Mithrandir Metrics
Player Los Angeles Dodgers Refreshed Oct 16 06:00 AM ET
Player profile / Los Angeles Dodgers

Alex Vesia

P · Bats/Throws L/L · 6' 1", 209 lb · Age 30

Cards
0
Modules
0
Live Δ
yes
Club Los Angeles Dodgers Position P Roster Current MLB team Status Healthy / active roster
Traditional line

Season by season

3D Pitch Lab Projections
WLERAGGSSVIPSOWHIP
2024541.76670566.1870.99
2025423.02680559.2800.99
2026312.64720358.0741.07
7 Seasons22142.87372116332.14431.11
At a glance

Season percentile report

The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.

2026-10-16
74
Pitching
percentile
Pitching9 metrics
70
Arsenal4 metrics
60
Rolling projection

Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update

Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.

2026-10-16
ERA preseason3.23
ERA current pace2.64
ERA rolling p502.92
Observed weight52%
ERA
1.45 2.15 2.92 3.69 4.39
FIP
1.82 2.66 3.60 4.53 5.37
K%
26.5% 28.5% 30.7% 33.0% 35.0%
BB%
9.6% 10.8% 12.2% 13.5% 14.7%
Live percentile strip

Current traits vs projection tick

100th = best in MLB.

2026-10-16
Pitching · percentile strip
WHIP1.10
86
ERA2.64
90
BB%13.8%
7 -25 vs proj
K%30.7%
95
xwOBA allowed0.256
95 +20 vs proj
Barrel allowed6.2%
71 +51 vs proj
Fastball velo92.1
16
Hard-hit allowed34.7%
78
Whiff%31.5%
96 +16 vs proj
Mithrandir+

Stuff+ and arsenal context

How nasty this pitcher's stuff grades in our pitch-level model. Missing coverage is shown explicitly.

2026-10-16
Fastball Stuff+106
78
Mithrandir Stuff+104
72
Slider Stuff+102
54
Changeup Stuff+100
37
Rolling form chart

xwOBA allowed snapshot line

Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs

12 snapshots
Mithrandir Metrics ROLLING XWOBA LINE Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Rolling xwOBA allowed Vesia, Alex · Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs LG AVG 0.314 0.256 2026-10-05: 0.2512026-10-06: 0.2512026-10-07: 0.2512026-10-08: 0.2552026-10-09: 0.2552026-10-10: 0.2552026-10-11: 0.2552026-10-12: 0.2552026-10-13: 0.2542026-10-14: 0.2542026-10-15: 0.2542026-10-16: 0.256 2026-10-05 2026-10-16 xwOBA allowed MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Optimization map

Arsenal optimization map

Pitch-shape context from this pitcher’s current arsenal snapshot. Hover a pitch to inspect usage, movement, and bat-missing context.

3Pitches 2026Season 56%Top usage
ride armside gloveside +Arsenal gap +Shape contrast
Zone profile

Aggregate zone heatmap

Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.

Mithrandir Metrics ZONE HEATMAP Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Pitch Zone Profile Vesia, Alex · Aggregate zone metrics; not pitch-by-pitch locations Edge: 33%33%Zone: 45%45%Whiff: 32%32%Called strike: 15%15%First pitch strike: 54%54%Hard hit allowed: 35%35% Dashed border = aggregate mixed-batter zone proxy MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Pitch arsenal

Usage mix, movement map, and Stuff+ composition

2026 pitch-level arsenal aggregates; current season takes over after 100 tracked pitches across at least 2 pitch types. Descriptive pitch-type Stuff+ composition. Not a promoted predictive metric.

Watch the pitches in 3D →

2026
Mithrandir Metrics PITCH ARSENAL DONUT Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Pitch Arsenal Vesia, Alex · 2026 arsenal snapshot 4-Seam Fastball: 55.6%Slider: 30.8%Changeup: 13.6% FF56% · 92 mphprimary pitch FF 56%SL 31%CH 14% MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Mithrandir Metrics PITCH MOVEMENT Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Pitch Arsenal Vesia, Alex · 2026 arsenal snapshot 9″18″27″36″ 4-Seam Fastball: 56% usage, 0″ horizontal break, 11″ drop, 92.1 mphFF92 mphSlider: 31% usage, 1″ horizontal break, 35″ drop, 84.4 mphSL84 mphChangeup: 14% usage, 9″ horizontal break, 25″ drop, 82.7 mphCH83 mph less drop ↑ more drop ↓ · horizontal break ↔ · dot size = usage · break incl. gravity MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
PitchUsagePitchesStuff+Status
FB 57.7% 393 106 qualified
SL 29.4% 200 102 qualified
CH 12.9% 88 100 limited sample
Method note

Renamed from the attempted Kirby Index after audit; true Kirby requires release-angle trajectory data.

Reference layer

Current snapshot

Age30
Height6' 1"
Weight209 lb
Debut2020-07-25
Live layer

Delta / regression

ERA Δ-0.73
K% Δ+0.027

positive regression

Regression watch

Unlucky so far. Better days ahead.

0.2σ gap
wOBA-against (actual)0.261
xwOBA-against (deserved)0.256

Vesia’s wOBA-against sits at 0.261, but the quality of contact underneath says it should be 0.256 — a gap of 0.006, 0.2 standard deviations from the MLB norm over 63 IP. The results have been worse than the process deserves; as the sample grows, expect the numbers to climb back toward the underlying level.

Mithrandir coverage

Module shelf

ModuleCardsLatestSignal
No Mithrandir card history is available for this player yet.
Projection links / recent games

Available detail

2026-04-14 vs NYM0 ER / 3 K1.0 IP
2026-04-11 vs TEX0 ER / 1 K0.1 IP
2026-04-07 @ TOR0 ER / 1 K1.0 IP
2026-04-05 @ WSH0 ER / 0 K1.0 IP
2026-03-31 vs CLE0 ER / 1 K1.0 IP