Mithrandir Metrics
Player Kansas City Royals Refreshed Jun 12 06:00 AM ET
Player profile / Kansas City Royals

Nick Mears

P · Bats/Throws R/R · 6' 3", 217 lb · Age 29

Cards
0
Modules
0
Live Δ
yes
Club Kansas City Royals Position P Roster Injured 15-Day Status IL-15
Traditional line

Season by season

3D Pitch Lab Projections
WLERAGGSSVIPSOWHIP
2024155.93540057.2751.47
2025533.49630156.2460.97
2026235.12210019.1151.50
7 Seasons9124.6619001183.11891.35
At a glance

Season percentile report

The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.

2026-06-12
12
Pitching
percentile
Pitching9 metrics
15
Arsenal6 metrics
49
Rolling projection

Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update

Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.

2026-06-12
ERA preseason3.93
ERA current pace5.12
ERA rolling p504.27
Observed weight28%
ERA
2.59 3.38 4.27 5.15 5.95
FIP
2.87 3.58 4.37 5.16 5.87
K%
19.1% 21.2% 23.5% 25.8% 27.9%
BB%
6.9% 8.4% 9.9% 11.5% 12.9%
Live percentile strip

Current traits vs projection tick

100th = best in MLB.

2026-06-12
Pitching · percentile strip
WHIP1.67
7
ERA5.12
23
BB%13.7%
10 -36 vs proj
K%17.9%
19 -41 vs proj
xwOBA allowed0.382
4 -49 vs proj
Barrel allowed12.5%
6 -37 vs proj
Fastball velo94.5
53
Hard-hit allowed51.6%
1
Whiff%17.8%
12 -49 vs proj
Mithrandir+

Stuff+ and arsenal context

How nasty this pitcher's stuff grades in our pitch-level model. Missing coverage is shown explicitly.

2026-06-12
Changeup Stuff+98
21
Curveball Stuff+102
60
Fastball Stuff+99
26
Mithrandir Stuff+101
42
Sinker Stuff+110
96
Slider Stuff+101
48
Rolling form chart

xwOBA allowed snapshot line

Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs

12 snapshots
Mithrandir Metrics ROLLING XWOBA LINE Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Rolling xwOBA allowed Mears, Nick · Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs LG AVG 0.313 0.382 2026-06-01: 0.3822026-06-02: 0.3822026-06-03: 0.3822026-06-04: 0.3822026-06-05: 0.3822026-06-06: 0.3822026-06-07: 0.3822026-06-08: 0.3822026-06-09: 0.3822026-06-10: 0.3822026-06-11: 0.3822026-06-12: 0.382 2026-06-01 2026-06-12 xwOBA allowed MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Optimization map

Arsenal optimization map

Pitch-shape context from this pitcher’s current arsenal snapshot. Hover a pitch to inspect usage, movement, and bat-missing context.

5Pitches 2026Season 37%Top usage
ride armside gloveside +Arsenal gap +Shape contrast
Zone profile

Aggregate zone heatmap

Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.

Mithrandir Metrics ZONE HEATMAP Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Pitch Zone Profile Mears, Nick · Aggregate zone metrics; not pitch-by-pitch locations Edge: 34%34%Zone: 44%44%Whiff: 18%18%Called strike: 17%17%First pitch strike: 46%46%Hard hit allowed: 52%52% Dashed border = aggregate mixed-batter zone proxy MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Pitch arsenal

Usage mix, movement map, and Stuff+ composition

2026 pitch-level arsenal aggregates; current season takes over after 100 tracked pitches across at least 2 pitch types. Descriptive pitch-type Stuff+ composition. Not a promoted predictive metric.

Watch the pitches in 3D →

2026
Mithrandir Metrics PITCH ARSENAL DONUT Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Pitch Arsenal Mears, Nick · 2026 arsenal snapshot 4-Seam Fastball: 37.0%Slider: 28.1%Curveball: 13.2%Sinker: 11.1%Changeup: 10.6% FF37% · 95 mphprimary pitch FF 37%SL 28%CU 13%SI 11%CH 11% MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Mithrandir Metrics PITCH MOVEMENT Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Pitch Arsenal Mears, Nick · 2026 arsenal snapshot 15″30″45″60″ 4-Seam Fastball: 37% usage, 2″ horizontal break, 12″ drop, 94.8 mphFF95 mphSlider: 28% usage, 1″ horizontal break, 41″ drop, 84.7 mphSL85 mphCurveball: 13% usage, 3″ horizontal break, 56″ drop, 81.3 mphCU81 mphSinker: 11% usage, 7″ horizontal break, 17″ drop, 93.8 mphSI94 mphChangeup: 11% usage, 15″ horizontal break, 37″ drop, 84.5 mphCH84 mph less drop ↑ more drop ↓ · horizontal break ↔ · dot size = usage · break incl. gravity MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
PitchUsagePitchesStuff+Status
FB 37.0% 126 99 limited sample
SL 27.3% 93 101 limited sample
CB 13.5% 46 102 limited sample
SI 11.7% 40 110 limited sample
CH 10.6% 36 98 limited sample
Method note

Renamed from the attempted Kirby Index after audit; true Kirby requires release-angle trajectory data.

Reference layer

Current snapshot

Age29
Height6' 3"
Weight217 lb
Debut2020-08-08
Live layer

Delta / regression

ERA Δ+1.34
K% Δ-0.061
Mithrandir coverage

Module shelf

ModuleCardsLatestSignal
No Mithrandir card history is available for this player yet.
Projection links / recent games

Available detail

Pitcher Projections 202624.0% K | 3.78 ERAProjection
2026-04-14 @ DET2 ER / 0 K1.0 IP
2026-04-12 vs CWS0 ER / 1 K0.2 IP
2026-04-07 @ CLE0 ER / 2 K1.0 IP
2026-04-05 vs MIL0 ER / 0 K1.0 IP
2026-04-04 vs MIL0 ER / 0 K1.0 IP