Mithrandir Metrics
Player Cleveland Guardians Refreshed Jul 18 06:00 AM ET
Player profile / Cleveland Guardians

David Fry

RF · Bats/Throws R/R · 6' 1", 215 lb · Age 30

Cards
0
Modules
0
Live Δ
yes
Club Cleveland Guardians Position RF Roster Active Status Healthy / active roster
Traditional line

Season by season

PARHHRSBAVGOBPSLGOPS
20243924488144.263.356.448.804
2025157162581.171.229.363.592
2026149162660.203.315.375.690
4 Seasons81188163327.230.319.413.732
At a glance

Season percentile report

The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.

2026-07-18
25
Offense
percentile
Offense9 metrics
32
Defense4 metrics
54
Speed1 metrics
23
Plate skills10 metrics
42
Rolling projection

Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update

Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.

2026-07-18
xwOBA preseason0.295
xwOBA current pace0.263
xwOBA rolling p500.282
Observed weight43%
xwOBA
0.244 0.262 0.282 0.301 0.319
wOBA
0.314 0.336 0.361 0.387 0.409
ISO
0.132 0.155 0.182 0.208 0.231
K%
22.8% 24.7% 26.7% 28.7% 30.5%
Live percentile strip

Current traits vs projection tick

100th = best in MLB.

2026-07-18
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%4.2%
38
Exit velocity85.9
25
Hard-hit%36.2%
36
xBA0.276
12
xSLG0.436
24
xwOBA0.263
13 -30 vs proj
BB%13.3%
90 +40 vs proj
Bat speed68.5
33
K%29.1%
18
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Runs-0.9 · LF
26
Arm Strength100.6 · LF
95
Outs Above Avg0.0 · LF
46
Range Runs0.5 · LF
51
Blocking Runs-0.7 · LF
Small sample
Catcher Throwing-0.4 · LF
Small sample
Framing Runs-0.2 · LF
Small sample
Pop Time1.9 · LF
Small sample
Baserunning · percentile strip
Sprint Speed26.3 · DH
23
Mithrandir+

Plate skills: swing decisions and pitch-type resistance

Our research metrics for how this hitter controls the strike zone and handles each pitch family.

2026-07-18
Avoids Bad ChasesST 69.1% · rebadged research
68
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 27.8% · rebadged research
25
Correct Decisions64.9% · rebadged research
37
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.303 · borderline
20
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.264 · insufficient sample
91
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.276 · validated thin sample
65
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.346 · insufficient sample
20
Resists FastballwOBA 0.347 · validated
34
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.383 · validated
10
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline101
54
Rolling form chart

xwOBA snapshot line

Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs

12 snapshots
Mithrandir Metrics ROLLING XWOBA LINE Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Rolling xwOBA Fry, David · Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs LG AVG 0.308 0.263 2026-07-07: 0.2722026-07-08: 0.2722026-07-09: 0.2702026-07-10: 0.2652026-07-11: 0.2632026-07-12: 0.2632026-07-13: 0.2632026-07-14: 0.2632026-07-15: 0.2632026-07-16: 0.2632026-07-17: 0.2632026-07-18: 0.263 2026-07-07 2026-07-18 xwOBA MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Spray profile

Field-coordinate spray profile

76 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.

Mithrandir Metrics SPRAY CHART Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Spray Chart Fry, David · Statcast batted-ball landing coordinates Left field third: 26% of plotted batted ballsPull 26%Center field third: 67% of plotted batted ballsCenter 67%Right field third: 7% of plotted batted ballsOppo 7% LF 325 CF 400 RF 325 2026-03-15 · home run · FF · fly_ball · EV 109.6 / LA 25.02026-03-15 · field out · FC · popup · EV 82.0 / LA 76.02026-03-15 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 100.6 / LA 39.02026-03-15 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 54.8 / LA -52.02026-03-19 · double · FF · ground_ball · EV 101.8 / LA 5.02026-03-19 · field out · FC · popup · EV 83.1 / LA 66.02026-03-21 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 76.1 / LA -11.02026-03-21 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 94.8 / LA 63.02026-03-21 · field out · FF · line_drive · EV 95.4 / LA 11.02026-03-21 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 85.3 / LA 37.02026-03-23 · double · SI · line_drive · EV 102.0 / LA 16.02026-03-24 · single · SV · ground_ball · EV 102.6 / LA 5.02026-03-28 · double · FF · fly_ball · EV 100.2 / LA 25.02026-03-28 · single · FF · popup · EV 62.3 / LA 44.02026-03-29 · field out · ST · fly_ball · EV 97.9 / LA 28.02026-04-05 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 86.0 / LA 51.02026-04-05 · single · FF · line_drive · EV 102.9 / LA 14.02026-04-06 · field out · CH · fly_ball · EV 84.7 / LA 49.02026-04-07 · field out · FC · fly_ball · EV 92.2 / LA 31.02026-04-08 · field out · CU · fly_ball · EV 83.9 / LA 37.02026-04-11 · field out · FC · popup · EV 54.6 / LA 78.02026-04-12 · single · SL · line_drive · EV 76.6 / LA 22.02026-04-13 · field out · FF · line_drive · EV 100.2 / LA 10.02026-04-13 · single · FF · line_drive · EV 105.4 / LA 8.02026-04-13 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 96.9 / LA 50.02026-04-14 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 90.2 / LA -14.02026-04-14 · grounded into double play · CH · ground_ball · EV 98.9 / LA 2.02026-04-19 · single · ST · line_drive · EV 78.6 / LA 16.02026-04-19 · single · SL · ground_ball · EV 89.8 / LA -15.02026-04-25 · home run · SL · fly_ball · EV 100.8 / LA 42.02026-04-25 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 78.6 / LA 36.02026-04-26 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 78.9 / LA -24.02026-04-27 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 92.9 / LA -2.02026-05-02 · force out · SL · ground_ball · EV 70.1 / LA -18.02026-05-02 · home run · FF · fly_ball · EV 99.9 / LA 42.02026-05-04 · home run · FC · fly_ball · EV 100.2 / LA 29.02026-05-04 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 101.4 / LA -10.02026-05-04 · single · SL · line_drive · EV 90.0 / LA 17.02026-05-06 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 91.7 / LA -8.02026-05-06 · field out · FC · fly_ball · EV 82.5 / LA 37.02026-05-06 · field out · SL · ground_ball · EV 97.9 / LA -8.02026-05-08 · field out · FF · popup · EV 71.3 / LA 86.02026-05-08 · force out · CU · ground_ball · EV 61.3 / LA -15.02026-05-08 · single · FF · line_drive · EV 98.2 / LA 13.02026-05-09 · field out · ST · fly_ball · EV 84.4 / LA 60.02026-05-10 · single · SI · line_drive · EV 78.2 / LA 23.02026-05-11 · single · SI · ground_ball · EV 95.8 / LA 2.02026-05-11 · double · SI · ground_ball · EV 93.9 / LA -4.02026-05-11 · field out · SL · popup · EV 78.7 / LA 56.02026-05-12 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 71.7 / LA 40.02026-05-13 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 52.8 / LA -71.02026-05-13 · grounded into double play · CH · ground_ball · EV 77.7 / LA 5.02026-05-15 · field out · ST · ground_ball · EV 83.2 / LA -16.02026-05-18 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 57.0 / LA -3.02026-05-18 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 79.6 / LA 32.02026-05-20 · field out · CU · ground_ball · EV 80.1 / LA -22.02026-05-22 · grounded into double play · SL · ground_ball · EV 86.0 / LA 0.02026-05-22 · single · SI · line_drive · EV 106.2 / LA 12.02026-05-22 · single · CH · line_drive · EV 106.7 / LA 9.02026-05-24 · field out · SL · ground_ball · EV 74.6 / LA -25.02026-05-24 · single · SL · ground_ball · EV 100.7 / LA 5.02026-05-24 · field out · ST · popup · EV 89.0 / LA 59.02026-05-31 · single · SI · line_drive · EV 100.8 / LA 9.02026-05-31 · single · FC · fly_ball · EV 73.1 / LA 25.02026-05-31 · double · CH · line_drive · EV 84.7 / LA 20.02026-06-05 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 89.4 / LA -5.02026-06-07 · double · SI · line_drive · EV 104.6 / LA 22.02026-06-18 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 83.8 / LA 50.02026-06-18 · home run · SI · fly_ball · EV 100.2 / LA 34.02026-06-22 · field out · FF · line_drive · EV 51.1 / LA 28.02026-06-24 · fielders choice · ST · ground_ball · EV 91.8 / LA 7.02026-06-24 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 80.7 / LA 5.02026-06-24 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 97.6 / LA 43.02026-06-26 · field out · SI · fly_ball · EV 99.6 / LA 32.02026-07-01 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 98.4 / LA -9.02026-07-01 · home run · FF · fly_ball · EV 98.7 / LA 36.0 1B2B3BHROut Zone shading = batted-ball density by field third · hover dots for date, pitch, EV, and LA. MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Zone profile

Aggregate zone heatmap

Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.

Mithrandir Metrics ZONE HEATMAP Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Swing Zone Profile Fry, David · Aggregate zone metrics; not pitch-by-pitch locations Zone: 46%46%Chase: 26%26%Whiff: 28%28%Zone contact: 79%79%Contact: 72%72%Hard hit: 36%36% Dashed border = aggregate mixed-batter zone proxy MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Reference layer

Current snapshot

Age30
Height6' 1"
Weight215 lb
Debut2023-05-01
Live layer

Delta / regression

xwOBA Δ-0.036
wOBA Δ+0.062

negative regression

Regression watch

Running hot. Expect some cooling.

-2.8σ gap
wOBA (actual)0.361
xwOBA (deserved)0.263

Fry’s wOBA sits at 0.361, but the quality of contact underneath says it should be 0.263 — a gap of 0.098, -2.8 standard deviations from the MLB norm over 165 PA. The results have outrun the underlying process; as the sample grows, expect the numbers to drift back toward the deserved level.

Mithrandir coverage

Module shelf

ModuleCardsLatestSignal
No Mithrandir card history is available for this player yet.
Projection links / recent games

Available detail

Hitter Projections 20260.300 xwOBA | 12 HRProjection
2026-05-20 @ DET0 HR | 0 RBI / 2 Ch | 0 E0-1 | BB
2026-04-14 @ STL0 HR | 0 RBI / 4 Ch | 0 E0-2
2026-04-13 @ STL0 HR | 0 RBI / 0 Ch | 0 E1-4 | BB, K, 2 R
2026-04-12 @ ATL0 HR | 0 RBI / 4 Ch | 0 E1-4 | 3 K
2026-04-11 @ ATL0 HR | 0 RBI / 1 Ch | 0 E0-2 | K