail

2026-05-20 @ PHI1 ER / 3 K5.1 IP
2026-04-12 vs LAA7 ER / 1 K3.0 IP
2026-04-07 @ MIA2 ER / 2 K5.1 IP
2026-04-01 vs PIT4 ER / 5 K5.2 IP
2026-03-26 vs BOS0 ER / 4 K6.0 IP