Reference layer
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Player profile / DET
Wenceel Pérez
Player · Bats/Throws S/R · 5' 11", 203 lb · Age 26
Club DET
Position --
Roster Injured 60-Day
Status IL-60
Traditional line
Season by season
| PA | R | H | HR | SB | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 425 | 51 | 94 | 9 | 9 | .242 | .300 | .383 | .683 |
| 2025 | 383 | 47 | 84 | 13 | 8 | .244 | .308 | .430 | .738 |
| 2026 | 175 | 22 | 29 | 7 | 3 | .180 | .246 | .348 | .594 |
| 3 Seasons | 983 | 120 | 207 | 29 | 20 | .232 | .294 | .395 | .689 |
At a glance
Season percentile report
The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.
30
Offense
percentile
percentile
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.309 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.272 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.292 |
| Observed weight | 46% |
xwOBA
0.267
0.279
0.292
0.305
0.316
wOBA
0.251
0.271
0.293
0.315
0.335
ISO
0.143
0.158
0.175
0.193
0.208
K%
16.5%
17.8%
19.4%
20.9%
22.2%
Live percentile strip
Current traits vs projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%6.3%
69
+35 vs proj
Exit velocity87.6
43
Hard-hit%33.8%
28
xBA0.248
4
xSLG0.425
20
xwOBA0.272
18
-27 vs proj
BB%7.9%
41
Bat speed69.1
42
K%17.4%
77
+18 vs proj
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Runs-0.7 · RF
29
Arm Strength85.8 · RF
5
Outs Above Avg0.0 · RF
46
Range Runs-2.6 · RF
23
Baserunning · percentile strip
Base Running Runs1.3 · RF
77
Sprint Speed28.2 · RF
73
SB Success Rate75.0% · RF
Small sample
Mithrandir+
Plate skills: swing decisions and pitch-type resistance
Our research metrics for how this hitter controls the strike zone and handles each pitch family.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 64.4% · rebadged research
44
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 25.6% · rebadged research
45
Correct Decisions65.8% · rebadged research
47
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.259 · borderline
93
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.266 · insufficient sample
87
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.288 · validated thin sample
29
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.315 · insufficient sample
89
Resists FastballwOBA 0.292 · validated
99
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.354 · validated
65
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline99
42
Rolling form chart
xwOBA snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
121 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Live layer
Delta / regression
| xwOBA Δ | -0.031 |
| wOBA Δ | -0.009 |
negative regression
Regression watch
Running hot. Expect some cooling.
Pérez’s wOBA sits at 0.293, but the quality of contact underneath says it should be 0.272 — a gap of 0.021, -0.6 standard deviations from the MLB norm over 190 PA. The results have outrun the underlying process; as the sample grows, expect the numbers to drift back toward the deserved level.
Mithrandir coverage
Module shelf
| Module | Cards | Latest | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hitting | 1 | 2026-03-24 | Impact contact was the main driver |
Projection links / recent games
Available detail
| Hitter Projections 20260.303 xwOBA | 12 HR | Projection |
| 2026-05-20 vs CLE0 HR | 0 RBI / 0 Ch | 0 E | 0-1 | K, R |
| 2026-04-20 @ BOS0 HR | 0 RBI / 0 Ch | 0 E | 0-1 |
| 2026-04-17 @ BOS0 HR | 0 RBI / 2 Ch | 0 E | 0-4 | K |
| 2026-04-15 vs KC1 HR | 1 RBI / 0 Ch | 0 E | 1-1 | HR, RBI, R |
| 2026-04-14 vs KC0 HR | 0 RBI / 3 Ch | 0 E | 0-3 | BB |