Reference layer
Current snapshot
| Age | 29 |
| Height | 6' 2" |
| Weight | 215 lb |
| Debut | 2022-07-31 |
Player profile / Detroit Tigers
James Outman
CF · Bats/Throws L/R · 6' 2", 215 lb · Age 29
Club Detroit Tigers
Position CF
Roster Active
Status Healthy / active roster
Traditional line
Season by season
| PA | R | H | HR | SB | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 156 | 12 | 20 | 4 | 2 | .147 | .256 | .265 | .521 |
| 2025 | 148 | 19 | 18 | 6 | 1 | .134 | .216 | .321 | .537 |
| 2026 | 136 | 18 | 19 | 3 | 6 | .152 | .221 | .288 | .509 |
| 5 Seasons | 1023 | 141 | 183 | 37 | 25 | .205 | .304 | .378 | .682 |
At a glance
Season percentile report
The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.
25
Offense
percentile
percentile
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.306 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.211 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.266 |
| Observed weight | 42% |
xwOBA
0.222
0.243
0.266
0.290
0.311
wOBA
0.241
0.262
0.287
0.311
0.333
ISO
0.110
0.137
0.168
0.198
0.226
K%
31.7%
33.9%
36.4%
38.9%
41.1%
Live percentile strip
Current traits vs projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%4.4%
41
-17 vs proj
Exit velocity87.4
39
Hard-hit%34.2%
28
-34 vs proj
xBA0.275
11
xSLG0.459
31
xwOBA0.211
2
-56 vs proj
BB%7.0%
30
-35 vs proj
Bat speed68.9
38
K%39.9%
0
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Runs0.4 · CF
64
Arm Strength90.9 · CF
29
Outs Above Avg1.0 · CF
80
Range Runs0.8 · CF
54
Baserunning · percentile strip
Bolts1.0 · CF
15
SB Success Rate80.0% · CF
45
Sprint Speed28.0 · CF
68
Mithrandir+
Plate skills: swing decisions and pitch-type resistance
Our research metrics for how this hitter controls the strike zone and handles each pitch family.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 65.7% · rebadged research
50
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 15.3% · rebadged research
97
Correct Decisions71.2% · rebadged research
90
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.282 · borderline
64
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.281 · insufficient sample
42
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.253 · validated thin sample
96
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.336 · insufficient sample
40
Resists FastballwOBA 0.317 · validated
87
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.373 · validated
18
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline110
89
Rolling form chart
xwOBA snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
57 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Live layer
Delta / regression
| xwOBA Δ | -0.103 |
| wOBA Δ | -0.027 |
negative regression
Regression watch
Running hot. Expect some cooling.
Outman’s wOBA sits at 0.287, but the quality of contact underneath says it should be 0.211 — a gap of 0.076, -2.2 standard deviations from the MLB norm over 158 PA. The results have outrun the underlying process; as the sample grows, expect the numbers to drift back toward the deserved level.
Mithrandir coverage
Module shelf
| Module | Cards | Latest | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| No Mithrandir card history is available for this player yet. | |||
Projection links / recent games
Available detail
| Hitter Projections 20260.313 xwOBA | 10 HR | Projection |
| 2026-05-20 vs HOU0 HR | 0 RBI / 2 Ch | 0 E | 1-3 | 2B |
| 2026-04-17 vs CIN0 HR | 0 RBI / 0 Ch | 0 E | 0-0 |
| 2026-04-15 vs BOS0 HR | 0 RBI / 0 Ch | 0 E | 0-0 | BB |
| 2026-04-13 vs BOS0 HR | 0 RBI / 0 Ch | 0 E | 0-0 |
| 2026-04-12 @ TOR0 HR | 0 RBI / 1 Ch | 0 E | 0-4 | 2 K |