Mithrandir Metrics
Player Cincinnati Reds Refreshed Jul 19 06:00 AM ET
Player profile / Cincinnati Reds

Noelvi Marte

RF · Bats/Throws R/R · 6' 2", 216 lb · Age 24

Cards
0
Modules
0
Live Δ
yes
Club Cincinnati Reds Position RF Roster Active Status Healthy / active roster
Traditional line

Season by season

PARHHRSBAVGOBPSLGOPS
2024242244849.210.248.301.549
202536045891410.263.300.448.748
2026141162665.197.248.379.627
4 Seasons8661001992730.244.286.397.683
At a glance

Season percentile report

The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.

2026-07-19
33
Offense
percentile
Offense9 metrics
34
Defense4 metrics
30
Speed2 metrics
62
Plate skills10 metrics
46
Rolling projection

Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update

Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.

2026-07-19
xwOBA preseason0.305
xwOBA current pace0.265
xwOBA rolling p500.288
Observed weight42%
xwOBA
0.253 0.270 0.288 0.307 0.323
wOBA
0.273 0.295 0.321 0.346 0.368
ISO
0.137 0.154 0.173 0.192 0.209
K%
21.1% 23.0% 25.0% 27.0% 28.8%
Live percentile strip

Current traits vs projection tick

100th = best in MLB.

2026-07-19
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%4.5%
42
Exit velocity88.7
57
Hard-hit%34.6%
30 -19 vs proj
xBA0.284
16
xSLG0.477
38
xwOBA0.265
13 -35 vs proj
BB%5.7%
19
Bat speed70.2
58
K%26.1%
31
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Runs-1.2 · RF
14
Arm Strength97.0 · RF
78
Outs Above Avg-2.0 · RF
11
Range Runs-3.3 · RF
16
Baserunning · percentile strip
Bolts2.0 · RF
33
Sprint Speed29.1 · RF
92
SB Success Rate100.0% · RF
Small sample
Mithrandir+

Plate skills: swing decisions and pitch-type resistance

Our research metrics for how this hitter controls the strike zone and handles each pitch family.

2026-07-19
Avoids Bad ChasesST 55.2% · rebadged research
11
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 23.1% · rebadged research
70
Correct Decisions60.3% · rebadged research
10
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.292 · borderline
39
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.290 · insufficient sample
20
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.282 · validated thin sample
44
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.319 · insufficient sample
83
Resists FastballwOBA 0.321 · validated
82
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.345 · validated
84
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline93
16
Rolling form chart

xwOBA snapshot line

Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs

12 snapshots
Mithrandir Metrics ROLLING XWOBA LINE Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Rolling xwOBA Marte, Noelvi · Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs LG AVG 0.308 0.265 2026-07-08: 0.2822026-07-09: 0.2822026-07-10: 0.2772026-07-11: 0.2742026-07-12: 0.2712026-07-13: 0.2682026-07-14: 0.2652026-07-15: 0.2652026-07-16: 0.2652026-07-17: 0.2652026-07-18: 0.2652026-07-19: 0.265 2026-07-08 2026-07-19 xwOBA MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Spray profile

Field-coordinate spray profile

53 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.

Mithrandir Metrics SPRAY CHART Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Spray Chart Marte, Noelvi · Statcast batted-ball landing coordinates Left field third: 15% of plotted batted ballsPull 15%Center field third: 75% of plotted batted ballsCenter 75%Right field third: 9% of plotted batted ballsOppo 9% LF 328 CF 404 RF 325 2026-03-15 · force out · SI · ground_ball · EV 102.6 / LA -20.02026-03-17 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 99.0 / LA 45.02026-03-17 · home run · CH · fly_ball · EV 109.0 / LA 28.02026-03-18 · field out · SL · line_drive · EV 104.4 / LA 19.02026-03-18 · field out · SI · popup · EV 65.7 / LA 51.02026-03-20 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 54.1 / LA -69.02026-03-20 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 101.4 / LA 49.02026-03-21 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 102.3 / LA -4.02026-03-21 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 101.1 / LA -14.02026-03-22 · single · SI · ground_ball · EV 80.4 / LA -73.02026-03-22 · home run · ST · fly_ball · EV 96.0 / LA 29.02026-03-23 · grounded into double play · SI · ground_ball · EV 92.8 / LA 6.02026-03-23 · field out · CH · fly_ball · EV 91.8 / LA 26.02026-03-24 · grounded into double play · CH · ground_ball · EV 94.7 / LA -18.02026-03-29 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 96.8 / LA -15.02026-03-29 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 101.6 / LA 53.02026-03-31 · field out · SL · popup · EV 79.3 / LA 67.02026-04-03 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 76.5 / LA -2.02026-04-05 · single · CH · ground_ball · EV 49.2 / LA -67.02026-04-05 · field out · SL · ground_ball · EV 99.0 / LA -14.02026-04-07 · field out · SL · ground_ball · EV 94.4 / LA -16.02026-04-07 · single · FF · ground_ball · EV 106.0 / LA -16.02026-04-07 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 100.0 / LA -5.02026-04-08 · field out · SL · ground_ball · EV 103.2 / LA -4.02026-04-08 · field out · CU · ground_ball · EV 78.9 / LA 9.02026-04-08 · single · SL · ground_ball · EV 93.2 / LA -9.02026-04-11 · fielders choice out · FF · ground_ball · EV 78.6 / LA -36.02026-04-11 · force out · FF · ground_ball · EV 68.4 / LA 1.02026-04-11 · field out · CH · fly_ball · EV 75.4 / LA 43.02026-04-11 · single · FF · ground_ball · EV 88.7 / LA 7.02026-04-12 · field out · KC · ground_ball · EV 52.1 / LA 7.02026-04-12 · force out · FS · ground_ball · EV 91.5 / LA -6.02026-04-12 · field error · SL · ground_ball · EV 80.2 / LA -11.02026-06-05 · single · ST · line_drive · EV 93.7 / LA 15.02026-06-05 · field out · SL · line_drive · EV 94.1 / LA 24.02026-06-05 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 88.1 / LA 3.02026-06-05 · field out · SI · line_drive · EV 83.2 / LA 13.02026-06-15 · field out · FC · fly_ball · EV 78.1 / LA 37.02026-06-15 · field out · FC · ground_ball · EV 85.6 / LA -13.02026-06-15 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 90.6 / LA 3.02026-06-20 · field out · SI · popup · EV 63.8 / LA 52.02026-06-20 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 88.4 / LA 5.02026-06-20 · double · ST · line_drive · EV 93.9 / LA 26.02026-06-22 · field out · SI · line_drive · EV 108.2 / LA 7.02026-06-24 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 112.8 / LA 1.02026-06-24 · field out · FC · line_drive · EV 90.0 / LA 10.02026-06-26 · home run · SI · line_drive · EV 108.9 / LA 20.02026-06-30 · field out · FF · popup · EV 78.9 / LA 78.02026-06-30 · single · SI · ground_ball · EV 109.5 / LA -7.02026-07-01 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 87.1 / LA 35.02026-07-01 · field out · KC · ground_ball · EV 63.6 / LA -6.02026-07-01 · field out · SI · fly_ball · EV 83.2 / LA 30.02026-07-01 · home run · CU · line_drive · EV 107.4 / LA 22.0 1B2B3BHROut Zone shading = batted-ball density by field third · hover dots for date, pitch, EV, and LA. MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Zone profile

Aggregate zone heatmap

Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.

Mithrandir Metrics ZONE HEATMAP Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Swing Zone Profile Marte, Noelvi · Aggregate zone metrics; not pitch-by-pitch locations Zone: 44%44%Chase: 38%38%Whiff: 24%24%Zone contact: 90%90%Contact: 76%76%Hard hit: 35%35% Dashed border = aggregate mixed-batter zone proxy MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Reference layer

Current snapshot

Age24
Height6' 2"
Weight216 lb
Debut2023-08-19
Live layer

Delta / regression

xwOBA Δ-0.041
wOBA Δ+0.015

negative regression

Regression watch

Running hot. Expect some cooling.

-1.6σ gap
wOBA (actual)0.321
xwOBA (deserved)0.265

Marte’s wOBA sits at 0.321, but the quality of contact underneath says it should be 0.265 — a gap of 0.056, -1.6 standard deviations from the MLB norm over 157 PA. The results have outrun the underlying process; as the sample grows, expect the numbers to drift back toward the deserved level.

Mithrandir coverage

Module shelf

ModuleCardsLatestSignal
No Mithrandir card history is available for this player yet.
Projection links / recent games

Available detail

Hitter Projections 20260.306 xwOBA | 13 HRProjection
2026-04-12 vs LAA0 HR | 0 RBI / 3 Ch | 0 E0-4 | K
2026-04-11 vs LAA0 HR | 0 RBI / 2 Ch | 0 E1-4 | R, CS
2026-04-08 @ MIA0 HR | 0 RBI / 0 Ch | 0 E1-4 | K
2026-04-07 @ MIA0 HR | 0 RBI / 2 Ch | 0 E1-4 | K, SB
2026-04-05 @ TEX0 HR | 0 RBI / 1 Ch | 0 E1-2