Mithrandir Metrics
Player Los Angeles Dodgers Refreshed Jul 19 06:00 AM ET
Player profile / Los Angeles Dodgers

Alex Vesia

P · Bats/Throws L/L · 6' 1", 209 lb · Age 30

Cards
0
Modules
0
Live Δ
yes
Club Los Angeles Dodgers Position P Roster Active Status Healthy / active roster
Traditional line

Season by season

3D Pitch Lab Projections
WLERAGGSSVIPSOWHIP
2024541.76670566.1870.99
2025423.02680559.2800.99
2026112.20430332.2451.19
7 Seasons20142.84343116307.04141.13
At a glance

Season percentile report

The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.

2026-07-19
69
Pitching
percentile
Pitching9 metrics
69
Arsenal4 metrics
66
Rolling projection

Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update

Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.

2026-07-19
ERA preseason3.23
ERA current pace2.27
ERA rolling p502.86
Observed weight38%
ERA
1.36 2.07 2.86 3.65 4.36
FIP
1.65 2.51 3.47 4.43 5.29
K%
25.8% 28.3% 31.1% 33.9% 36.4%
BB%
9.5% 11.0% 12.6% 14.2% 15.6%
Live percentile strip

Current traits vs projection tick

100th = best in MLB.

2026-07-19
Pitching · percentile strip
WHIP1.24
64
ERA2.27
91
BB%16.1%
2 -28 vs proj
K%31.5%
96
xwOBA allowed0.264
92 +23 vs proj
Barrel allowed5.1%
85 +60 vs proj
Fastball velo91.8
14
Hard-hit allowed34.6%
79
Whiff%33.3%
98 +22 vs proj
Mithrandir+

Stuff+ and arsenal context

How nasty this pitcher's stuff grades in our pitch-level model. Missing coverage is shown explicitly.

2026-07-19
Fastball Stuff+104
69
Changeup Stuff+103
56
Mithrandir Stuff+104
72
Slider Stuff+104
67
Rolling form chart

xwOBA allowed snapshot line

Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs

12 snapshots
Mithrandir Metrics ROLLING XWOBA LINE Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Rolling xwOBA allowed Vesia, Alex · Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs LG AVG 0.314 0.264 2026-07-08: 0.2582026-07-09: 0.2582026-07-10: 0.2552026-07-11: 0.2552026-07-12: 0.2542026-07-13: 0.2542026-07-14: 0.2542026-07-15: 0.2542026-07-16: 0.2542026-07-17: 0.2542026-07-18: 0.2542026-07-19: 0.264 2026-07-08 2026-07-19 xwOBA allowed MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Optimization map

Arsenal optimization map

Pitch-shape context from this pitcher’s current arsenal snapshot. Hover a pitch to inspect usage, movement, and bat-missing context.

3Pitches 2026Season 52%Top usage
ride armside gloveside +Arsenal gap +Shape contrast
Zone profile

Aggregate zone heatmap

Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.

Mithrandir Metrics ZONE HEATMAP Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Pitch Zone Profile Vesia, Alex · Aggregate zone metrics; not pitch-by-pitch locations Edge: 34%34%Zone: 42%42%Whiff: 33%33%Called strike: 15%15%First pitch strike: 52%52%Hard hit allowed: 35%35% Dashed border = aggregate mixed-batter zone proxy MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Pitch arsenal

Usage mix, movement map, and Stuff+ composition

2026 pitch-level arsenal aggregates; current season takes over after 100 tracked pitches across at least 2 pitch types. Descriptive pitch-type Stuff+ composition. Not a promoted predictive metric.

Watch the pitches in 3D →

2026
Mithrandir Metrics PITCH ARSENAL DONUT Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Pitch Arsenal Vesia, Alex · 2026 arsenal snapshot 4-Seam Fastball: 52.0%Slider: 33.1%Changeup: 14.9% FF52% · 92 mphprimary pitch FF 52%SL 33%CH 15% MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Mithrandir Metrics PITCH MOVEMENT Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Pitch Arsenal Vesia, Alex · 2026 arsenal snapshot 9″18″27″36″ 4-Seam Fastball: 52% usage, 1″ horizontal break, 11″ drop, 91.8 mphFF92 mphSlider: 33% usage, 1″ horizontal break, 36″ drop, 83.8 mphSL84 mphChangeup: 15% usage, 10″ horizontal break, 25″ drop, 82.5 mphCH82 mph less drop ↑ more drop ↓ · horizontal break ↔ · dot size = usage · break incl. gravity MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
PitchUsagePitchesStuff+Status
FB 55.0% 233 104 qualified
SL 31.6% 134 104 limited sample
CH 13.4% 57 103 limited sample
Method note

Renamed from the attempted Kirby Index after audit; true Kirby requires release-angle trajectory data.

Reference layer

Current snapshot

Age30
Height6' 1"
Weight209 lb
Debut2020-07-25
Live layer

Delta / regression

ERA Δ-1.10
K% Δ+0.036

positive regression

Regression watch

Unlucky so far. Better days ahead.

0.2σ gap
wOBA-against (actual)0.271
xwOBA-against (deserved)0.264

Vesia’s wOBA-against sits at 0.271, but the quality of contact underneath says it should be 0.264 — a gap of 0.006, 0.2 standard deviations from the MLB norm over 35 IP. The results have been worse than the process deserves; as the sample grows, expect the numbers to climb back toward the underlying level.

Mithrandir coverage

Module shelf

ModuleCardsLatestSignal
No Mithrandir card history is available for this player yet.
Projection links / recent games

Available detail

Pitcher Projections 202628.0% K | 3.37 ERAProjection
2026-04-14 vs NYM0 ER / 3 K1.0 IP
2026-04-11 vs TEX0 ER / 1 K0.1 IP
2026-04-07 @ TOR0 ER / 1 K1.0 IP
2026-04-05 @ WSH0 ER / 0 K1.0 IP
2026-03-31 vs CLE0 ER / 1 K1.0 IP