Mithrandir Metrics
Player Colorado Rockies Refreshed Jul 18 06:00 AM ET
Player profile / Colorado Rockies

Victor Vodnik

P · Bats/Throws R/R · 6' 0", 216 lb · Age 26

Cards
0
Modules
0
Live Δ
yes
Club Colorado Rockies Position P Roster Active Status Healthy / active roster
Traditional line

Season by season

3D Pitch Lab Projections
WLERAGGSSVIPSOWHIP
2024544.28640973.2651.48
2025433.025201050.2491.40
2026335.52270429.1231.74
4 Seasons13104.32149023162.11491.53
At a glance

Season percentile report

The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.

2026-07-18
17
Pitching
percentile
Pitching9 metrics
41
Arsenal6 metrics
39
Rolling projection

Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update

Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.

2026-07-18
ERA preseason3.84
ERA current pace5.72
ERA rolling p504.53
Observed weight37%
ERA
2.62 3.53 4.53 5.54 6.45
FIP
2.84 3.48 4.19 4.90 5.54
K%
16.5% 18.7% 21.2% 23.6% 25.8%
BB%
8.9% 10.5% 12.3% 14.1% 15.7%
Live percentile strip

Current traits vs projection tick

100th = best in MLB.

2026-07-18
Pitching · percentile strip
WHIP1.77
3
ERA5.72
14
BB%15.0%
4 -26 vs proj
K%18.6%
24 -29 vs proj
xwOBA allowed0.326
38
Barrel allowed6.6%
68 +16 vs proj
Fastball velo98.5
96
Hard-hit allowed36.3%
67
Whiff%23.0%
51
Mithrandir+

Stuff+ and arsenal context

How nasty this pitcher's stuff grades in our pitch-level model. Missing coverage is shown explicitly.

2026-07-18
Changeup Stuff+97
19
Cutter Stuff+114
100
Fastball Stuff+98
21
Mithrandir Stuff+98
22
Sinker Stuff+100
35
Slider Stuff+100
39
Rolling form chart

xwOBA allowed snapshot line

Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs

12 snapshots
Mithrandir Metrics ROLLING XWOBA LINE Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Rolling xwOBA allowed Vodnik, Victor · Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs LG AVG 0.314 0.326 2026-07-07: 0.3252026-07-08: 0.3252026-07-09: 0.3252026-07-10: 0.3252026-07-11: 0.3262026-07-12: 0.3262026-07-13: 0.3262026-07-14: 0.3262026-07-15: 0.3262026-07-16: 0.3262026-07-17: 0.3262026-07-18: 0.326 2026-07-07 2026-07-18 xwOBA allowed MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Optimization map

Arsenal optimization map

Pitch-shape context from this pitcher’s current arsenal snapshot. Hover a pitch to inspect usage, movement, and bat-missing context.

5Pitches 2026Season 48%Top usage
ride armside gloveside +Arsenal gap +Shape contrast
Zone profile

Aggregate zone heatmap

Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.

Mithrandir Metrics ZONE HEATMAP Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Pitch Zone Profile Vodnik, Victor · Aggregate zone metrics; not pitch-by-pitch locations Edge: 36%36%Zone: 43%43%Whiff: 23%23%Called strike: 14%14%First pitch strike: 42%42%Hard hit allowed: 36%36% Dashed border = aggregate mixed-batter zone proxy MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Pitch arsenal

Usage mix, movement map, and Stuff+ composition

2026 pitch-level arsenal aggregates; current season takes over after 100 tracked pitches across at least 2 pitch types. Descriptive pitch-type Stuff+ composition. Not a promoted predictive metric.

Watch the pitches in 3D →

2026
Mithrandir Metrics PITCH ARSENAL DONUT Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Pitch Arsenal Vodnik, Victor · 2026 arsenal snapshot 4-Seam Fastball: 48.4%Slider: 27.3%Changeup: 18.0%Sinker: 3.3%Cutter: 2.9% FF48% · 99 mphprimary pitch FF 48%SL 27%CH 18%SI 3%FC 3% MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Mithrandir Metrics PITCH MOVEMENT Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Pitch Arsenal Vodnik, Victor · 2026 arsenal snapshot 12″24″36″48″ 4-Seam Fastball: 48% usage, 0″ horizontal break, 15″ drop, 98.5 mphFF99 mphSlider: 27% usage, 1″ horizontal break, 38″ drop, 88.4 mphSL88 mphChangeup: 18% usage, 4″ horizontal break, 28″ drop, 92.5 mphCH93 mphSinker: 3% usage, 7″ horizontal break, 19″ drop, 98.8 mphSI99 mphCutter: 3% usage, 0″ horizontal break, 29″ drop, 92.8 mphFC93 mph less drop ↑ more drop ↓ · horizontal break ↔ · dot size = usage · break incl. gravity MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
PitchUsagePitchesStuff+Status
FB 48.8% 189 98 limited sample
SL 25.6% 99 100 limited sample
CH 18.3% 71 97 limited sample
SI 4.4% 17 100 limited sample
FC 2.8% 11 114 limited sample
Method note

Renamed from the attempted Kirby Index after audit; true Kirby requires release-angle trajectory data.

Reference layer

Current snapshot

Age26
Height6' 0"
Weight216 lb
Debut2023-09-09
Live layer

Delta / regression

ERA Δ+1.54
K% Δ-0.042

positive regression

Regression watch

Unlucky so far. Better days ahead.

1.6σ gap
wOBA-against (actual)0.382
xwOBA-against (deserved)0.326

Vodnik’s wOBA-against sits at 0.382, but the quality of contact underneath says it should be 0.326 — a gap of 0.057, 1.6 standard deviations from the MLB norm over 30 IP. The results have been worse than the process deserves; as the sample grows, expect the numbers to climb back toward the underlying level.

Mithrandir coverage

Module shelf

ModuleCardsLatestSignal
No Mithrandir card history is available for this player yet.
Projection links / recent games

Available detail

Pitcher Projections 202622.8% K | 4.18 ERAProjection
2026-04-12 @ SD0 ER / 1 K1.0 IP
2026-04-09 @ SD0 ER / 0 K2.0 IP
2026-04-05 vs PHI0 ER / 3 K1.0 IP
2026-04-04 vs PHI0 ER / 0 K1.0 IP
2026-04-01 @ TOR0 ER / 0 K1.0 IP