Reference layer
Current snapshot
| Age | 29 |
| Height | 6' 2" |
| Weight | 215 lb |
| Debut | 2022-07-31 |
Player profile / Toledo Mud Hens
James Outman
CF · Bats/Throws L/R · 6' 2", 215 lb · Age 29
Club Toledo Mud Hens
Position CF
Roster Current MLB team
Status Out / inactive
Traditional line
Season by season
| PA | R | H | HR | SB | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 156 | 12 | 20 | 4 | 2 | .147 | .256 | .265 | .521 |
| 2025 | 148 | 19 | 18 | 6 | 1 | .134 | .216 | .321 | .537 |
| 2026 | 170 | 23 | 27 | 5 | 6 | .172 | .235 | .318 | .553 |
| 5 Seasons | 1057 | 146 | 191 | 39 | 25 | .207 | .304 | .380 | .684 |
At a glance
Season percentile report
The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.
35
Offense
percentile
percentile
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
Pending
Rolling player projection appears after current-season Statcast and projection joins refresh.
Live percentile strip
Current traits vs projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%4.1%
38
Exit velocity87.2
43
Hard-hit%38.4%
50
xBA0.295
25
xSLG0.498
49
xwOBA0.225
4
BB%5.7%
19
Bat speed69.0
41
K%39.2%
1
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Runs0.8 · CF
72
Arm Strength90.9 · CF
25
Outs Above Avg0.0 · CF
49
Range Runs1.6 · CF
64
Baserunning · percentile strip
Bolts1.0 · CF
11
SB Success Rate71.4% · CF
27
Sprint Speed28.0 · CF
66
Mithrandir+
Plate skills: swing decisions and pitch-type resistance
Our research metrics for how this hitter controls the strike zone and handles each pitch family.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 64.9% · rebadged research
49
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 16.1% · rebadged research
96
Correct Decisions70.3% · rebadged research
87
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.299 · borderline
29
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.281 · insufficient sample
41
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.253 · validated thin sample
95
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.331 · insufficient sample
38
Resists FastballwOBA 0.312 · validated
90
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.364 · validated
31
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline109
87
Rolling form chart
xwOBA snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
59 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Live layer
Delta / regression
| xwOBA Δ | -- |
| wOBA Δ | -- |
negative regression
Regression watch
Running hot. Expect some cooling.
Outman’s wOBA sits at 0.293, but the quality of contact underneath says it should be 0.225 — a gap of 0.068, -2.1 standard deviations from the MLB norm over 194 PA. The results have outrun the underlying process; as the sample grows, expect the numbers to drift back toward the deserved level.
Mithrandir coverage
Module shelf
| Module | Cards | Latest | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fielding | 6 | 2026-08-12 | 1 chances | 0 difficult plays | Run Exp -0.148 |
Projection links / recent games
Available detail
| 2026-05-20 vs HOU0 HR | 0 RBI / 2 Ch | 0 E | 1-3 | 2B |
| 2026-04-17 vs CIN0 HR | 0 RBI / 0 Ch | 0 E | 0-0 |
| 2026-04-15 vs BOS0 HR | 0 RBI / 0 Ch | 0 E | 0-0 | BB |
| 2026-04-13 vs BOS0 HR | 0 RBI / 0 Ch | 0 E | 0-0 |
| 2026-04-12 @ TOR0 HR | 0 RBI / 1 Ch | 0 E | 0-4 | 2 K |